GAIN Equine Nutrition Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden · 7f
Strong 159 Saturday Rating and tight 4/5 odds back Alpha's consistent form figure of 2 at 9-2.
Alreem's solid Saturday Rating of 125 is undermined by unfancied 28/1 odds and unknown form, limiting confidence.
Long-shot odds of 40/1 and a Saturday Rating of 125 signal limited winning prospects in this maiden.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 144 and 10/1 odds suggest market interest without strong form to justify favouritism.
A Saturday Rating of 127 is offset by 66/1 odds and a last-place form figure, indicating little market confidence.
Ibelieveicanfly's single fourth-place form entry and 9/2 non-favourite market position limit confidence despite a solid 151 Saturday Rating.
A Saturday Rating of 125 shows ability, but 28/1 odds and unknown form limit confidence to mid-tier appeal.
A Saturday Rating of 127 shows ability, but 100/1 odds and a form figure of 8 signal serious doubts.
Livenka's strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 5/2 odds justify 4/5 stars despite not being market favourite.
Long-shot odds of 66/1 and an unproven form record make Old Joanie a low-confidence 127-rated outsider.
Long odds of 80/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 127 signal minimal market confidence in Pretty Thoughts.
Long-shot odds of 33/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 127 signal weak market confidence and limited winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 126 is undermined by 40/1 odds and no form, signalling weak market confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Alpine Wedding | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Alpha | 5/6 | — | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/6 open 1.80 | 5/6 open 1.80 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 3 Alreem | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Endless Night | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Exceptionally | 12/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Exchange Student | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Ibelieveicanfly | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Isle Of Capri | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Littlepacer | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Livenka | 15/8 open 4.00 | — | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 Coral |
| 11 Old Joanie | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Pretty Thoughts | 80/1 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 50/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Samnina | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Social Circle | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Livenka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong 159 Saturday Rating and tight 4/5 odds back Alpha's consistent form figure of 2 at 9-2.
Livenka's strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 5/2 odds justify 4/5 stars despite not being market favourite.
Ibelieveicanfly's single fourth-place form entry and 9/2 non-favourite market position limit confidence despite a solid 151 Saturday Rating.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 144 and 10/1 odds suggest market interest without strong form to justify favouritism.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alpha (SR 159, 4/5) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin over Livenka (SR 156) and Ibelieveicanfly (SR 151), and her sole run — a second — shows she has already handled racecourse experience and shaped like a horse who will improve for it. As an A P O'Brien inmate at 4/5 in a 7f Curragh maiden on Good to Firm, the trainer-track-conditions combination is as reliable a platform as exists in Irish racing. The market has installed her as a strong favourite and, crucially, she is not being asked to carry any extra weight burden — all runners are equal at 9-2, so her SR edge translates directly into ability advantage without a lbs penalty. The only credible danger is that she finds the step to 7f a fraction beyond her, but her form figure of '2' at debut suggests she was good enough to win that day and should graduate here. Each-way alternative: Livenka. Main danger: Livenka — Livenka (SR 156, 5/2) finished third on debut under Gary Lyons — a trainer known for placing 2yo fillies perfectly — and her SR of 156 is only three points behind Alpha, meaning any improvement on her debut run could see her overhaul the favourite at a more attractive price.