Progressive filly who was just edged out at Fairyhouse last time, going down by a short-head in an auction race where she may have been slightly outstayed late. Effective at 5-6f on yielding to good; first-time cheekpieces could sharpen the response, though stall 15 and the class step are factors to weigh.
Form last 60-7022
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 82, drifting odds of 14/1 and inconsistent form 0-7022 make Gazelle d'Or unappealing.
Back to his very best at Doncaster last time, showing a fine turn of foot from the front to land a handicap by 3½ lengths off a mark 11lb lower; ideally suited by 5f and fast ground. The rise in class and weights are factors, but he rates the clear form pick.
Form last 69-7031
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 97 and patchy form of 9-7031 limits confidence despite fair 3/1 odds.
Placed in a Listed sprint at Cork last time, beaten just half a length; the strongest form of her career in recent outings and she handles a range of going from heavy to good. A poor overall strike rate is the one concern, but she arrives on the back of a very solid display.
Form last 6-62242
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-13 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 91, unreliable form of -62242, and unfancied at 11/1 limits confidence significantly.
Third in a Listed sprint at Cork last time, running to his best after a disappointing spell of form earlier in the season; clearly capable at a high level and acts on any ground. First-time visor here; whether he can translate that Listed effort into a handicap result is the question.
Form last 6-90033
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-12 with poor recent form of -90033 and unfancied at 18/1, the Saturday Rating of 74 offers little confidence.
Landed a narrow success at this track earlier in the season off a mark 5lb lower, hitting the front by a short-head; ran fifth last time on quicker ground off this same mark and would ideally want some cut. Consistent profile, but the official rating may be stretching him today.
Form last 65-3215
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-11 with a modest Saturday Rating of 77 and 20/1 odds, Stag Night's inconsistent form of 5-3215 offers little confidence.
Front-running filly with natural pace who overdid it at the head of affairs in a Listed sprint at Cork last time, going down by nine lengths; better suited by today's 5f on a sound surface, and the addition of a first-time tongue-tie may help her race more conservatively.
Form last 654-207
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 62, poor recent form (54-207), and 33/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects here.
Former Group-level performer whose form has regressed in recent starts, beaten three lengths off a 3lb higher mark at Navan last time; first-time cheekpieces signal that connections are trying something different. The wide draw from stall 17 is an added obstacle, though he retains ability on any ground at 5f.
Form last 6-29686
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Kerdos carries 9-9 with a Saturday Rating of 78, poor recent form of -29686, and is an unconsidered 12/1 outsider.
Thriving in current form, landing a handicap at Down Royal last time by 2¼ lengths off a mark 7lb lower; two recent wins on the board and she handles yielding to good well. Attempting a hat-trick off a career-high mark is a stiff ask, but the momentum is firmly in her favour.
Form last 6806011
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-8 off a Saturday Rating of 89 at 9/1, Sarahmae's inconsistent form (806011) undermines confidence despite recent wins.
Hampered and with plenty to make up when closing to be third last time, beaten only a length off 88; the mark here is just 1lb higher. He landed a narrow success at Lingfield on his penultimate outing, and turf on fast ground is the one question today.
Form last 643-113
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (43-113) and a competitive 9/2 price are offset by a demanding 9-6 weight limiting his ceiling at a Saturday Rating of 95.
Fourth on his comeback run at Dundalk, beaten 4½ lengths and not at his best returning from a break; his mark has eased in recent starts and he handles a sound surface at 5-6f. Improvement on that reappearance effort looks a fair expectation as fitness levels improve.
Form last 61721-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 89 with outdated form (1721-4) and carrying 9-6 at 9/1, Red Evolution shows mid-tier credentials without market confidence.
Double headgear change today — first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces — but Moltophino was too prominent at this track last time, setting it up for rivals and beaten three lengths off a mark just 1lb higher. Generally consistent; hard to fancy against this field on our figures.
Form last 65450-9
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 9-1 with poor recent form 5450-9 and a low Saturday Rating of 73 at 12/1 signals minimal winning prospects.
Inconsistent course specialist who moved to the front too soon at this track last time and was beaten two lengths off a mark just 2lb higher; today she wears first-time cheekpieces. She handles good ground at 6-7f, but our figures rank her 16th of 17 and consistency is the concern.
Form last 6309-64
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Form figures of 309-64 and a Saturday Rating of 80 at 8-10 weight suggest mid-field potential at 11/2 odds.
Won narrowly at Dundalk three starts back off a mark 3lb lower, but showed too much too soon when finishing ninth beaten eight lengths off this same mark last time; inconsistent in recent outings. First-time cheekpieces here and he handles any ground at 5f, but the form is hard to trust.
Form last 6205179
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 59, poor recent form (205179), and 33/1 odds signal the market holds little confidence in Cuban Grey.
Two wins on his recent record and went well through the winter period, but the mark appears to have caught up with him — beaten seven lengths at Dundalk last time off 77. That rating looked stretched on the day and there is little from recent form to suggest a reversal here.
Form last 61-3156
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Buddy Batt's 33/1 odds, modest Saturday Rating of 65, and inconsistent form of 1-3156 offer little confidence at 8-8.
Placed on her most recent start at Down Royal, beaten 2¼ lengths off this same mark after stepping down in class; effective over today's trip on soft to good-to-firm ground. A maiden winner now stepping up in handicap grade, she needs a little more to land a blow here.
Form last 621-802
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 72 with weak 21-802 form and 16/1 odds, Shadow Of The Moon lacks the market confidence or recent consistency to compete here.
Landed a half-length success at this track in May off a mark 2lb lower and was a close third on his most recent outing after dropping in class; drops 1lb here. A natural front-runner suited by the trip; first-time cheekpieces add interest, though he is ideally at home on the all-weather.
Form last 60-1403
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 73 and uninspiring form of 0-1403 make 16/1 odds and 8-7 weight hard to overcome.
Pressed hard up front at Cork last time, doing too much too early and beaten six lengths; form has slipped through recent starts. Stall 16 is a further obstacle, and while first-time tongue-tie is an application for improvement, our figures rank him last of the 17 runners here.
Form last 69-6706
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 54, 40/1 odds, and poor recent form (9-6706) make Harry's Hill an outsider with little market confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Toca Madera owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1David O'MearaDaniel Tudhope
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Dark Ace
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Shadow Of The Moon
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · John James Feane◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Toca Madera (SR 97, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 2 points over Dark Ace (SR 95) and carries 10-0 — the joint top-weight — but the market's strong confidence at 3/1 in a 17-runner field reflects genuine respect for David O'Meara's handler who travels runners across the Irish Sea with purpose. The form string 9-7031 shows a recent win (rightmost '1') and that last-time-out victory is the key signal: a horse winning off this mark in this grade confirms the SR is live. On Good to Firm at 5f, the weight of 10-0 is manageable compared to soft-ground top-weights, and O'Meara raiders to Curragh are not thrown in lightly. The 3/1 price has held with market confidence rather than drifting, validating the public form reading.
Each-way alternative: Dark Ace.
Main danger: Dark Ace — Dark Ace (SR 95, 9/2) carries a featherweight 9-6 — 8lb less than Toca Madera — and the form string 43-113 shows back-to-back wins most recently, suggesting a horse peaking at exactly the right time, and Adrian McGuinness is a shrewd handler in these conditions.
ShortlistToca Madera, Dark Ace, Sarahmae, Back Down Under