Newmarket 15:35 RESULTED
Class 1 9 Jul 2026

Thursday 9 July Princess Of Wales's Stakes (Sponsored By The Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2)

Princess Of Wales's Stakes (Sponsored By The Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) · 1m4f

Official Result

Princess Of Wales's Stakes (Sponsored By The Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rebel's Romance (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    8/11F
  2. 18/1
  3. Third Almeric (GB)
    5/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 18 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rebel's Romance silks
Rebel's Romance
Age 8 · 9-11
3112-1
122
129
122OR
8
9-11
10/11 Evs 5/6
This gelding has posted three wins in his last five starts, the latest 131 days back, and both today's distance and going are proven to suit. A long absence since is the sole concern, but he sets a clear standard on the form alone.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 129, consistent form of 3112-1, and competitive 11/10 odds justify four stars despite carrying 9-11.

2
Almeric silks
Almeric
Age 4 · 9-8
119-33
115
120
115OR
4
9-8
13/2
This colt has posted two wins in his last five starts and returns from a 42-day break capable of putting real pressure on the principals; his last two runs have both been below that level, the only note of caution.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 120 and solid recent form back a 13/2 chance carrying 9-8 competitively in this Group 2.

3
Arabian Crown silks
Arabian Crown
Age 5 · 9-8
6351-5
107
86
107OR
5
9-8
25/1
Just one win in his last five starts, with three of those runs unplaced, leaves this gelding hard to fancy on figures alone; his one point in favour is that today's distance and going have both been proven to suit before.
AI verdict

At 28/1 and a Saturday Rating of just 86, Arabian Crown's inconsistent form of 6351-5 offers little confidence against stronger market rivals.

4
Convergent silks
Convergent
Age 4 · 9-8
117-15
118
120
118OR
4
9-8
13/8 7/4 31/19
Three wins in his last five starts point to real ability, and this colt already has form over today's distance in the book, but a below-par 5th last time out 33 days ago is the concern he needs to put right.
AI verdict

Convergent's strong 120 Saturday Rating and competitive 15/8 odds justify confidence despite form figures showing inconsistency at 117-15.

5
Tenability silks
Tenability
Age 4 · 9-8
112-31
109
118
109OR
4
9-8
SP 15/2 9/1
Three wins in his last five starts, including when last seen, make this gelding a leading threat, especially with both today's distance and going already proven to suit and a first-time tongue-tie added; a lower official mark than most rivals here is the query.
AI verdict

Tenability's strong form (112-31) and competitive 118 Saturday Rating justify confidence despite 15/2 odds and a hefty 9-8 weight.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rebel's Romance 10/11 open 2.00 5/6 open 2.10 5/6 open 2.10 5/6 open 2.00 5/6 open 2.10 10/11 Bet365
2 Almeric 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 Coral
3 Arabian Crown 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 25/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 25/1 Bet365
4 Convergent 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 William Hill
5 Tenability 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rebel's Romance

Live signal

Rebel's Romance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Charlie Appleby William Buick
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Convergent

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Arabian Crown

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Charlie Appleby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Rebel's Romance
65.9 10/11
2 4. Convergent
62.4 13/8
3 5. Tenability
59.8 -
4 2. Almeric
58.9 13/2
5 3. Arabian Crown
45.0 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rebel's Romance
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 9-11
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 129 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 129, consistent form of 3112-1, and competitive 11/10 odds justify four stars despite carrying 9-11.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

Convergent's strong 120 Saturday Rating and competitive 15/8 odds justify confidence despite form figures showing inconsistency at 117-15.

2
Age 4 · 9-8
13/2
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 120 and solid recent form back a 13/2 chance carrying 9-8 competitively in this Group 2.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rebel's Romance
Confidence: Medium

Rebel's Romance (SR 129, 11/10) is the clear class and ability leader in this five-runner Group 2 field, carrying only 9-11 — just 3lb more than his rivals — with William Buick booked, who rides at 18% strike rate from over 300 career runners. The form figure of '1' on his most recent start confirms he arrived in winning form, and Charlie Appleby's 28% yard strike rate is the strongest training operation represented. Crucially, he is Appleby's primary runner here: James Doyle is relegated to Arabian Crown (SR 86, drifted 21% in the market), while Buick's retention on Rebel's Romance is the clearest possible stable signal. The only genuine concern is the 333-day absence and unknown distance/going fit, but the market at 11/10 is pricing him as a near-certainty despite that layoff. Each-way alternative: Convergent. Main danger: Convergent — Convergent (SR 120, 15/8) is the second-best priced runner, holds solid recent form of '1' and '5' at the same class, and K.R. Burke's 18% strike rate with a young four-year-old still on the upgrade means he is the most credible threat if Rebel's Romance needs more time to hit peak fitness after 333 days off.

Shortlist Rebel's Romance, Convergent, Tenability
Each-way: Convergent Danger: Convergent

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m4f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade