Cartmel 17:28 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Jun 2026

Sunday 28 June Women's Community Matters Handicap Chase

Women's Community Matters Handicap Chase · 2m1f61y

Official Result

Women's Community Matters Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fort Randall (IRE) Mr O McGill · Noel C Kelly
    85/40
  2. 9/1
  3. 11/8F
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Curragh

13:10–17:45 · 9 races

Uttoxeter

13:47–17:20 · 7 races

Cartmel

13:57–17:28 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

14:05–17:37 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Zumbi silks
Zumbi Non-Runner
Age 9 · 11-12
42-211
103
103OR
9
11-12
SP
1
Conquer The Breeze silks
Conquer The Breeze
Age 7 · 12-4
P-1141
109
114
109OR
7
12-4
5/2 3/2 9/4
Three wins from his last five, including a 7-length handicap success at Hexham last week; carries a penalty here with the tongue-tie fitted, and a repeat would be impressive — clearly in good heart but the higher weight asks more.
AI verdict

Solid recent form (P-1141) and a competitive Saturday Rating of 114 are offset by a demanding weight of 12-4.

2
Fort Randall silks
Fort Randall
Age 7 · 12-0
37/1-3
105
106
105OR
7
12-0
11/4 17/2 11/4
Shaped with credit on the hurdles last time, finishing 5¼ lengths off the pace off a revised mark; 2lb higher here but back over fences where he may be better suited, and he acts on this going — a genuine each-way proposition.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 12-0 with patchy form of 37/1-3 and a Saturday Rating of 106 limits Fort Randall to mid-market 5/1 contention.

3
Ghasham silks
Ghasham
Age 7 · 11-11
55-221
102
104
102OR
7
11-11
11/4 7/2 5/2
Consistent performer who took a handicap at Hexham by 3 lengths off a 4lb lower mark last time and runs off the same official mark here; handles this ground and distance well and the trainer is in form — well worth including.
AI verdict

Ghasham's solid 104 Saturday Rating and consistent form (55-221) are offset by a hefty 11-11 weight at 7/2 odds.

4
Intenzo silks
Intenzo
Age 5 · 11-8
25-462
99
81
99OR
5
11-8
28/1 12/1 25/1
Tongue-tie fitted for the first time and shaped with renewed intent at Market Rasen last time, beaten just 2½ lengths off a 1lb lower mark; yet to win in recent starts but handles this trip and a good run is not out of the question.
AI verdict

Intenzo's weak 25-462 form, outsider odds of 18/1, and moderate Saturday Rating of 81 justify a low 2-star rating.

5
Dream Jet silks
Dream Jet
Age 8 · 11-8
539-38
99
71
99OR
8
11-8
25/1 16/1 25/1
Took a step back at Hexham, jumping poorly and well beaten when tried over a longer trip; more effective at 2m on this ground and the drop back in distance could help, though the trainer is out of form and a turnaround is needed.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 71, poor form reading 539-38, and 25/1 odds signal clear market dismissal of Dream Jet's winning chances.

6
Blue Reed silks
Blue Reed
Age 7 · 11-6
6745-1
97
94
97OR
7
11-6
9/1 8/1 9/1
Had been frustrating before getting off the mark at Kilbeggan last time, winning by 2½ lengths off a 10lb lower mark; tongue-tie and cheekpieces now fitted as he returns to fences — the scope is there to build on that now he has broken his duck.
AI verdict

A recent win improves form appeal, but 11-6 weight and 9/1 odds reflect market scepticism around a Saturday Rating of 94.

8
Bentley Road silks
Bentley Road
Age 7 · 11-5
O25-42
96
82
96OR
7
11-5
25/1 9/1 22/1
Shaped better at Hexham last time under a positive ride, beaten 3 lengths off this mark on a stiffer track; cheekpieces fitted and effective across a range of trips — winless in recent starts but must carry that effort forward.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 82 combined with weak form (O25-42) and 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.

9
Cuzco Du Mathan silks
Cuzco Du Mathan
Age 8 · 11-4
7644-7
95
84
95OR
8
11-4
SP 10/1 12/1
Drops in the weights after a run of modest results and the ground was too fast when well beaten here last time; visor fitted now and he clearly needs ease in the ground — if conditions soften enough, his best form puts him right in the picture.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-4 with weak form figures of 7644-7 and a 12/1 outsider price signals limited Saturday Rating of 84 potential.

10
Dexter silks
Dexter
Age 9 · 11-2
2P27-4
93
82
93OR
9
11-2
12/1 10/1 11/1
Fourth at Bangor-on-Dee last time when a run was required after a break, beaten 31 lengths; blinkers and tongue-tie both fitted for the first time now, and there may be more to offer off an eased mark — though he is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

Dexter's Saturday Rating of 82, 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form reading 2P27-4 signal limited winning prospects.

11
Clean Getaway silks
Clean Getaway
Age 9 · 10-12
4514-3
89
82
89OR
9
10-12
14/1 16/1 12/1
Third behind the pace at his last start, beaten 10 lengths off 90, and 1lb lower here with cheekpieces added; handles this going over 2m but his trainer has had a blank 14-day period and more is needed to feature in this company.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 10-12 at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of 82 and inconsistent 4514-3 form limits confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Zumbi
1 Conquer The Breeze 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.50 5/2 Bet365
2 Fort Randall 11/4 open 9.50 3/1 open 10.00 3/1 open 10.00 3/1 open 10.00 11/4 open 10.00 3/1 Coral
3 Ghasham 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 Bet365
4 Intenzo 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Dream Jet 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Blue Reed 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
8 Bentley Road 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Cuzco Du Mathan 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Dexter 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Clean Getaway 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Conquer The Breeze

Live signal

Conquer The Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Adam Nicol Ryan Mania
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ghasham

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Bentley Road

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Stuart Coltherd
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Conquer The Breeze
61.5 5/2
2 3. Ghasham
60.5 11/4
3 2. Fort Randall
59.7 11/4
4 6. Blue Reed
52.4 9/1
5 9. Cuzco Du Mathan
52.0 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Conquer The Breeze
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

Solid recent form (P-1141) and a competitive Saturday Rating of 114 are offset by a demanding weight of 12-4.

2
Age 7 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

Carrying top weight of 12-0 with patchy form of 37/1-3 and a Saturday Rating of 106 limits Fort Randall to mid-market 5/1 contention.

3
Age 7 · 11-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

Ghasham's solid 104 Saturday Rating and consistent form (55-221) are offset by a hefty 11-11 weight at 7/2 odds.

6
Age 7 · 11-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

A recent win improves form appeal, but 11-6 weight and 9/1 odds reflect market scepticism around a Saturday Rating of 94.

10
Age 9 · 11-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

Dexter's Saturday Rating of 82, 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form reading 2P27-4 signal limited winning prospects.

11
Age 9 · 10-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

Carrying top weight 10-12 at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of 82 and inconsistent 4514-3 form limits confidence.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Conquer The Breeze
Confidence: Medium

Conquer The Breeze (SR 114, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field, with a recent form line of P-1141 showing consecutive wins before a placed effort — peak form heading into today. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-4, the SR advantage over the next-best Ghasham (SR 104) is a 10-point gap, substantial enough to absorb the weight burden on Good ground. The 7/4 market confidence is justified by that last-time-out win and consistent recent form, not merely the price. Adam Nicol's runner has the profile of a horse operating at the right level: a 7-year-old chaser in form, suited to a 2m1f trip on Good going. Each-way alternative: Ghasham. Main danger: Ghasham — Ghasham (SR 104, 7/2) carries a favourable 11-11 versus Conquer The Breeze's 12-4, a 7lb weight pull, and a form line of 55-221 shows a horse improving race-by-race to a last-time-out second — if that trajectory continues, the weight concession could be decisive.

Shortlist Conquer The Breeze, Ghasham, Blue Reed
Each-way: Ghasham Danger: Ghasham

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m1f61y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade