Polhill Cutting Handicap Stakes · 5f
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tiva | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Maelstrom | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Lara Antipova | 3/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Diomed Duke | 15/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Fantasy Master | 8/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Aspull | 100/1 open 51.00 | 110/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 110/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Beauzon | 100/1 open 51.00 | 110/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 110/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Diomed Duke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Diomed Duke (SR 86, 11/8) is the Stuart Williams yard's #1 runner — Olivia Haines takes the 7lb claim reducing the effective weight to 9-3, negating much of the MarkMv:+5 concern, and the market has shortened 19% since opening, a clear signal of stable confidence. The 3-5521 form string shows consistent placed form culminating in a last-time-out win, and the trainer's 14% strike rate with 486 career runners is solid. GoingFit:~ on good to firm is the one caveat, and the DistFit:- at 5f is a genuine flag — but the weight-adjusted advantage over Lara Antipova (the danger) and the strong market move make Diomed Duke the most compelling overall package. The yard is clearly targeting this race with the stronger jockey booking going to this horse over stablemate Maelstrom. Each-way alternative: Lara Antipova. Main danger: Lara Antipova — Lara Antipova (SR 87, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner, carries only 9-11, has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, and a form string of 2-2142 showing genuine consistency — the drift to 3/1 from likely shorter is the only concern.