Broke through in a maiden at Naas most recently, benefiting from a positive front-running ride on a reduced trip; returning just four days later with a first-time tongue-tie, effective at 7-10f with some give underfoot, though stepping up in distance here and the official rating does ask more on handicap debut.
Form last 656-421
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-12 at 18/1 odds with a Saturday Rating of 74 limits Listentodwindblow's winning prospects significantly.
Form from his maiden win has been boosted by subsequent events, and he held his level well at Listowel last time, filling fourth just 1¼l off the pace in a Conditions race; effective at 7-8f on soft or yielding ground, though draw 13 and an official mark that asks for more are the checks.
Form last 6514
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
76SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Satoyama's 18/1 odds, modest 76 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent 514 form combine to make this 9-11 weighted runner a weak selection.
Three wins in recent starts, including a 3yo race at Naas last time when a stiff track played to his strengths; yet to be fully tested at this trip and appears to hold strong potential at this level, though draw 17 and six weeks since his last run are factors.
Form last 634-111
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Despite strong recent form (34-111), Bobby McGee's 11/1 odds and 91 Saturday Rating suggest the market lacks confidence at 9-9.
Juvenile form was notably strong, and this return to handicap company after being well beaten in a Listed contest at Navan last time looks a better opportunity; bred and apparently built for 10f, acts on soft and good, and the first-time visor adds another dimension on his handicap debut.
Form last 610-469
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 63, poor form of 10-469, and 33/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this Premier Handicap.
Took a maiden at Fairyhouse by 3¼l last time, the first-time headgear combination clearly unlocking an upturn in form when ridden positively; effective at 10-12f on yielding and good, and a debut handicap mark that gives him room to manoeuvre for a still-progressive sort with a leading jockey-trainer partnership in place makes him a compelling threat.
Form last 680-441
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Antigua's modest Saturday Rating of 88, burden of 9-5, and uninspiring form figures of 80-441 at 13/2 odds undermine confidence.
Yet to score in recent starts and well below her best at Gowran Park last time, going down the field over a longer trip; form has been inconsistent and the trainer is out of sorts, though her sire brings stamina and the first-time tongue-tie is worth a note.
Form last 6460-39
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 62, poor form (460-39), and 28/1 odds signal Brownstown holds little competitive chance.
Two wins in his last five starts, the most recent a handicap at Leopardstown going up in trip on a softer surface; the form has since been validated, but a sharp hike to the official rating makes this a much stiffer test, and our figures rank him towards the foot of the 18-runner field.
Form last 6661-41
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 89 with patchy form (661-41) and unfancied at 10/1, How'sthebai carries 9-5 with little market confidence.
Made his mark at Gowran Park on his most recent start, winning his maiden by ¾l over a mile on good to yielding; from an in-form stable, his form has held up well since and the mark looks reasonable for a progressive sort, the main note being draw 18.
Form last 68-21
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rolltight's 81 Saturday Rating, 14/1 odds, and inconsistent 8-21 form make this a weak market option despite a manageable 9-4 weight.
Went close on handicap debut at Navan last time, beaten by just half a length off a 4lb lower mark while moving smoothly through the race; bred for middle distances and 9f should suit, though 43 days since his last run and draw 5 both ask for a clean passage.
Form last 661-32
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 91 with solid 61-32 form and 9/2 odds, but 9-3 weight limits winning prospects in this competitive handicap.
A Kingman-bred colt who made no mistake at Wolverhampton on his latest start, dropping in class to edge a narrow win; form since has been endorsed and a debut handicap mark that appears to give him scope gives him solid prospects here, with first-time cheekpieces adding a potential extra gear on a sound surface.
Form last 62-241
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 96 Saturday Rating and consistent 2-241 form earn appeal, but 9-1 weight and non-favourite status at 3/1 limit confidence.
Off the back of a below-par handicap debut here, where she was beaten 7¼l over this trip, there are stamina questions to answer at 9f; suited by 6-7f and preferring cut underfoot, the conditions are not ideally aligned and she faces a significant challenge stepping back up.
Form last 6315-9
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 63 with poor recent form of 315-9 and dismissed by the market at 28/1, Stars Will Shine carries 9-1 with little encouragement.
In fine form across recent starts, landing a handicap at Limerick last time by half a length having needed to call on all his reserves over 7-8f; could produce another solid run, though our figures rank him 13 of 18 here and the step up in class is a notable ask.
Form last 62-1121
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Monvoe's 84 Saturday Rating and 14/1 odds suggest the market lacks confidence despite solid 2-1121 form carrying 9-0.
Plugged into third at Gowran Park last time, finishing 6¼l off the winner in a 3yo race; consistent in nature but yet to score in recent starts, and this step up in class makes it a significant ask — effective at 7-8f with cut, she is outpaced on our figures.
Form last 63-7743
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 58, 33/1 odds, and uninspiring form of 3-7743 highlight Cherry Hill Girl as a long-shot with little market confidence.
Winning at Gowran Park last time by a short-head — her best effort in recent starts — Sanctijude now tries first-time cheekpieces; effective at 7-8f on a range of going and consistent at her level, though making a clear step up in grade today means more will be required.
Form last 62-4341
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sanctijude's 67 Saturday Rating, 22/1 odds, and inconsistent 2-4341 form signal limited winning prospects at 8-11.
Finished strongly to be beaten 2l here last time, performing to her mark off a 1lb higher mark at up to a mile; for a leading Irish stable with this trip and track within her comfort zone, building on that effort looks possible — a late-running style could suit if the pace is genuine.
Form last 631-053
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 8-10 at 14/1 with a Saturday Rating of 77 and inconsistent form of 31-053 makes Anushka an unlikely contender.
Going down by a short-head on handicap debut here last time, returning from a break at a 3lb lower mark — an encouraging effort for a consistent filly over this trip on good ground; yet to score in recent starts but has placed steadily, and another solid run is within reach.
Form last 6420-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (420-2) and fair 5/1 odds support a mid-tier 85 Saturday Rating, but 8-8 weight limits winning prospects.
Beaten 5¼l in a handicap here just two days ago and ranked last of the 18 on our figures; stamina is a concern as she steps up in trip, best at 7f, and the combination of a quick turnaround and longer distance makes a compelling case difficult to construct.
Form last 631-968
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 33/1, a low Saturday Rating of 59, and patchy form showing 31-968 highlight Liberation Date's slim winning prospects.
Racing too keenly at Leopardstown last time, he emptied quickly and was well held; winless in recent starts and the tendency to overrace over this sort of trip makes it hard to see a reversal here, leaving him vulnerable in a competitive field.
Form last 6045-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 56, 50/1 odds, and poor recent form of 045-6 offer no case for Ryefield Dasher.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Manton Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2David MarnaneLuke McAteer
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
King Of Earth
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
Satoyama
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
King Of Earth (SR 96, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries a relatively manageable 9-1, giving him a meaningful weight-for-SR advantage over Listentodwindblow (SR 74, 9-12) and Bobby McGee (SR 91, 9-9). His form figures of 2-241 show a consistent progressive profile, with the last-run win confirming peak fitness, and William Haggas is a trainer with the firepower to target a race like this from the UK with a live runner. The market has installed him as a clear favourite at 3/1 — not a skinny price in an 18-runner handicap — which reflects genuine confidence rather than just field-size noise. Good to Firm is ideal for a Haggas mile-type, and 1m1f is well within this horse's proven range.
Each-way alternative: Punica Granatum.
Main danger: Manton Bay — Manton Bay (SR 91, 9/2) is the second pick of the market, carries a fair 9-3, and his form of 61-32 shows he goes close consistently at this level — a horse that runs into a place nearly every time in this type of contest is the most likely to chase King Of Earth home or shade it.
ShortlistKing Of Earth, Manton Bay, Punica Granatum, Bobby McGee, How'sthebai