Betfred St Leger Trial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f197y
Strong Saturday Rating of 158 and competitive 2/1 odds support his 4/5 stars, despite form showing just two runs and non-favourite status.
Shoof Baeed's single run form and 13/2 odds suggest market uncertainty despite a solid 150 Saturday Rating at 9-10.
A Saturday Rating of 93 and 9/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but form reading 4-22 limits confidence to three stars.
Brave Hunter's 83 Saturday Rating, weak 8-6272 form, and 9/1 outsider odds justify only 2/5 stars in this market.
Form figures of 35-22 and a 91 Saturday Rating at 7/2 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence to justify more.
A Saturday Rating of 76, 10/1 odds, and a form sequence of 62-20 highlight Poker as a weak market contender carrying 9-4.
Long odds of 28/1, unfavoured market position, and an unknown form profile limit Saifo's prospects despite carrying 9-4.
Consistent form figures of 22 suggest place potential, but 18/1 odds and a Saturday Rating of 141 reflect limited winning credentials.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Count Bezukhov | 5/4 open 3.00 | — | 5/4 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 6/5 open 3.25 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Shoof Baeed | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 3 According To Mark | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Brave Hunter | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 5 Hatteen | 11/2 open 4.50 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 William Hill |
| 6 Poker | 6/1 open 11.00 | — | 5/1 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 12.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Saifo | 50/1 open 29.00 | — | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sea And Sun | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Count Bezukhov owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 158 and competitive 2/1 odds support his 4/5 stars, despite form showing just two runs and non-favourite status.
A Saturday Rating of 93 and 9/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but form reading 4-22 limits confidence to three stars.
Form figures of 35-22 and a 91 Saturday Rating at 7/2 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence to justify more.
A Saturday Rating of 76, 10/1 odds, and a form sequence of 62-20 highlight Poker as a weak market contender carrying 9-4.
Shoof Baeed's single run form and 13/2 odds suggest market uncertainty despite a solid 150 Saturday Rating at 9-10.
Brave Hunter's 83 Saturday Rating, weak 8-6272 form, and 9/1 outsider odds justify only 2/5 stars in this market.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Count Bezukhov (SR 158, 2/1) holds a significant ability edge over every rival in this field — 8 SR points clear of Shoof Baeed (SR 150) and 17+ clear of the next contender Sea And Sun (SR 141). His form reading '31' shows a winning last run after a third, and at 9-10 he shares equal weight with Shoof Baeed, meaning there is no poundage concession undermining his SR advantage. Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate, 1566 runners) is a strong book and Joseph O'Brien's 15% yard rate is solid for a novice. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a minor flag but not a dealbreaker on a horse already rated this highly for the class. Each-way alternative: Shoof Baeed. Main danger: Shoof Baeed — Shoof Baeed (SR 150, 13/2) won on debut and steps up in class only one tier — same weight as Count Bezukhov at 9-10 — and Charlie Johnston's yard (13%) booking Connor Beasley suggests this is likely the stable's secondary runner behind the preferred #1 signal, but a debut winner with that SR profile cannot be fully dismissed at 13/2.