Chepstow 19:40 RESULTED
Class 5 6 Aug 2026

Thursday 6 August Lsl Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes

Lsl Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes · 0m7f16y

Official Result

Lsl Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Espona Bay (IRE) Christian Howarth · Scott Dixon
    5/1
  2. 14/1
  3. 1/1F
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sydney Rock silks
Sydney Rock
Age 3 · 9-9
22-076
70
68
70OR
3
9-9
6/1 10/3 6/1
Sydney Rock has experience of today's trip and conditions, and her rating of 77 suggests she's 7 lb ahead of her official rating — a strong case for a big run fresh off just eight days; the risk is that she's winless in her last five starts and that recent slump in form needs reversing.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Clementines Star silks
Clementines Star
Age 3 · 9-8
33-321
69
80
69OR
3
9-8
7/4 FCST 31/19
Clementines Star arrives in fine fettle off a 21-day break, winning last time out and placing in all four starts before that, and she has experience of today's distance and going. Carrying 134 lb from stall four, her rating of 79 marks her as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Jackabi silks
Jackabi
Age 3 · 9-6
24-051
67
66
67OR
3
9-6
5/1 9/2 5/1
Jackabi won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but he has been beaten in each of his other last four starts and a 40-day absence adds a question mark over sharpness carrying 132 lb from stall 5.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Espona Bay silks
Espona Bay
Age 3 · 9-4
431335
65
62
65OR
3
9-4
11/2 FCST 5/1
Espona Bay arrives in form worth respecting — a third two starts back and a winner four starts back — and he has experience of today's distance and going, while our rating of 75 puts him ahead of his official mark. The risk is that fifth last time out suggests he may need things to fall right.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sup Of Red silks
Sup Of Red
Age 3 · 9-1
-42527
62
55
62OR
3
9-1
12/1 15/2 12/1
Placed two starts back and again four starts back, Sup Of Red has run over today's trip and shaped with promise in recent starts — her rating of 69 makes her a leading danger here. The main risk is 98 days off the track since her last outing.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Grand Vista silks
Grand Vista
Age 3 · 8-9
-50383
56
65
56OR
3
8-9
9/2 5/1 4/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Grand Vista faces a stiff ask here; he does return quickly off just two days' rest, though he has run over today's trip and going before, and that third last time out offers a crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Fullstop silks
Fullstop
Age 3 · 8-8
-93568
55
52
55OR
3
8-8
12/1 FCST 11/1
SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sydney Rock 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 William Hill
2 Clementines Star 7/4 open 3.25 13/8 13/8 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 7/4 Bet365
3 Jackabi 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Coral
4 Espona Bay 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 Betfred
5 Sup Of Red 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Grand Vista 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Fullstop 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Clementines Star

Speculative

Clementines Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Daniel & Claire Kubler William Carver
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jackabi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Mark Rimell
✓ Value Signal

Fullstop

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Grace Harris
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Clementines Star
54.5 7/4
2 3. Jackabi
52.5 5/1
3 6. Grand Vista
50.6 9/2
4 4. Espona Bay
48.9 11/2
5 1. Sydney Rock
48.7 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Clementines Star
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 8-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 8-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Clementines Star
Confidence: Medium

Clementines Star (SR:80, 7/4) is the clear class standout in this field, holding a minimum 15-point SR advantage over every rival. The form string 33-321 shows a horse that finished most recently with a win, representing peak form at Class 5 level — the same class as today (ClassMv:=) — and running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=). Trainer Kubler runs at 15% strike rate from 180 runners, a solid operation, and while jockey Carver's 8% rate is modest, the horse's own form does the heavy lifting. The 7/4 market price reflects genuine confidence and is not a price to oppose given the SR gap alone. Each-way alternative: Grand Vista. Main danger: Grand Vista — Grand Vista has steamed in 32% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — carries a featherweight 8-9, has prior course form (W0P1), and the first-time cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are confident in a big step forward on just 2 days' turnaround, which warrants serious respect despite the SR gap.

Shortlist Clementines Star, Grand Vista, Jackabi
Each-way: Grand Vista Danger: Grand Vista

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f16y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade