Newbury 18:52 RESULTED
Class 5 9 Jul 2026

Thursday 9 July Highclere Castle Gin Handicap

Highclere Castle Gin Handicap · 6f

Official Result

Highclere Castle Gin Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Strike (GB) Olivia Tubb · Jonathan Portman
    4/1F
  2. 13/2
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Phoenix Moon silks
Phoenix Moon Non-Runner
Age 5 · 9-9
-14238
63
48
63OR
5
9-9
SP
A Saturday Rating of 48 combined with poor recent form of -14238 and top weight of 9-9 makes Phoenix Moon uncompetitive.
1
Arabian Cobra silks
Arabian Cobra
Age 4 · 10-1
60-085
69
40
69OR
4
10-1
28/1 22/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, this gelding nonetheless boasts a strong speed figure and already has form over today's distance and going, with first-time cheekpieces added 16 days on; the concern is whether he can finally turn that pace into a leading finish.
AI verdict

Arabian Cobra's Saturday Rating of 40, 25/1 odds, and poor form of 60-085 make this a near-hopeless contender.

2
Rebel Path silks
Rebel Path
Age 7 · 9-13
5-7738
67
62
67OR
7
9-13
6/1 11/2 5/1
This gelding boasts the fastest speed figure in the race and already has form over today's distance and going, rating the one to beat on our figures despite modest recent form — a third two runs back the best. A stable 0 from 20 recently is the reservation.
AI verdict

Rebel Path's poor form (5-7738), high weight of 9-13, and modest Saturday Rating of 62 justify the 2-star assessment.

3
Strike silks
Strike
Age 8 · 9-13
-28324
67
66
67OR
8
9-13
7/2 6/1 7/2
Fourth last time out, this gelding has otherwise been workmanlike with a couple of places in the frame this term; he already has form over today's distance and going and rates a leading danger on our figures, though 34 days off is a mild concern.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 66, inconsistent form (-28324), and top weight of 9-13 limit Strike's prospects at 13/2.

4
The Coffee Pod silks
The Coffee Pod
Age 5 · 9-12
6368-8
66
57
66OR
5
9-12
17/2 9/1 8/1
Well held in his last two starts, this gelding was a much sharper third four runs back and returns fitted with a first-time hood after 87 days off. He has form over today's distance and going, rated a leading player here despite that lengthy absence.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 57 and poor form figures of 6368-8 make 10/1 odds at 9-12 weight hard to justify.

5
Jimmy Knocker silks
Jimmy Knocker
Age 5 · 9-12
21-775
66
47
66OR
5
9-12
12/1 FCST 10/1
A win three starts back has been followed by two sevenths and then a fifth last time out, leaving this gelding hard to fancy on our figures; he does return quickly, just four days on, already boasting form over today's distance and going, with first-time tongue-tie added.
AI verdict

Rated just 47 with poor recent form (21-775), carrying 9-12 at 20/1 signals minimal winning chance.

6
Thunderous Love silks
Thunderous Love
Age 5 · 9-11
-57696
65
63
65OR
5
9-11
5/1 9/2 5/1
Without a win in her last five starts and never better than fifth in that time, this mare is from a yard managing just one winner in its last 22; she does have form over today's distance and going, with first-time cheekpieces now added.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-11 with poor recent form -57696 and a Saturday Rating of just 63 makes 9/2 odds unappealing.

7
Campenaerts silks
Campenaerts
Age 3 · 9-10
21-697
70
63
70OR
3
9-10
14/1 10/1 14/1
Seventh last time out, this gelding has had an inconsistent campaign, though there's a win in the mix earlier in the sequence; he already has form over today's distance, and a 31-day break might bring out more, though he sits only midfield on our figures.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-10 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form of 21-697 at 12/1 limits confidence.

8
Wyle Cop silks
Wyle Cop
Age 3 · 9-10
130093
70
69
70OR
3
9-10
8/1 4/1 8/1
A win six starts back has been followed by an inconsistent spell including two unplaced efforts and a ninth, though this gelding did rally to third last time out; he already has form over today's distance and going, and first-time blinkers could add further sharpness.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (130093) and a 9-10 weight burden limit confidence despite a fair 9/2 market position and Saturday Rating of 69.

10
Black Endeavour silks
Black Endeavour
Age 3 · 9-9
3-6531
69
74
69OR
3
9-9
4/1 3/1 7/2
Won last time out and already has form over today's distance and going, this gelding returns quickly within 13 days off the back of that success; earlier efforts were modest — a fifth and sixth sandwiched between thirds — and first-time tongue-tie is now added, a small unknown.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-9 with a Saturday Rating of 74 and inconsistent form 3-6531 limits confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.

11
The Feminine Urge silks
The Feminine Urge
Age 4 · 9-3
357607
57
38
57OR
4
9-3
33/1 22/1 28/1
Without a win in her last six starts and with just the one placed effort in that spell, this filly is towards the bottom of our figures and was only seventh last time out; she does have form over today's distance and going, her main asset.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 38, 22/1 odds, and form reading 357607 expose The Feminine Urge as a rank outsider with no winning case.

12
Nzuri silks
Nzuri
Age 3 · 8-13
0-8207
59
51
59OR
3
8-13
28/1 16/1 25/1
Without a win in her last five starts and prominent only when runner-up three starts back, this filly is bottom of our figures despite an official rating of 59; she does have form over today's distance, but the recent profile offers little to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 51, weak form (0-8207), and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning chances in this handicap.

13
Roman Spring silks
Roman Spring
Age 6 · 8-12
-36073
52
51
52OR
6
8-12
14/1 11/1 14/1
Without a win in his last five starts but with thirds bookending that run, this gelding sits near the bottom of our figures and now tries first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces together; he does have form over today's distance and going, a rare plus point.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 51, weak form of -36073, and 11/1 odds signal limited market confidence and poor recent consistency.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Phoenix Moon
1 Arabian Cobra 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 Bet365
2 Rebel Path 6/1 11/2 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Strike 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 Bet365
4 The Coffee Pod 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Jimmy Knocker 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Thunderous Love 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Bet365
7 Campenaerts 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Wyle Cop 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.00 9/1 Betfred
10 Black Endeavour 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
11 The Feminine Urge 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Nzuri 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Roman Spring 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Black Endeavour

Speculative

Black Endeavour owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Mark Rimell Rossa Ryan
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rebel Path

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Stuart Williams
✓ Value Signal

Nzuri

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Jack Channon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Black Endeavour
54.2 4/1
2 2. Rebel Path
51.7 6/1
3 3. Strike
51.5 7/2
4 6. Thunderous Love
50.5 5/1
5 8. Wyle Cop
47.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Black Endeavour
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 8 · 9-13
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 66, inconsistent form (-28324), and top weight of 9-13 limit Strike's prospects at 13/2.

10
Age 3 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-9 with a Saturday Rating of 74 and inconsistent form 3-6531 limits confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.

6
Age 5 · 9-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-11 with poor recent form -57696 and a Saturday Rating of just 63 makes 9/2 odds unappealing.

2
Age 7 · 9-13
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

Rebel Path's poor form (5-7738), high weight of 9-13, and modest Saturday Rating of 62 justify the 2-star assessment.

8
Age 3 · 9-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Inconsistent form (130093) and a 9-10 weight burden limit confidence despite a fair 9/2 market position and Saturday Rating of 69.

4
Age 5 · 9-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 57 and poor form figures of 6368-8 make 10/1 odds at 9-12 weight hard to justify.

5
Age 5 · 9-12
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

Rated just 47 with poor recent form (21-775), carrying 9-12 at 20/1 signals minimal winning chance.

7
Age 3 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-10 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form of 21-697 at 12/1 limits confidence.

13
Age 6 · 8-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 51, weak form of -36073, and 11/1 odds signal limited market confidence and poor recent consistency.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Black Endeavour
Confidence: Medium

Black Endeavour holds the highest SR in the field at 74, and at 10/3 the market is clearly endorsing this 3-year-old as the standout. Rossa Ryan is the strongest jockey booking in the race by career strike rate (16%, 1,315 runners), a meaningful edge in a 13-runner Class 5 handicap. The form string 3-6531 shows a last-time-out win with a runner-up effort before that, confirming peak form, and while the MarkMv:+4 means a 4lb rise off the last win, the SR advantage over the next-best (Wyle Cop, SR 69) is still clear. GoingFit:~ on today's good-to-firm is the one caveat, but the distance fit is moderate rather than a disqualifier, and the class rise (↑1) is manageable given the SR headroom. Each-way alternative: Thunderous Love. Main danger: Wyle Cop — Wyle Cop (SR 69, 9/2) matches Black Endeavour in market confidence, carries 1lb less at 9-10, and the MarkMv:-8 drop in mark since last win is the most favourable weight relief in the field — if the blinkers (first-time headgear BF implied by HG:b) sharpen focus, the lighter burden could prove decisive.

Shortlist Black Endeavour, Wyle Cop, Thunderous Love, Strike
Each-way: Thunderous Love Danger: Wyle Cop

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade