Dalston 'Confined' Handicap · 6f195y
Carrying top weight 10-1 with weak form 0-4425, a Saturday Rating of 66, and unfancied at 8/1 limits Black Storm's winning prospects.
Judicature's poor form (9-4287), high weight of 9-13, weak Saturday Rating of 58, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning chances.
Carrying top weight of 9-13 with inconsistent form (-02563) and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 limits confidence despite fair 9/2 odds.
Homestrait's consistent form (574223) and fair 11/2 odds are offset by a moderate Saturday Rating of 78 carrying 9-9.
Yaaser's poor form (-99759), low Saturday Rating of 54, and unfancied 12/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 9-8.
Rated just 63 with poor form of -55498 and dismissed by the market at 14/1, Ecclefechan carries 9-8 with little to recommend him.
A Saturday Rating of 67, poor recent form (848937), and 9/1 odds signal minimal market confidence despite carrying 9-8.
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63, outdated form of 562553, and 9/1 odds reflects poor market confidence.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with a lowly Saturday Rating of 47, Dakota Breeze's uninspiring form (2640) and 33/1 odds signal market rejection.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with poor recent form of -94466 and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 makes Sailor's Return a weak 5/1 shot.
Rated 74 with inconsistent form (6-7492) and carrying 9-4 at 7/2, Supreme Clarets presents moderate each-way appeal without market dominance.
A Saturday Rating of 53, 20/1 odds, and form reading 6439-0 expose Top Lad as a rank outsider with no winning case.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Black Storm | 5/2 open 9.00 | — | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 Coral |
| 2 Judicature | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Albeseeingyer | 6/1 open 5.50 | — | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 4 Homestrait | 17/2 open 6.50 | — | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Yaaser | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Ecclefechan | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Record Day | 12/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Fan Mail | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Dakota Breeze | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Sailor's Return | 6/1 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Supreme Clarets | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 12 Top Lad | 28/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Supreme Clarets owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight 10-1 with weak form 0-4425, a Saturday Rating of 66, and unfancied at 8/1 limits Black Storm's winning prospects.
Rated 74 with inconsistent form (6-7492) and carrying 9-4 at 7/2, Supreme Clarets presents moderate each-way appeal without market dominance.
Carrying top weight of 9-13 with inconsistent form (-02563) and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 limits confidence despite fair 9/2 odds.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with poor recent form of -94466 and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 makes Sailor's Return a weak 5/1 shot.
Homestrait's consistent form (574223) and fair 11/2 odds are offset by a moderate Saturday Rating of 78 carrying 9-9.
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63, outdated form of 562553, and 9/1 odds reflects poor market confidence.
Yaaser's poor form (-99759), low Saturday Rating of 54, and unfancied 12/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 9-8.
A Saturday Rating of 67, poor recent form (848937), and 9/1 odds signal minimal market confidence despite carrying 9-8.
Judicature's poor form (9-4287), high weight of 9-13, weak Saturday Rating of 58, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning chances.
Rated just 63 with poor form of -55498 and dismissed by the market at 14/1, Ecclefechan carries 9-8 with little to recommend him.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Homestrait (SR 78, 11/2) is the clear SR leader in this modest Class 5 field by a margin of 4 points over Supreme Clarets, carrying a favourable 9-9 — lighter than Black Storm's 10-1 and only 5lb more than the bottom weights. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and his form string 574223 shows consistent placed efforts at this level with no blowouts. As Brian Ellison's Stable:1 runner — younger, more progressive three-year-old with the senior booking on Cam Hardie — he is clearly the yard's intended runner rather than Record Day, who carries DistFit:- and GoingFit:- red flags. Each-way alternative: Supreme Clarets. Main danger: Supreme Clarets — Supreme Clarets (SR 74, 7/2) is the market's choice, carries a featherweight 9-4 giving 5lb to Homestrait, and Richard & Peter Fahey's yard at 10% strike rate with a ClassMv:↑1 runner stepping into form territory — the weight advantage and market confidence make this the most credible threat.