Fourth at Fakenham last time, Hang In There heads our figures and handles today's trip and ground; a fresh campaign alongside a first-time visor makes him the one to beat, though the mark is stiff enough that a sharp performance will be needed.
Form last 61534-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR—RPR146OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a weak 1534-4 form and weak 22/1 odds signals limited winning prospects here.
Two wins in his last three starts, including a narrow victory last time under a patient ride that confirmed he stays 2m7f; with the trainer in excellent form and a first-time tongue-tie applied, he is a serious danger here — though the revised mark may be at the ceiling of his ability.
Form last 6901-21
★AI Rating★★★★☆
143SR—RPR144OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Saturday Rating of 143 combined with consistent form (901-21) and strong 7/2 market position at 11-12 weight justifies confidence.
Two wins earlier in his recent sequence underline his ability when conditions suit, and today's 3m on good ground is right in his range; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up after a well-beaten effort at Bangor last time, though the mark may prove a tough ask.
Form last 61170-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR—RPR144OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Twig's 14/1 odds and inconsistent 1170-3 form undermine confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 120 and top weight 11-12.
Solid form at shorter trips with two wins in his recent sequence, but outstayed over a longer distance at Bangor last time despite moving through the race with purpose; today's 3m appears near the limits of his stamina on good ground, making this a test, though competitive enough off his current weight.
Form last 61163-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
116SR—RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 116 with 18/1 odds and patchy 1163-2 form, Alien Storm carries 11-0 but lacks market confidence.
A winner at Cartmel last time by over three lengths, Ki Woo is making steady progress over fences and stays well beyond today's trip; first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces are a new combination, though the mark is a step up on what he has faced in recent starts.
Form last 62P15-1
★AI Rating★★★★☆
131SR—RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Recent form showing a win, carrying 10-12 at 4/1 odds, and a strong Saturday Rating of 131 justify four stars.
Back in form with consecutive thirds in his last two starts, Peaky Boy handles any ground and the 2.5-3m range suits him well; first-time headgear may sharpen his response, but he remains winless in his recent runs and the current mark is a steep ask.
Form last 6F00-33
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
121SR—RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 121 with solid recent form (33) but 10/1 odds and 10-12 weight suggest market sees limited winning chance.
Steadily progressive over this trip on fast ground, Hold Your Fort won by over five lengths three starts back before struggling to dictate terms when third last time out; 1lb lower here after a short break, but our figures place him firmly in the outsider bracket.
Form last 64U12-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
112SR—RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 18/1 and a modest Saturday Rating of 112 reflect limited confidence despite solid recent form showing a win and place.
Second by a neck last time off his current mark, Queensbury Boy ranks equal-top on our figures on the back of strong hurdle form; today's 3m tests his stamina limits and jumping over fences has been inconsistent — the main reservation, alongside the first-time tongue-tie.
Form last 6526-12
★AI Rating★★★★☆
131SR—RPR127OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Recent form showing a win and second, combined with a competitive 4/1 market price and solid 131 Saturday Rating, justify strong 4-star claims.
A front-runner who won at Fakenham two starts back, Time To Bite has been thriving, but he was outstayed last time when used too aggressively; first-time blinkers aim to address that tendency, though our figures rank him last of the 13 runners.
Form last 6132-13
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 33/1 and a Saturday Rating of 97 undermine consistent form of 132-13 despite a competitive 10-8 weight.
Three wins in his last five starts including an 18-length success at this track two starts back, Grand Clermont still appears well treated on his combined UK and French form; 2lb higher than when runner-up last time but a first-time tongue-tie and the right conditions give him solid claims.
Form last 611-612
★AI Rating★★★★☆
122SR—RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 122 combined with consistent form (11-612) and fair 15/2 odds justify the 4-star rating despite carrying 10-6.
A useful performer over hurdles now applying that talent to fences, Samuel Spade landed his handicap chase debut at Worcester last time by two and a half lengths; still building his jumping technique and effective at 2.5-3m, he has scope for further progress in this sphere.
Form last 6788-41
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR—RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Recent form shows a win and second from last two runs, but 10-6 weight and 9/1 odds suggest market doubts his consistency.
Finishing well from the rear at Aintree last time, beaten three lengths, Regarde handles 3m+ on good ground and connections landed this prize last year; blinkers first time may help, but without a win in his last four starts he remains an outsider on our figures.
Form last 6/352-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
117SR—RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 117 and consistent form figures of /352-2 are undermined by 12/1 odds suggesting market skepticism.
Back in form with a win at Stratford last time, landing a handicap on a step up in trip by two and a quarter lengths; first-time cheekpieces are a new addition and he handles 3m on a sound surface, though our figures place him in the outsider bracket for this stronger contest.
Form last 6075-21
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
115SR—RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 115 and 16/1 odds suggest the market lacks confidence despite recent form showing two wins.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Riskintheground owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (79) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Queensbury Boy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Mickey Bowen✓ Value Signal
Hold Your Fort
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Debra Hamer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Riskintheground (SR 143, 7/2) is the clear class standout in this field — his SR sits 12 points clear of the next-best runners and the 4-star AI probability reflects genuine market confidence at a fair price. His recent form of 901-21 shows a last-time-out win followed by a runner-up, confirming peak-season form, and the single '9' is easily explained as an anomalous run amid otherwise competitive figures. At 11-12 he carries joint-top weight with Twig, but his SR advantage is wide enough to absorb that burden on good ground over 3m, and Dan Skelton's yard operates at a high strike-rate with horses in this kind of form cycle. The 7/2 market confidence — shortest in the field alongside Ki Woo — is supported by substance rather than hype.
Each-way alternative: Queensbury Boy.
Main danger: Ki Woo — Ki Woo (SR 131, 4/1) is lightly weighted at 10-12 relative to his SR, returns a last-time-out win from form 2P15-1, and at just 6 years old has significant untapped potential over this staying trip on good ground.
ShortlistRiskintheground, Ki Woo, Queensbury Boy, Grand Clermont, Samuel Spade