Chepstow 17:20 RESULTED
Class 5 6 Aug 2026

Thursday 6 August Wasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes

Wasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes · 1m4f0y

Official Result

Wasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Aravalli (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle
    11/2
  2. Second Curran (IRE)
    5/1
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Double Red silks
Double Red
Age 5 · 10-2
-18442
75
75
75OR
5
10-2
5/2 11/4 9/4
Double Red arrives here in decent nick, second last time out and a winner five starts back, with experience over today's trip and going lending him solid claims. The main risk is that he has to defy a mark of 75 off 142 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Curran silks
Curran
Age 5 · 10-1
-01651
74
77
74OR
5
10-1
11/2 10/3 11/2
Curran won last time out and has winning form in his recent starts, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; carrying 141 lb is the one query, but he looks the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Polemon silks
Polemon
Age 7 · 9-13
/4447-
72
41
72OR
7
9-13
66/1 20/1 50/1
Winless in his last four starts but Polemon's consistent run of fourths reads well here, and the return after 64 days has to be respected; the concern is whether he can finally convert that placed consistency into something more decisive under 139 lb.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Oasis Sunrise silks
Oasis Sunrise
Age 4 · 9-13
211433
72
80
72OR
4
9-13
7/2 3/1 10/3
Oasis Sunrise arrives in good heart after back-to-back thirds, with a winner four starts back and distance-and-going experience lending confidence; the main risk is that her 139 lb burden may blunt her late effort.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Aravalli silks
Aravalli
Age 3 · 9-3
449114
72
78
72OR
3
9-3
13/2 15/2 6/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Aravalli faces a stiff ask here, and a fourth last time out does little to inspire confidence; she does bring back-to-back wins from earlier in her recent sequence and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Virtue Diligence silks
Virtue Diligence
Age 3 · 9-3
9-834
72
73
72OR
3
9-3
7/1 10/3 7/1
Virtue Diligence was fourth latest after a third two runs back, and carrying 129 lb won't help, though he has run over today's trip and going before and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough to threaten midfield at least.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Cosmo Brown silks
Cosmo Brown
Age 3 · 9-1
8836
70
73
70OR
3
9-1
4/1 10/3 7/2
Winless in his last four starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Cosmo Brown has been off the track for 56 days and was only sixth latest after a third two starts back; experience over today's trip and going offers some consolation, but he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Double Red 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 Bet365
2 Curran 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Bet365
3 Polemon 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 21.00 66/1 Bet365
4 Oasis Sunrise 7/2 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
5 Aravalli 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
6 Virtue Diligence 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 Bet365
7 Cosmo Brown 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.33 9/2 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Double Red

Speculative

Double Red owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Henry Candy Rob Hornby
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Oasis Sunrise

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Grace Harris
✓ Value Signal

Polemon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Tim Vaughan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Double Red
54.4 5/2
2 4. Oasis Sunrise
54.0 7/2
3 2. Curran
53.3 11/2
4 7. Cosmo Brown
52.1 4/1
5 5. Aravalli
52.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Oasis Sunrise
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-2
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-1
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Oasis Sunrise
Confidence: Medium

Oasis Sunrise (SR 80, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and leads on virtually every meaningful signal. Course form of W1P2 at Chepstow is directly relevant — this horse knows the track and has won here before. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm suitability for today's trip and good-to-firm conditions, and the market has shortened 8% since opening, suggesting informed money is landing on this selection. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from its most recent outing means the competition is marginally softer, and despite running off a mark 3lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+3), the weight of 9-13 is entirely manageable compared to Double Red carrying 10-2 with an SR of 75. The form string 211433 shows consistent competitiveness at a higher level, and the jockey Ray Dawson strikes at 16% career rate — the best booking on the card. Each-way alternative: Aravalli. Main danger: Aravalli — Aravalli (SR 78, 8/1) carries only 9-3 — a significant 10lb weight pull on Oasis Sunrise — has an outstanding Course record of W2P2 at Chepstow, GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and recent form 449114 shows two wins in its last four starts, with the mark sitting 12lb above its last win being the only concern.

Shortlist Oasis Sunrise, Aravalli, Double Red
Each-way: Aravalli Danger: Aravalli

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade