Leopardstown 18:00 RESULTED
Class 1 6 Aug 2026

Thursday 6 August Bahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)

Bahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Bahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Isaac Newton (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien
    10/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Audience silks
Audience
Age 7 · 9-9
000923
106
110
106OR
7
9-9
11/2 7/2 5/1
Placed on each of his last two starts — third most recently, second two back — Audience has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 117 puts him top of the field on our figures; yet to score in recent starts, but the consistency and 18-day turnaround make him the one to side with.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Chicago Critic silks
Chicago Critic
Age 5 · 9-9
264844
104
93
104OR
5
9-9
10/1 14/1 8/1
Chicago Critic has run over today's trip and going, rates 7 lb above his official mark on our figures, and 40 days between runs leaves him fresh enough to improve — the risk is that he's been winless in his last six starts, those three fourths suggesting he finds one or two too good.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cowardofthecounty silks
Cowardofthecounty
Age 4 · 9-9
-82132
100
96
100OR
4
9-9
14/1 10/1 11/1
Cowardofthecounty arrives with solid recent form — a winner three starts back, third two starts back, and second last time out — keeping good company on the whole, and he has experience of today's distance and going. The main risk is whether his speed rating of 94 can match the very best here.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Tokenomics silks
Tokenomics
Age 5 · 9-9
1-3426
103
90
103OR
5
9-9
20/1 12/1 18/1
Tokenomics showed a second two starts back but has since disappointed with a sixth last time out, and the 39-day absence adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 135 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Celtic Motif silks
Celtic Motif
Age 4 · 9-6
202-31
92
69
92OR
4
9-6
SP 11/1 33/1
Celtic Motif won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but she ranks eighth of nine on our figures with a speed rating of 76, making her hard to fancy at this level despite the recent winning form.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Al Haarith silks
Al Haarith
Age 3 · 9-2
343-01
106
108
106OR
3
9-2
12/1 6/1 11/1
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Al Haarith faces a stiff ask, and his patchy recent form — unplaced second time back before winning last time out — offers mixed signals. He has run over today's trip and returns on a handy 26-day break, but the rating gap is hard to overlook.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Isaac Newton silks
Isaac Newton
Age 3 · 9-2
-45163
105
109
105OR
3
9-2
15/2 6/1 7/1
A winner three starts back but sixth two starts back and only third last time out, Isaac Newton arrives with patchy recent form that makes him hard to fancy ranked seventh of nine. He has run over today's distance and going, and 21 days between runs suggests he's ready.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Needle Match silks
Needle Match
Age 3 · 9-2
1-40
106
112
106OR
3
9-2
11/2 4/1 5/1
Needle Match landed a win three starts back but has since gone unplaced, and 96 days off the track raises fitness questions; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 128 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Sparan Nua silks
Sparan Nua
Age 3 · 9-2
1113
103
120
103OR
3
9-2
11/8 9/4 18/13
Sparan Nua arrives in cracking form, winning three of her last four starts, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — the main question is whether that third last time out signals any vulnerability at the top of the weights carrying 128 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Audience 11/2 open 9.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Chicago Critic 10/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Cowardofthecounty 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Tokenomics 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
5 Celtic Motif 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 William Hill
6 Al Haarith 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
7 Isaac Newton 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
8 Needle Match 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 Bet365
9 Sparan Nua 11/8 open 3.75 6/4 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 11/8 open 3.75 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sparan Nua

Live signal

Sparan Nua owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 J S Bolger Declan McDonogh
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Needle Match

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Tokenomics

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · David Marnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Sparan Nua
64.2 11/8
2 8. Needle Match
60.7 11/2
3 1. Audience
59.3 11/2
4 7. Isaac Newton
58.8 15/2
5 6. Al Haarith
58.4 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Isaac Newton
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-2
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Isaac Newton
Confidence: Medium

Isaac Newton tops the composite score at SR 109 trading at 7/1. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Isaac Newton, Sparan Nua, Al Haarith, Audience, Needle Match
Each-way: Sparan Nua Danger: Al Haarith

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade