Carlisle 14:35 RESULTED
Class 3 9 Jul 2026

Thursday 9 July Molson Coors EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Molson Coors EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f195y

Official Result

Molson Coors EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Celestia (GB) Mark Winn · Harry Charlton
    5/2
  2. 9/4F
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Celestia silks
Celestia
Age 2 · 9-2
3
154
2
9-2
11/4 3/1 11/4
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 3/1 odds support Celestia's 4/5 stars despite a single third-place form.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 3/1 odds support Celestia's 4/5 stars despite a single third-place form.

2
Harlequin Gift silks
Harlequin Gift
Age 2 · 9-2
7
127
2
9-2
20/1 28/1 18/1
Long-shot odds of 33/1, a single form figure of 7, and a modest Saturday Rating of 127 signal limited winning prospects.
AI verdict

Long-shot odds of 33/1, a single form figure of 7, and a modest Saturday Rating of 127 signal limited winning prospects.

3
Mohaymenah silks
Mohaymenah
Age 2 · 9-2
42
85
95
85OR
2
9-2
2/1 5/4 32/17
Solid Saturday Rating of 95 and fair 11/8 odds suit her 4-2 form, but non-favourite status limits confidence.
AI verdict

Solid Saturday Rating of 95 and fair 11/8 odds suit her 4-2 form, but non-favourite status limits confidence.

4
Pequenita silks
Pequenita
Age 2 · 9-2
4
154
2
9-2
10/3 9/4 10/3
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with competitive 11/4 odds and consistent form justifies her near-top 4/5 star rating.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with competitive 11/4 odds and consistent form justifies her near-top 4/5 star rating.

5
Rogue Passion silks
Rogue Passion
Age 2 · 9-2
4
151
2
9-2
7/2 5/1 10/3
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 combined with competitive 11/2 odds and a previous fourth-place form makes Rogue Passion a solid each-way proposition.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 151 combined with competitive 11/2 odds and a previous fourth-place form makes Rogue Passion a solid each-way proposition.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Celestia 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
2 Harlequin Gift 20/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 34.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Mohaymenah 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.25 2/1 Bet365
4 Pequenita 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 William Hill
5 Rogue Passion 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pequenita

High conviction

Pequenita owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Andrew Balding Paul Mulrennan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Passion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Harlequin Gift

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Pequenita
72.8 10/3
2 5. Rogue Passion
72.4 7/2
3 1. Celestia
68.7 11/4
4 3. Mohaymenah
56.6 2/1
5 2. Harlequin Gift
53.5 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Celestia
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-2
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

Solid Saturday Rating of 95 and fair 11/8 odds suit her 4-2 form, but non-favourite status limits confidence.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 3/1 odds support Celestia's 4/5 stars despite a single third-place form.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with competitive 11/4 odds and consistent form justifies her near-top 4/5 star rating.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 151 combined with competitive 11/2 odds and a previous fourth-place form makes Rogue Passion a solid each-way proposition.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 127 🐾

Long-shot odds of 33/1, a single form figure of 7, and a modest Saturday Rating of 127 signal limited winning prospects.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Celestia
Confidence: Medium

Celestia (SR 154, 3/1) matches Pequenita on raw ability but carries the backing of Harry Charlton, a yard running at 16% strike rate — meaningfully stronger than any other trainer in this field. Her form figure of 3 on debut represents a solid platform for improvement, which is the hallmark pattern for juvenile maiden winners stepping forward second time out (20 days ago, fresh enough). At 3/1 she is priced attractively relative to Pequenita (SR 154, 11/4) who represents the one genuine rival, and her ★★★★☆ AI probability mirrors that near-identical SR assessment. With all five runners sharing identical DistFit:? and GoingFit:? tags, connections quality and SR become the primary differentiators, and Charlton's strike rate edges Balding's here. Each-way alternative: Pequenita. Main danger: Pequenita — Pequenita shares Celestia's SR of 154 and is trained by Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, the highest in the field), who regularly wins first-time-out at this level with well-bred juveniles — the market has her at a tighter 11/4 for a reason.

Shortlist Celestia, Pequenita, Rogue Passion
Each-way: Pequenita Danger: Pequenita

🗺 The Course Class 3

6f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade