Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) · 1m4f0y
SR 70 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ascending | 28/1 open 34.00 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Dallas Star | 66/1 open 26.00 | — | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 William Hill |
| 3 Ethical Diamond | 13/8 open 2.88 | — | 13/8 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Gaucher | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 5 Green Impact | 6/1 | — | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Layfayette | 28/1 open 11.00 | — | 33/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 40/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 40/1 William Hill |
| 7 Omni Man | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Asakir | 12/1 open 7.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Endorsement | 11/10 open 3.25 | — | evn open 3.25 | evn open 3.25 | 11/10 open 3.75 | 11/10 open 3.25 | 11/10 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Endorsement owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ethical Diamond (SR 127, 11/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the Mullins/Ryan Moore combination — the yard's clear #1 with Moore booked over stablemate Gaucher (SR 88, Declan McDonogh). Crucially, Ethical Diamond has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's good-to-firm ground at 1m4f, the only runner in the field to tick both boxes positively. The market has shortened 10% since opening, adding meaningful confidence to what the ratings already suggest. The recent form string 111-59 shows a horse that posted a hat-trick before two below-par efforts, but the headgear (hood) addition and the class remaining the same (ClassMv:=) suggest connections believe the ability is still there to be unlocked. Each-way alternative: Asakir. Main danger: Endorsement — Endorsement (SR 126, 11/10) has steamed in 39% in the market — the biggest move in the field — carries a 4lb weight advantage (8-13 vs 9-9), and the Joseph O'Brien yard's #1 booking with Dylan Browne McMonagle confirms this is their main hope; the progressive 3-year-old profile and market confidence make it a genuine and likely favourite-priced threat.