Three wins from his last five, including a 7-length handicap success at Hexham last week; carries a penalty here with the tongue-tie fitted, and a repeat would be impressive — clearly in good heart but the higher weight asks more.
Form last 6P-1141
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (P-1141) and a competitive Saturday Rating of 114 are offset by a demanding weight of 12-4.
Shaped with credit on the hurdles last time, finishing 5¼ lengths off the pace off a revised mark; 2lb higher here but back over fences where he may be better suited, and he acts on this going — a genuine each-way proposition.
Form last 637/1-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with patchy form of 37/1-3 and a Saturday Rating of 106 limits Fort Randall to mid-market 5/1 contention.
Consistent performer who took a handicap at Hexham by 3 lengths off a 4lb lower mark last time and runs off the same official mark here; handles this ground and distance well and the trainer is in form — well worth including.
Form last 655-221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Ghasham's solid 104 Saturday Rating and consistent form (55-221) are offset by a hefty 11-11 weight at 7/2 odds.
Tongue-tie fitted for the first time and shaped with renewed intent at Market Rasen last time, beaten just 2½ lengths off a 1lb lower mark; yet to win in recent starts but handles this trip and a good run is not out of the question.
Form last 625-462
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Intenzo's weak 25-462 form, outsider odds of 18/1, and moderate Saturday Rating of 81 justify a low 2-star rating.
Took a step back at Hexham, jumping poorly and well beaten when tried over a longer trip; more effective at 2m on this ground and the drop back in distance could help, though the trainer is out of form and a turnaround is needed.
Form last 6539-38
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 71, poor form reading 539-38, and 25/1 odds signal clear market dismissal of Dream Jet's winning chances.
Had been frustrating before getting off the mark at Kilbeggan last time, winning by 2½ lengths off a 10lb lower mark; tongue-tie and cheekpieces now fitted as he returns to fences — the scope is there to build on that now he has broken his duck.
Form last 66745-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A recent win improves form appeal, but 11-6 weight and 9/1 odds reflect market scepticism around a Saturday Rating of 94.
Shaped better at Hexham last time under a positive ride, beaten 3 lengths off this mark on a stiffer track; cheekpieces fitted and effective across a range of trips — winless in recent starts but must carry that effort forward.
Form last 6O25-42
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 82 combined with weak form (O25-42) and 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.
Drops in the weights after a run of modest results and the ground was too fast when well beaten here last time; visor fitted now and he clearly needs ease in the ground — if conditions soften enough, his best form puts him right in the picture.
Form last 67644-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 11-4 with weak form figures of 7644-7 and a 12/1 outsider price signals limited Saturday Rating of 84 potential.
Fourth at Bangor-on-Dee last time when a run was required after a break, beaten 31 lengths; blinkers and tongue-tie both fitted for the first time now, and there may be more to offer off an eased mark — though he is yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 62P27-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Dexter's Saturday Rating of 82, 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form reading 2P27-4 signal limited winning prospects.
Third behind the pace at his last start, beaten 10 lengths off 90, and 1lb lower here with cheekpieces added; handles this going over 2m but his trainer has had a blank 14-day period and more is needed to feature in this company.
Form last 64514-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 10-12 at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of 82 and inconsistent 4514-3 form limits confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Conquer The Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Adam NicolRyan Mania
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ghasham
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Sam England✓ Value Signal
Bentley Road
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Stuart Coltherd◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Conquer The Breeze (SR 114, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field, with a recent form line of P-1141 showing consecutive wins before a placed effort — peak form heading into today. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-4, the SR advantage over the next-best Ghasham (SR 104) is a 10-point gap, substantial enough to absorb the weight burden on Good ground. The 7/4 market confidence is justified by that last-time-out win and consistent recent form, not merely the price. Adam Nicol's runner has the profile of a horse operating at the right level: a 7-year-old chaser in form, suited to a 2m1f trip on Good going.
Each-way alternative: Ghasham.
Main danger: Ghasham — Ghasham (SR 104, 7/2) carries a favourable 11-11 versus Conquer The Breeze's 12-4, a 7lb weight pull, and a form line of 55-221 shows a horse improving race-by-race to a last-time-out second — if that trajectory continues, the weight concession could be decisive.