Holker Hall & Gardens Handicap Chase · 3m1f107y
A Saturday Rating of 72, combined with a poor form reading of 585P-7, 16/1 odds, and top weight of 12-0 makes Shantou Show an unappealing selection.
A Saturday Rating of 74, distant 16/1 odds, and recent form including a pull-up make You Did a weak contender carrying 11-4.
Recent form shows back-to-back wins, but 11-3 weight and 91 Saturday Rating limit confidence despite 2/1 odds.
Carrying top weight 10-12 with poor form P9P-67 and a weak Saturday Rating of 73 at 12/1 suggests minimal winning prospects.
Rated just 68 with form showing three non-completions and dismissed by the market at 14/1, Lights Are Green offers no winning case.
A Saturday Rating of 54, 33/1 odds, and form showing two unseated finishes make Blazing Court a deeply unconvincing betting proposition.
Star Turn's modest Saturday Rating of 81, 15/2 odds, and form showing no wins from four runs justify only 2 stars.
Carrying 10-6 with a Saturday Rating of just 77 and poor form reading P9P/72 makes 15/2 poor value.
Aill Dubh's 76 Saturday Rating and inconsistent PP31-4 form justify mid-tier 3/5 stars despite fair 13/2 odds.
Rated 85 with solid recent form (31 finish) at 3/1 and 10-3 weight suggests mid-tier contention, not dominance.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Shantou Show | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 2 You Did | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Halfway House Lad | 2/1 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Judicial Review | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 5 Lights Are Green | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Blazing Court | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Star Turn | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Croagh Patrick | 22/1 open 7.50 | — | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Aill Dubh | 7/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Kingofthegame | 2/1 open 4.33 | — | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Halfway House Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRecent form shows back-to-back wins, but 11-3 weight and 91 Saturday Rating limit confidence despite 2/1 odds.
Rated 85 with solid recent form (31 finish) at 3/1 and 10-3 weight suggests mid-tier contention, not dominance.
Aill Dubh's 76 Saturday Rating and inconsistent PP31-4 form justify mid-tier 3/5 stars despite fair 13/2 odds.
Star Turn's modest Saturday Rating of 81, 15/2 odds, and form showing no wins from four runs justify only 2 stars.
Carrying top weight 10-12 with poor form P9P-67 and a weak Saturday Rating of 73 at 12/1 suggests minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 72, combined with a poor form reading of 585P-7, 16/1 odds, and top weight of 12-0 makes Shantou Show an unappealing selection.
Rated just 68 with form showing three non-completions and dismissed by the market at 14/1, Lights Are Green offers no winning case.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Halfway House Lad (SR 91, 2/1) arrives on the back of back-to-back wins (form: 366-11), the strongest recent form in the field, and his SR of 91 is comfortably the highest. Despite carrying 11-3, a significant weight burden in this company, his recent winning sequence on Good ground over staying trips confirms he is at peak fitness. Trainer James Moffatt has him clearly in form, and the market has installed him as a clear favourite with confidence — not drift — suggesting stable confidence. The 6lb weight concession to Kingofthegame (SR 85, 10-3) is a genuine concern, but Halfway House Lad's momentum and superior SR justify the call. Each-way alternative: Kingofthegame. Main danger: Kingofthegame — Kingofthegame (SR 85, 3/1) carries a featherweight 10-3 — 14lb less than Halfway House Lad — and his form of 54-F31 shows two consecutive placed/winning efforts at the end of his sequence, and at 11 years younger in competitive terms he has the weight advantage to compensate for his SR deficit.