Epsom Downs 20:52 RESULTED
Class 6 9 Jul 2026

Thursday 9 July Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound Handicap

Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound Handicap · 1m2f17y

Official Result

Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sail On Sailor (GB) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow
    3/1
  2. 7/4F
  3. 17/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Newmarket

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Doncaster

14:10–17:40 · 7 races

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Newbury

17:13–20:37 · 7 races

Epsom Downs

18:05–20:52 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Living In Hope silks
Living In Hope
Age 3 · 9-9
05-4
65
51
65OR
3
9-9
17/2 10/1 8/1
Living In Hope is winless in her last three starts, following a fourth with a fifth and an unplaced effort further back. She returns 34 days after that latest run, and with our rating well below several rivals here, this looks a stiff task.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 51, 12/1 odds, and poor form of 05-4 make Living In Hope a weak contender carrying 9-9.

2
Sail On Sailor silks
Sail On Sailor
Age 3 · 9-7
7-2311
63
67
63OR
3
9-7
2/1 6/5 2/1
Sail On Sailor has won his last two starts, adding a third and a second in the two runs before that, with a seventh his only blip in the last five. The 35-day absence since is the main concern, but this is clearly strong recent form.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 limits appeal despite solid recent form of 2311.

3
Don Pablo Colina silks
Don Pablo Colina
Age 3 · 9-6
568
62
49
62OR
3
9-6
9/1 10/1 8/1
Don Pablo Colina was well beaten last time, finishing eighth, with modest efforts before that too. He still rates a shade above his official mark on our figures, but that fading recent form and 33 days off are the main risk here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 49, poor form reading 568, and 12/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 9-6 weighted runner.

4
Minerality silks
Minerality
Age 3 · 9-6
896
62
52
62OR
3
9-6
16/1 10/1 16/1
Minerality is rated last of the seven runners on our figures and has struggled for form, finishing sixth, ninth and eighth in his last three starts without a win. There is little in these figures to suggest a first win is imminent, even fresh from 31 days off.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 52, poor form figures of 896, and 10/1 odds signal minimal winning chances carrying 9-6.

5
Sweep In Time silks
Sweep In Time
Age 2 · 9-3
595-
59
55
59OR
2
9-3
9/2 FCST 4/1
Sweep In Time's official mark undersells her on our figures, following two fifths and a ninth in her last three starts without a win. A 190-day absence is the obvious concern, but the scope for improvement on that gap makes her one of the dangers.
AI verdict

Rated just 55 with poor form figures of 595- and carrying 9-3, Sweep In Time offers little appeal at 13/2.

6
Takeitorleaveit silks
Takeitorleaveit
Age 3 · 9-2
4-1722
58
67
58OR
3
9-2
15/8 9/4 32/17
Takeitorleaveit has been rarely out of the frame, with back-to-back seconds his last two runs and a win four starts back, a seventh his only blip in the last five. First-time cheekpieces go on for today's trip and going, ground he knows, and he tops our rating here.
AI verdict

A 67 Saturday Rating and inconsistent 4-1722 form undermine the 9/4 odds despite a manageable 9-2 weight.

7
Cormorant Rock silks
Cormorant Rock
Age 3 · 8-4
048
45
26
45OR
3
8-4
40/1 22/1 33/1
Cormorant Rock is winless in his last three starts, an eighth, a fourth and an unplaced effort, though he does carry a fair speed figure and already knows today's trip and going. A modest official mark and 24 days off leave plenty to find here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 26, weak 048 form, and 25/1 odds signal no market confidence at 8-4 weight.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Living In Hope 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
2 Sail On Sailor 2/1 open 2.20 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.38 9/4 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.38 9/4 William Hill
3 Don Pablo Colina 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Minerality 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 William Hill
5 Sweep In Time 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 9/2 Bet365
6 Takeitorleaveit 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Coral
7 Cormorant Rock 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sail On Sailor

Speculative

Sail On Sailor owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Simon Dow Paddy Bradley
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Takeitorleaveit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Jonathan Portman
✓ Value Signal

Cormorant Rock

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Jim Boyle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Sail On Sailor
52.2 2/1
2 6. Takeitorleaveit
51.3 15/8
3 5. Sweep In Time
47.9 9/2
4 1. Living In Hope
44.9 17/2
5 3. Don Pablo Colina
42.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sail On Sailor
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

A 67 Saturday Rating and inconsistent 4-1722 form undermine the 9/4 odds despite a manageable 9-2 weight.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 limits appeal despite solid recent form of 2311.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

Rated just 55 with poor form figures of 595- and carrying 9-3, Sweep In Time offers little appeal at 13/2.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 51, 12/1 odds, and poor form of 05-4 make Living In Hope a weak contender carrying 9-9.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 49, poor form reading 568, and 12/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 9-6 weighted runner.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 52, poor form figures of 896, and 10/1 odds signal minimal winning chances carrying 9-6.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sail On Sailor
Confidence: Medium

Sail On Sailor (SR:67, 6/5) shares the top SR in the field with Takeitorleaveit but holds a clear form advantage with a 2-3-1-1 sequence showing consistent progression to back-to-back wins, the most compelling recent form line in the race. At 9-7 he carries only 5lb more than Takeitorleaveit (9-2) despite equal ability, which is a manageable burden on good to firm ground. Trainer Simon Dow operates at 9% but the market has spoken emphatically — 6/5 represents strong confidence from punters in a small Class 6 field. The drop in class context of several rivals (four dropping ↓2) suggests a weak field, and Sail On Sailor's recent winning form at this class level makes him the standout. Each-way alternative: Takeitorleaveit. Main danger: Takeitorleaveit — Takeitorleaveit (SR:67, 9/4) matches Sail On Sailor on ability, carries 5lb less, has a confirmed going record (GoingFit:~) that Sail On Sailor lacks, and is freshened up with cheekpieces first-time (HG:p) which can sharpen a horse that posted 2-2 in its last two runs.

Shortlist Sail On Sailor, Takeitorleaveit, Living In Hope
Each-way: Takeitorleaveit Danger: Takeitorleaveit

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m2f17y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Epsom Downs Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade