Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Hurdle · 1m7f168y
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with inconsistent form (13-414) and a mid-range Saturday Rating of 116 limits Morning Mayhem's appeal at 13/2.
Rated 125 with solid 12R-32 form and fair 3/1 odds, but 11-10 weight and non-favourite market position limit confidence.
Recent form of 211 combined with a strong Saturday Rating of 132 justifies the 4/6 market confidence despite carrying 11-7.
Caelan's solid 110 Saturday Rating and consistent form are offset by 11-2 weight and 15/2 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Morning Mayhem | 7/1 open 7.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Hope Rising | 11/4 | — | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 3/1 Coral |
| 3 Edelak | 8/13 open 1.73 | — | 8/13 open 1.67 | 8/13 open 1.67 | 8/13 open 1.67 | 4/6 | 4/6 Betfred |
| 4 Caelan | 9/2 open 9.00 | — | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Edelak owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRecent form of 211 combined with a strong Saturday Rating of 132 justifies the 4/6 market confidence despite carrying 11-7.
Rated 125 with solid 12R-32 form and fair 3/1 odds, but 11-10 weight and non-favourite market position limit confidence.
Caelan's solid 110 Saturday Rating and consistent form are offset by 11-2 weight and 15/2 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Edelak (SR 132, 4/6) is the clear class leader in this four-runner field and arrives in excellent form — the '211' tail to the form string shows back-to-back wins most recently, with only a second separating the three runs. At 11-7, Edelak carries 7lb less than top-weight Morning Mayhem (SR 116) while holding a 16-point SR advantage, making the weight concession entirely manageable. Dan Skelton is a high-strike-rate handler of young hurdlers, and a 4-year-old with a rising form line on Good ground at this trip is exactly the profile to follow. The market has installed Edelak at odds-on for good reason — the SR advantage, the recency of wins, and the weight edge all point in the same direction. Each-way alternative: Hope Rising. Main danger: Hope Rising — Hope Rising (SR 125, 3/1) is the only runner within realistic striking distance on SR and has Jamie Snowden in decent form — a clean run today without the refusal risk could see the '32' recent form translated into a winning effort if Edelak has an off day.