Newton Abbot 16:52 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race

Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m167y

Official Result

Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mojito Des Mottes (FR) Harry Cobden · Ben Pauling
    13/2
  2. 5/4F
  3. Third Sayva (IRE)
    7/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Charlus silks
Charlus
Age 5 · 12-0
P0P-50
118
97
132
5
12-0
22/1 16/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts, Charlus nevertheless heads this field on ratings and has run over today's trip and going, giving connections a solid platform; the 168 lb burden is the one note of caution, but 35 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh and ready.
AI verdict

SR 97 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Mojito Des Mottes silks
Mojito Des Mottes
Age 4 · 11-11
2442-P
118
102
111
4
11-11
13/2 9/2 5/1
Pulled up last time out is the blunt entry point here — Mojito Des Mottes has been winless in his last five starts, and our rating ranks him fifth of six runners, making him hard to fancy despite previous placed efforts and experience over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Max Of Stars silks
Max Of Stars
Age 6 · 11-11
413U-4
115
104
120
6
11-11
15/2 5/1 15/2
A winner four starts back, Max Of Stars arrives here on the back of a third three starts back and brings strong claims on a rating of 120; the main concern is her unseated-rider blot two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sayva silks
Sayva
Age 6 · 11-11
/6455-
115
102
123
6
11-11
15/2 13/2 7/1
Sayva shapes as a leading threat on our rating of 123, and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but he arrives winless in his last four starts and a 239-day absence is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Arctic Voyage silks
Arctic Voyage
Age 4 · 11-9
P1-121
116
126
117
4
11-9
7/4 3/2 18/13
Arctic Voyage arrives on the back of three wins in his last five starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of today's trip and conditions — a potent profile that makes him a leading danger here; the main concern is whether 50 days off the track has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 6/4 — a genuine contender.

6
Lunar Orbit silks
Lunar Orbit
Age 4 · 10-11
2P315-
104
110
109
4
10-11
2/1 11/10 31/19
Lunar Orbit is hard to fancy ranked last on our figures and returning from a 198-day absence carrying 151 lb, though he has winning form two starts back and experience over today's trip and going to his name.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Charlus 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
2 Mojito Des Mottes 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Betfred
3 Max Of Stars 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Coral
4 Sayva 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Arctic Voyage 7/4 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 7/4 Bet365
6 Lunar Orbit 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.10 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Arctic Voyage

Live signal

Arctic Voyage owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Michael Blake Harry Reed
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lunar Orbit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Charlus

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Dan Skelton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Arctic Voyage
65.0 7/4
2 6. Lunar Orbit
64.1 2/1
3 3. Max Of Stars
57.3 15/2
4 4. Sayva
56.2 15/2
5 2. Mojito Des Mottes
55.9 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Arctic Voyage
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 11-9
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 126 🐾

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 6/4 — a genuine contender.

6
Age 4 · 10-11
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 110 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 11-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-11
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-11
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Arctic Voyage
Confidence: High

Arctic Voyage (SR 126, 6/4) is in a different ability bracket to this field — a 16-22 SR point advantage over the next-best — and that dominance is backed by every supporting signal. Course:W2P3 at Newton Abbot is outstanding specialist form, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm the trip and ground suit perfectly, the market has shortened 16% since opening, and the Class drop (↓1) means this horse is meeting a weaker field than its most recent outing. Carrying 11-9 is the lightest weight in the race, giving a further physical edge over rivals. The only flag is MarkMv:+4 (running 4lb higher than last win) and 50 days off, but trainer Michael Blake (18% strike rate) and jockey Harry Reed (20%) are a sharp combination, and the pre-race money is emphatic. Each-way alternative: Lunar Orbit. Main danger: Lunar Orbit — Lunar Orbit (SR 110, 2/1) carries the lightest weight after Arctic Voyage, GoingFit:+ confirms the ground suits, MarkMv:-2 means it runs off a mark below its last win, and the Harry Skelton/Dan Skelton combination (27%/21% strike rates) is the most potent in jumps racing — the 19% drift is concerning but this yard runs horses fit to go after a layoff and the 198-day absence may not be the problem the market fears.

Case against 4
  • 50-day absence is a tangible fitness question for a 4yo still maturing — Michael Blake's small string (34 runners) gives limited data on how he returns horses from breaks of this length.
  • MarkMv:+4 means Arctic Voyage is running off a mark 4lb higher than its last win; in a weak field where margins are tight, that handicap rise could be the difference against a improving rival.
  • Lunar Orbit (SR:110, 2/1) is trained by Dan Skelton with Harry Skelton up — the sport's sharpest jumps combination — and after 198 days off the stable flag suggests a targeted comeback run with signi…
  • Harry Reed's 20% strike rate comes from only 55 rides, a small sample that may overstate true ability to deliver under pressure at a key market price of 6/4 where any error is costly.
Shortlist Arctic Voyage, Lunar Orbit, Max Of Stars
Each-way: Lunar Orbit Danger: Lunar Orbit

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m167y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade