XIN GIN Irish EBF Brownstown Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) · 7f50y
Bella Isabella's 94 Saturday Rating and improving 607-01 form justify mid-tier appeal, but 13/2 odds and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Chantez's Saturday Rating of 93 and patchy form figures of 7638-5 at 5/1 suggest mid-tier competitiveness.
A Saturday Rating of 104 and inconsistent form (40-715) at 11/4 suggest mid-tier prospects without favourite market backing.
Strong Saturday Rating of 96 and fair 7/2 odds make Fingerpaint a solid each-way prospect despite inconsistent 137-7 form.
Rated just 74 with weak 583-04 form and available at 12/1, Nancy J lacks the market confidence or consistency to threaten here.
Rated 99 with fair 5/2 odds, but inconsistent 515- form and 9-1 weight limit confidence to three stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bella Isabella | 4/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Chantez | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 3 Duckadilly | 7/2 open 3.75 | — | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Fingerpaint | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 5 Nancy J | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Phenomenal Filly | 15/8 open 3.50 | — | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 15/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bella Isabella owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRated 99 with fair 5/2 odds, but inconsistent 515- form and 9-1 weight limit confidence to three stars.
A Saturday Rating of 104 and inconsistent form (40-715) at 11/4 suggest mid-tier prospects without favourite market backing.
Bella Isabella's 94 Saturday Rating and improving 607-01 form justify mid-tier appeal, but 13/2 odds and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 96 and fair 7/2 odds make Fingerpaint a solid each-way prospect despite inconsistent 137-7 form.
Chantez's Saturday Rating of 93 and patchy form figures of 7638-5 at 5/1 suggest mid-tier competitiveness.
Rated just 74 with weak 583-04 form and available at 12/1, Nancy J lacks the market confidence or consistency to threaten here.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Phenomenal Filly (SR:99, 5/2) is the most attractive proposition here despite a 285-day absence. She carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-1, giving her an 8lb advantage over the 9-9 brigade — a significant edge on good-to-firm ground at Group 3 level. Her DistFit:+ confirms she is proven at this trip, which no other runner in the field can claim with confidence (all others show ? or worse). Patrick Twomey's 25% strike rate from 202 runners is the standout training statistic in this field, and W J Lee at 14% is a competent booking — connections clearly believe she returns in good shape. The 5/2 market position as second-favourite reflects genuine confidence that her form line of 515 at high level warrants respect on return. Each-way alternative: Fingerpaint. Main danger: Duckadilly — Duckadilly (SR:104, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has run just 11 days ago indicating peak fitness, and at 11/4 the market makes her the marginal favourite — if her moderate DistFit:~ translates into reasonable comfort at 7f50y, the raw SR advantage could overpower Phenomenal Filly's weight concession.