York 15:00 RESULTED
Class 1 22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)

Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Notable Speech (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    9/4F
  2. 6/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lake Forest silks
Lake Forest
Age 5 · 9-8
7-1517
118
125
124
5
9-8
11/2
Lake Forest won two starts back and has run over today's trip, carrying 134 lb from stall five as the top-rated runner in the field; the worry is that seventh last time out suggests his form can be in and out.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Marvelman silks
Marvelman
Age 4 · 9-8
10-926
114
91
116
4
9-8
22/1 16/1 18/1
Ran second two starts back but ninth three starts back tempers enthusiasm, and he has been out of the frame more often than not in recent starts; has run over today's trip and 25 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 134 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Native Warrior silks
Native Warrior
Age 5 · 9-8
15-271
110
84
108
5
9-8
40/1 28/1 33/1
Native Warrior won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and carrying 134 lb after 72 days off, he faces a stiff task here.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Notable Speech silks
Notable Speech
Age 5 · 9-8
11-416
124
126
121
5
9-8
11/4 10/3 11/4
Three wins in his last five starts, including a victory two starts back, make Notable Speech a genuine threat here, and he has run over today's trip before; the main risk is the 67-day absence.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Paborus silks
Paborus
Age 5 · 9-8
1/13-1
113
90
113
5
9-8
20/1 14/1 18/1
Paborus has won three times in his last four starts, most recently landing the spoils, though a third two starts back breaks the sequence; he has run over today's trip before, but 56 days off the track and a burden of 134 lb from stall 13 are factors to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Powerful Glory silks
Powerful Glory
Age 4 · 9-8
/851-7
115
84
117
4
9-8
50/1 FCST 33/1
Powerful Glory won two starts back but that seventh last time out — after a 91-day absence — leaves fitness questions hanging; he has run over today's trip and carries 134 lb from stall nine, a weight that may test his chances of recapturing that winning form.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rogue Diplomat silks
Rogue Diplomat
Age 4 · 9-8
-25712
113
109
106
4
9-8
16/1 12/1 14/1
Rogue Diplomat shaped well enough last time, finishing second, but our rating of 106 leaves him well below the field ranked 12 of 14, and a seventh three starts back does little to inspire confidence; carrying 134 lb from stall 12, the case for him is thin despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Satono Reve silks
Satono Reve
Age 7 · 9-8
9-1223
119
110
124
7
9-8
12/1 17/2 11/1
Satono Reve has been in fine form of late, finishing second twice and third last time out, with a win four starts back adding further substance to his profile; he has run over today's trip before and 124 on our rating marks him a leading danger, though 42 days off the track is the one question to answer.
AI verdict

SR 110 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ten Bob Tony silks
Ten Bob Tony
Age 5 · 9-8
-48114
121
131
122
5
9-8
10/3 13/2 3/1
Back-to-back wins give Ten Bob Tony strong recent credentials, and he arrives here fit on 24 days' rest having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 134 lb from stall 8, a fourth last time out tempers enthusiasm slightly, but his profile makes him a confident selection.
AI verdict

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Flora Of Bermuda silks
Flora Of Bermuda
Age 5 · 9-5
9-1011
111
114
115
5
9-5
9/1 12/1 13/2
Flora Of Bermuda arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, though that unplaced effort three starts back tempers enthusiasm slightly, and 131 lb from stall 10 is no small ask against a competitive 14-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Lifeplan silks
Lifeplan
Age 3 · 9-3
11-3
113
92
106
3
9-3
80/1 25/1 50/1
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures and carrying a hefty 129 lb from stall 14, Lifeplan is hard to fancy despite a tidy recent sequence that includes back-to-back wins in his last three starts, with a third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Power Blue silks
Power Blue
Age 3 · 9-3
-27441
110
88
112
3
9-3
40/1 14/1 33/1
Power Blue won last time out and has run over today's trip, but his recent form also shows a pair of fourths in the two starts before that victory, and 34 days off adds a fitness query; carrying 129 lb from stall seven is the added test here.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Puerto Rico silks
Puerto Rico
Age 3 · 9-3
11-460
113
93
103
3
9-3
22/1 14/1 16/1
Puerto Rico has back-to-back wins in his recent form but has since slipped to unplaced on his latest start, and our rating ranks him last of the 14 runners here, making him hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Zavateri silks
Zavateri
Age 3 · 9-3
114-25
118
123
117
3
9-3
13/2 5/1 6/1
Zavateri won two of his last five starts and catches the eye with a second two runs back, though a fifth last time out and a weight of 129 lb are factors to weigh; he has run over today's trip and going, and draws stall two.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lake Forest 11/2 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Ladbrokes
2 Marvelman 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Native Warrior 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
4 Notable Speech 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 Ladbrokes
5 Paborus 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Ladbrokes
6 Powerful Glory 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Rogue Diplomat 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Satono Reve 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Ten Bob Tony 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 Coral
10 Flora Of Bermuda 9/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 19.00 9/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 10/1 Paddy Power
11 Lifeplan 80/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 36.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365
12 Power Blue 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
13 Puerto Rico 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 25/1 Paddy Power
14 Zavateri 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ten Bob Tony

Live signal

Ten Bob Tony owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lake Forest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Marvelman

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Andrew Balding
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
73 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Ten Bob Tony
65.3 10/3
2 1. Lake Forest
64.7 11/2
3 14. Zavateri
64.0 13/2
4 4. Notable Speech
62.5 11/4
5 10. Flora Of Bermuda
58.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ten Bob Tony
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-8
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 126 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 5 · 9-8
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 131 🐾

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 125 🐾

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 3 · 9-3
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 123 🐾

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 9-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-8
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-8
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ten Bob Tony
Confidence: Speculative

Ten Bob Tony (SR:131, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin over Notable Speech (SR:126) and Lake Forest (SR:125), and carries 9-8 — identical to the main market rivals, so no weight disadvantage to offset the SR edge. Crucially, he has confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good-to-soft conditions, which is a concrete data point that most rivals lack (?). The market has aggressively backed him in 35% from the morning, the most emphatic move in the entire field, signalling informed confidence. His form string -48114 shows two consecutive wins before a fourth last time, and at 7/2 he represents fair value given the SR leadership and going confirmation. Each-way alternative: Flora Of Bermuda. Main danger: Notable Speech — Notable Speech (SR:126, 5/2) is the market's nominal favourite with a 16% market-in move and Charlie Appleby/William Buick booking — a formidable connections combination — and if his unproven distance and going profile proves no obstacle, his class record makes him the likeliest to deny Ten Bob Tony.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Most recent run was a fourth (-48114), and the form string shows he hasn't won since that run — Notable Speech at 5/2 is shorter in the market despite a lower SR, suggesting the market may trust rece…
  • Jockey Kieran Shoemark hits only 12% winners overall — significantly below rivals Buick (20%) and Murphy (21%) who ride Notable Speech and Flora Of Bermuda respectively in what looks a tactical York…
  • Trainer Ed Walker's 15% strike rate is the weakest of the leading fancies; Charlie Appleby (31%) with Buick aboard Notable Speech represents a formidable handler/jockey combination that sharply outpe…
  • Flora Of Bermuda (SR:114) is on a hat-trick, fresh off two wins, has Course:W1P2 at York, carries 3lb less (9-5), is backed 27% in, and holds Oisin Murphy — a live each-way threat that splits the Bal…
Shortlist Ten Bob Tony, Notable Speech, Flora Of Bermuda, Lake Forest
Each-way: Flora Of Bermuda Danger: Notable Speech

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade