Win Races With Jonathan Portman EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 6f
A Saturday Rating of 131 offers mid-tier potential, but 20/1 odds and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Ennerdale Water's solid Saturday Rating of 145 is undermined by poor form figure of 9 and unfavoured 17/2 market odds.
At 15/2 and carrying 9-2, Kiss Of Life's Saturday Rating of 146 shows ability but her non-favourite status limits confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 153 at 11/4 odds suggests solid winning chance, though single form figure and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Form figures of 756 and 6/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but a Saturday Rating of 148 limits confidence.
Ouragan's solid Saturday Rating of 143 is undermined by outsider odds of 10/1 and a single fifth-place form figure.
Long odds of 22/1, poor form figure of 9, and a Saturday Rating of 129 make Princess Ivy an unlikely winner.
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 at 13/8 odds with only a single form figure of 4 suggests solid improvement likely incoming.
A Saturday Rating of 126 shows promise, but 33/1 odds and a single winless form figure limit confidence.
Long odds of 33/1 and weak form figures of 86 make So Tempting an unconvincing outsider despite a Saturday Rating of 127.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Dun Eideann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Cubbie's Dream | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ennerdale Water | 14/1 open 9.50 | — | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 3 Kiss Of Life | 14/1 open 8.50 | — | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 Coral |
| 4 Laylaty | 5/2 open 3.75 | — | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 5 My Normandie | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Coral |
| 6 Ouragan | 8/1 open 11.00 | — | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Princess Ivy | 16/1 open 23.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sugar Yes Please | 6/5 open 2.63 | — | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | evn open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 9 Celestial Mist | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 11 So Tempting | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Laylaty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 154 at 13/8 odds with only a single form figure of 4 suggests solid improvement likely incoming.
Strong Saturday Rating of 153 at 11/4 odds suggests solid winning chance, though single form figure and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Ouragan's solid Saturday Rating of 143 is undermined by outsider odds of 10/1 and a single fifth-place form figure.
Form figures of 756 and 6/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but a Saturday Rating of 148 limits confidence.
Ennerdale Water's solid Saturday Rating of 145 is undermined by poor form figure of 9 and unfavoured 17/2 market odds.
At 15/2 and carrying 9-2, Kiss Of Life's Saturday Rating of 146 shows ability but her non-favourite status limits confidence.
Long odds of 22/1, poor form figure of 9, and a Saturday Rating of 129 make Princess Ivy an unlikely winner.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sugar Yes Please leads the field on SR (154) and is the clear market leader at 13/8, with trainer Eve Johnson Houghton and jockey Charles Bishop operating at a combined level that suggests stable confidence in running here off just 16 days' rest. The ClassMv:= signal confirms she is not being asked to step up in class, and her fourth on debut gives experience over the unraced runners. While her jockey's 8% strike rate is modest, the market has installed her as a clear favourite and the SR gap of 1lb over Laylaty (153) combined with better odds movement and commercial positioning (GBB race, restricted novice) supports selection. The caveat is that DistFit:? applies to virtually the entire field, so no runner has proven this 6f trip — this is a speculative field-wide limitation rather than a specific negative for the selection. Each-way alternative: Laylaty. Main danger: Laylaty — Laylaty (SR:153, 11/4) has the second-highest SR in the field, carries the same weight, has a 17% jockey booking in Callum Rodriguez, and runs in the same class (ClassMv:=) — Harry Charlton's 16% trainer strike rate is the best of any yard represented, and at 11/4 the market clearly has her as a genuine rival to the favourite.