Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) · 1m4f
Rated 94 with 22/1 odds and form showing a recent 0, Action lacks the market confidence or consistency for this Group 1.
Saturday Rating of 124 combines with strong 113-1V form and 11/8 market position to justify near-top star rating.
A Saturday Rating of 88 and 50/1 odds reflect poor recent form of 3-11, making Bunyola Bay a weak Group 1 contender.
A Saturday Rating of 126, consistent form figures of 11-131, and strong 4/1 market support at 9-2 weight justify four stars.
Solid Saturday Rating of 119 and consistent form (21-513) justify mid-tier appeal, but 8/1 odds reflect market doubt.
A Saturday Rating of 102 and inconsistent form (11-727) at 12/1 suggests a mid-tier contender lacking the market confidence for a stronger rating.
A Saturday Rating of 125, strong 1-1 form, and competitive 9/4 odds make Raaheeb a compelling near-favourite contender.
A Saturday Rating of 84 and 100/1 odds reflect weak form figures offering minimal winning prospects in this Group 1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Action | 20/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Benvenuto Cellini | 7/4 open 2.50 | — | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 2/1 Coral |
| 3 Bunyola Bay | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Christmas Day | 4/1 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 James J Braddock | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 6 Pierre Bonnard | 10/1 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Raaheeb | 9/4 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 William Hill |
| 8 Shaihaan | 66/1 open 81.00 | — | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Christmas Day owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSaturday Rating of 124 combines with strong 113-1V form and 11/8 market position to justify near-top star rating.
A Saturday Rating of 125, strong 1-1 form, and competitive 9/4 odds make Raaheeb a compelling near-favourite contender.
A Saturday Rating of 126, consistent form figures of 11-131, and strong 4/1 market support at 9-2 weight justify four stars.
Solid Saturday Rating of 119 and consistent form (21-513) justify mid-tier appeal, but 8/1 odds reflect market doubt.
A Saturday Rating of 102 and inconsistent form (11-727) at 12/1 suggests a mid-tier contender lacking the market confidence for a stronger rating.
Rated 94 with 22/1 odds and form showing a recent 0, Action lacks the market confidence or consistency for this Group 1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Benvenuto Cellini (SR 124, 11/8) holds the strongest recent form line in the field with a 113-1V sequence — the V denoting a void race that interrupted a clear winning run — and is the market leader at 11/8, reflecting genuine confidence from the Aidan O'Brien yard which has significant representation here. His SR of 124 leads the field alongside Christmas Day (SR 126) and Raaheeb (SR 125), but his recent winning momentum and the market's decisive endorsement tilt the balance his way; Raaheeb's form of 1-1 is two wins from two but the limited sample on this class of ground adds uncertainty. The Good to Firm 1m4f trip at the Curragh is the classic Derby test and Benvenuto Cellini's form at the top of his form cycle — including a Group-class win — makes him the logical selection ahead of stablemate Christmas Day who last ran a third. Each-way alternative: Raaheeb. Main danger: Christmas Day — Christmas Day (SR 126, 4/1) has the highest SR in the field and a recent winning run on his penultimate start — an 11-131 form line that includes Group-level experience — meaning a bounce-back to peak is entirely credible at the Curragh.