Curragh 17:08 RESULTED
22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap

Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Clonmacash (GB) Sam Coen · Adrian McGuinness
    13/2
  2. Second Rosato (IRE)
    17/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 31 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Clonmacash silks
Clonmacash
Age 5 · 10-2
354375
72
52
80
5
10-2
12/1 18/1 12/1
Clonmacash arrives here 19 days after a fifth, yet to win in his last six starts, though a third three starts back shows he can threaten the frame; he has run over today's trip and conditions before, and a mark of 72 leaves our rating of 80 suggesting some headroom, though stall 22 and 142 lb are factors to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Mint Man silks
Mint Man
Age 5 · 10-2
848031
72
70
78
5
10-2
6/1
Mint Man won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but a mark of 72 and draw 10 at 142 lb are the counterweights, and his form in recent starts has been patchy beyond that latest success.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Soulful Diva silks
Soulful Diva
Age 3 · 10-1
84-692
74
66
81
3
10-1
10/1 13/2 9/1
Winless in her last five starts, Soulful Diva bounced back sharply last time with a second, has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 80 marks her as a serious threat from stall 25, though consistency remains the key question.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bold Optimist silks
Bold Optimist
Age 6 · 9-13
-36423
69
63
78
6
9-13
10/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts, Bold Optimist nonetheless brings a consistent placed thread — third last time out and a second two starts back — and has run over today's trip and going before, though 139 lb from stall 21 are not inconsiderable asks for a gelding rated 69 officially.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hugo's Girl silks
Hugo's Girl
Age 4 · 9-13
032442
69
72
77
4
9-13
4/1 5/1 4/1
Placed twice in her last six starts — second last time out and a second four starts back — Hugo's Girl arrives 13 days fresh and has run over today's distance and going before, though she remains winless in recent starts and a hefty 139 lb from stall 26 are the headwinds to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Four Blondes silks
Four Blondes
Age 5 · 9-12
98-405
68
49
82
5
9-12
14/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts, Four Blondes returns after 31 days looking better treated than her official mark of 68 suggests, with our rating of 82 offering meaningful leanings her way; fifth last time out and fourth three starts back hint at ability, and she has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Treasured Royal silks
Treasured Royal
Age 3 · 9-12
345354
71
60
84
3
9-12
14/1
Treasured Royal shaped with promise when third three starts back and her trainer is in red-hot form at 29% over the past fortnight, making her a serious threat despite being winless in her last six starts and returning after 51 days off.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Pinar Del Rio silks
Pinar Del Rio
Age 7 · 9-11
09-405
67
57
76
7
9-11
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 105 days, Pinar Del Rio does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a rating of 76 offers some encouragement — though carrying 137 lb from stall 19 gives connections plenty to navigate.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

9
Poweracclaim silks
Poweracclaim
Age 4 · 9-10
5-4043
66
68
81
4
9-10
SP FCST 11/2
Poweracclaim has been knocking on the door, finishing third last time out and fourth two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him solid claims here; the risk is he remains winless in recent starts and must prove he can convert.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Chester Nimitz silks
Chester Nimitz
Age 4 · 9-9
-59909
65
51
80
4
9-9
12/1 16/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Chester Nimitz has run over today's trip and going before, and 19 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, a persistent pattern of ninth-place finishes is hard to ignore, and 135 lb from stall 18 adds further pressure.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Unidos silks
Unidos
Age 3 · 9-9
50-805
68
45
70
3
9-9
16/1 20/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 31, Unidos has experience over today's trip and going but returns after 45 days off carrying 135 lb from stall 20, and his recent string of fifths and unplaced runs offer little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Kiss Don't Tell silks
Kiss Don't Tell
Age 3 · 9-8
052-8
67
37
66
3
9-8
33/1 20/1 33/1
Kiss Don't Tell showed a promising second two starts back but was well beaten on her latest outing eight days ago, and winless in her last four starts, she faces a stiff task from stall 30 carrying 134 lb, despite having experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Cladach silks
Cladach
Age 3 · 9-7
490
66
44
67
3
9-7
22/1 12/1 22/1
Winless in his last three starts, Cladach was fourth three starts back but has drifted since, finishing ninth and then unplaced most recently; experience over today's trip and going helps, though his 133 lb burden from stall 23 gives him plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

14
Ocean Echo silks
Ocean Echo
Age 3 · 9-7
624686
66
39
69
3
9-7
66/1 25/1 50/1
Winless in his last six starts, Ocean Echo at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, and 29 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; however, a run of two sixths and an eighth in recent outings makes it hard to fancy him from 14th in the rankings.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

15
Beat The Devil silks
Beat The Devil
Age 4 · 9-6
472506
62
44
65
4
9-6
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 24 of 31 on our figures, Beat The Devil faces a stiff ask carrying 132 lb from stall 11, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

16
Glasarmi silks
Glasarmi
Age 3 · 9-6
545
65
32
57
3
9-6
33/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked well down the field on our figures, Glasarmi is hard to fancy here; she has run over today's trip before and returns after 64 days off, though the 132 lb burden from stall 14 does her no favours.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

17
Are You In Or Out silks
Are You In Or Out
Age 5 · 9-5
0-1708
61
40
69
5
9-5
50/1 33/1 50/1
Beaten into eighth last time out after 42 days off, and her most recent win came four starts back, so she arrives needing to recapture that form; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 69 offers encouragement, though a mark of 61 and 131 lb from stall 8 make it competitive.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

18
Cashel Blue silks
Cashel Blue
Age 3 · 9-5
705135
64
55
66
3
9-5
22/1 9/1 22/1
Cashel Blue won three starts back and was third two starts back, so there is upward momentum to consider, but she was only fifth last time out and her 8-day turnaround leaves little time to bounce back; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 gives her a slim edge over her official mark.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Coincidental Glory silks
Coincidental Glory
Age 3 · 9-5
046329
64
56
76
3
9-5
14/1
Winless in his last six starts, Coincidental Glory does offer some encouragement with a second and third in recent outings, though a ninth last time out is harder to ignore; he has run over today's trip and going before, but 131 lb from stall 12 makes life no easier.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Absoluteassignment silks
Absoluteassignment
Age 3 · 9-4
077270
63
39
71
3
9-4
100/1 33/1 100/1
Absoluteassignment is yet to win in his last six starts, though a second three starts back offers some encouragement; carrying 130 lb from stall 9 on a comeback of 35 days looks the chief concern, even if he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

21
Caislean Ni Cuan silks
Caislean Ni Cuan
Age 3 · 9-4
4750
63
34
65
3
9-4
40/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 23 of 31 on our figures, Caislean Ni Cuan is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround fit and ready.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

22
Battleforsupremacy silks
Battleforsupremacy
Age 3 · 9-3
016-73
62
53
67
3
9-3
28/1 16/1 28/1
Battleforsupremacy showed a return to form with a third last time out, and a winner four starts back, but 176 days off the track raises fitness questions; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from stall 7.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

23
Irish Rumour silks
Irish Rumour
Age 6 · 9-3
-02050
59
37
66
6
9-3
33/1 20/1 33/1
Irish Rumour has experience over today's trip and going but has been winless in her last five starts, with her best recent effort a second four starts back; carrying 129 lb from stall 13 makes further progress a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

24
Rosato silks
Rosato
Age 5 · 9-2
-90720
58
39
68
5
9-2
14/1 20/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts, Rosato does bring distance and going experience to the table, and her second two starts back suggests she retains some ability; however, carrying 128 lb from stall 31 gives connections plenty to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

25
Caffu Zafeen silks
Caffu Zafeen
Age 5 · 9-0
66-000
56
42
65
5
9-0
16/1 33/1 16/1
Caffu Zafeen has been consistently below par, unplaced in his last three starts and finishing sixth in the two before that, leaving him winless in his recent five outings; a trainer without a strike from 24 runners in the past fortnight makes him very hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

26
Raven's Call silks
Raven's Call
Age 3 · 8-12
059-0
57
30
49
3
8-12
50/1 50/1 40/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked last of the field on our figures, Raven's Call faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 36-day break with some freshness to offer from stall 28.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

27
De Songbird silks
De Songbird
Age 3 · 8-9
76077
54
33
58
3
8-9
80/1 50/1 80/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 26 of 31 on our figures, De Songbird faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's going before and returns after 39 days, but consistent finishes towards the rear make her hard to fancy from stall 15 carrying 121 lb.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

28
Fontaine Khaled silks
Fontaine Khaled
Age 3 · 8-8
008375
53
36
61
3
8-8
33/1 20/1 33/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 25 of 31 on our figures, Fontaine Khaled is hard to fancy, though she did finish third three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while 15 days since her last outing suggests she is fit enough.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

29
Platino Bianco silks
Platino Bianco
Age 5 · 8-7
601556
47
35
57
5
8-7
25/1
Ranked 28 of 31 on our figures, Platino Bianco faces a stiff ask, with three consecutive finishes of sixth, fifth and fifth in recent starts offering little encouragement; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a winner four starts back at least confirms she can find the line.
AI verdict

SR 35 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

30
She's On The Ball silks
She's On The Ball
Age 3 · 8-7
000583
44
34
53
3
8-7
20/1 14/1 20/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 29 of 31 on our figures, She's On The Ball faces a stiff task from stall 24 carrying 119 lb, though a third last time out offers a sliver of encouragement and she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

31
Lady Landhort silks
Lady Landhort
Age 3 · 8-7
183500
43
27
51
3
8-7
66/1 40/1 50/1
Ranked 30 of 31 on our figures, Lady Landhort's recent form offers little encouragement — unplaced in her last two starts and winless in her last five — though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick six-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Clonmacash 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 William Hill
2 Mint Man 6/1 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
3 Soulful Diva 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Bold Optimist 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Hugo's Girl 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
6 Four Blondes 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Coral
7 Treasured Royal 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
8 Pinar Del Rio 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Paddy Power
9 Poweracclaim 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 13/2 Coral
10 Chester Nimitz 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Unidos 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Paddy Power
12 Kiss Don't Tell 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Cladach 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 William Hill
14 Ocean Echo 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
15 Beat The Devil 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 Paddy Power
16 Glasarmi 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
17 Are You In Or Out 50/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
18 Cashel Blue 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
19 Coincidental Glory 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 William Hill
20 Absoluteassignment 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 41.00 125/1 Paddy Power
21 Caislean Ni Cuan 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
22 Battleforsupremacy 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
23 Irish Rumour 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
24 Rosato 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 William Hill
25 Caffu Zafeen 16/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 18/1 Paddy Power
26 Raven's Call 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
27 De Songbird 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Paddy Power
28 Fontaine Khaled 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
29 Platino Bianco 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
30 She's On The Ball 20/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 Paddy Power
31 Lady Landhort 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hugo's Girl

Speculative

Hugo's Girl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Thomas Dowling W J Lee
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mint Man

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · P J F Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Battleforsupremacy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Daniel McLoughlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Hugo's Girl
49.7 4/1
2 2. Mint Man
48.1 6/1
3 3. Soulful Diva
47.7 10/1
4 9. Poweracclaim
45.8 SP
5 4. Bold Optimist
43.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hugo's Girl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-13
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 10-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 10-1
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Age 5 · 9-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Age 3 · 9-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

19
Age 3 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

24
Age 5 · 9-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Age 7 · 9-11
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

11
Age 3 · 9-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

15
Age 4 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

25
Age 5 · 9-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

30
Age 3 · 8-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hugo's Girl
Confidence: Speculative

Hugo's Girl holds the highest SR in the field at 72, carrying 9-13 which is a manageable weight in a 31-runner sprint handicap. W J Lee is a 14%-strike-rate booking in a field full of apprentices and low-percentage jockeys, a significant edge in a competitive cavalry charge. The market has drifted 11% (Mkt:out11%), but the drift is best explained by the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags rather than any fundamental doubt about ability — in a field where virtually every runner shares those weaknesses, the SR superiority and jockey quality override the concern. Mint Man (SR:70, Mkt:in5%) is the clearest danger, last-time-out winner off +6lb but with a 2%-strike-rate trainer and a 5%-jockey, making connections a clear negative contrast. Each-way alternative: Poweracclaim. Main danger: Mint Man — Mint Man (SR:70, 13/2, Mkt:in5%) is a last-time-out winner who the market is quietly backing, and while the +6lb mark rise and low-percentage connections are concerns, the SR is second only to Hugo's Girl and the gentle steam suggests informed support.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Thomas Dowling strikes at only 5% from 43 runners — a very shallow, low-percentage yard that rarely lands sprint handicaps of this size and competitiveness.
  • Hugo's Girl's form reads 032442 — no win in this sequence and finishing 4th twice recently, suggesting she finds a way to get beaten at the crucial moment.
  • Market has drifted 11% despite W J Lee booking being known at time of opening show, implying layers have specific negative information (going/distance fit flags both negative).
  • Poweracclaim (SR:68, 6/1) combines a double-figure trainer (J P Murtagh 11%) and jockey (Ben Coen 11%) with a lighter weight of 9-10 — a stronger connections pairing at a shorter price represents a c…
Shortlist Hugo's Girl, Mint Man, Poweracclaim, Cashel Blue
Each-way: Poweracclaim Danger: Mint Man

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
31 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting