Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
SR 106 backed by market confidence at 1/20 — a genuine contender.
SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cerro Blanco | 1/25 open 1.05 | — | 1/25 open 1.06 | 1/25 open 1.06 | 1/33 open 1.07 | 1/25 | 1/25 Bet365 |
| 2 Winston's Oath | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nothing But Love | 20/1 open 12.00 | — | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tacticalist | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cerro Blanco owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (100). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 106 backed by market confidence at 1/20 — a genuine contender.
SR 137 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cerro Blanco (SR 106, 1/20) is a Charlie Appleby-trained 3yo dropping three class tiers with a 1-2 form line showing a win on debut or recent start. The 1/20 price reflects an enormous market confidence that is rarely seen and speaks to insider certainty about this horse's ability relative to the opposition. Despite a modest SR of 106, this is a Class 4 novice with only four runners, and none of the rivals present a credible case: the field SR tops out at 137 (Tacticalist) but that horse is a complete maiden with a blank form string of six non-finishes or starts with no recorded result, drifting at 13% in the market. Appleby (29% career SR) paired with Billy Loughnane (18%) is a confident booking, and the weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse whose class advantage over this tiny field is overwhelming. Each-way alternative: Tacticalist. Main danger: Tacticalist — Tacticalist carries the highest SR in the field at 137 with the lightest weight (8-13) and Cieren Fallon in the saddle — if those blank form entries represent unexposed ability rather than DNFs, an Appleby-priced certainty could be upset by a debutant or lightly-raced improver from the same yard.