Kilcawley Construction Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m1f193y
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Manoir De Mirande | 11/8 open 3.25 | — | 11/8 open 3.00 | 11/8 open 3.00 | 11/8 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Luker's Tipple | 11/4 open 2.75 | — | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 3/1 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 3 Firebrand | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Crystabel | 15/2 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Hillhead Runner | 8/1 open 11.00 | — | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Manoir De Mirande owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Manoir De Mirande (SR 128, 2/1) is the clear class leader in this small novice field, carrying 11-11 but still holding a comfortable SR advantage over the second-best rated runner. The recent form string 3-3711 shows back-to-back wins, and the market has continued to shorten — in 7% from opening — confirming stable confidence. Course form is strong (W1P1 at Sligo) and the good going suits (GoingFit:+), while Gordon Elliott's 15% strike rate with a 5lb-claim jockey in Josh Williamson keeps costs manageable. The +5 mark rise is the only note of caution, but the SR gap over rivals is wide enough to absorb it. Each-way alternative: Crystabel. Main danger: Luker's Tipple — Luker's Tipple (SR 118, 9/4) is the second-best rated horse and carries only 11-10 — 1lb lighter than Manoir De Mirande — and while the 22% market drift is a concern, Gavin Cromwell's handling of novice hurdlers and the confirmed good-going suitability (GoingFit:+) mean a bold front-running or pace-forcing ride from Keith Donoghue could expose the selection at a short price.