Curragh 15:25 RESULTED
Class 1 22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Coolmore Stud City Of Troy Tom Cooper Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2)

Coolmore Stud City Of Troy Tom Cooper Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Coolmore Stud City Of Troy Tom Cooper Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Giant Sequoia (USA) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien
    2/1F
  2. 9/4
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
City of Dubai silks
City of Dubai
Age 2 · 9-5
12
W J Lee 14%
P Twomey 22%
87
77
2
9-5
7/1 6/1 7/1
Beaten only a neck on his latest start, with a win the run before that, City of Dubai arrives in cracking recent form and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the concern is whether 131 lb from stall 6 blunts his finishing effort.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Florida Bay silks
Florida Bay
Age 2 · 9-5
3141
106
111
90
2
9-5
4/1 9/2 10/3
Florida Bay arrives on the back of a win last time out and a winner three starts back, showing a knack for getting his head in front, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the main risk is that our rating of 90 leaves him something to find with the top-rated runner.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Giant Sequoia silks
Giant Sequoia
Age 2 · 9-5
31
94
84
2
9-5
11/8 18/13 6/5
Giant Sequoia won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims on conditions; the main risk is a 56-day absence since that victory, and 131 lb from stall one will demand a forward showing.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Green Dreamer silks
Green Dreamer
Age 2 · 9-5
51
61
70
2
9-5
28/1 12/1 28/1
Green Dreamer won last time out but ranks fifth of six on our figures, with a speed rating of 54 doing little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 30 days between runs leaves fitness mildly in question.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nail House silks
Nail House
Age 2 · 9-5
13
65
68
2
9-5
12/1 6/1 12/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Nail House faces a stiff ask against stronger company, though he does arrive on the back of a win two starts back and a third last time out, with experience over today's trip and going at least offering some grounding.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Nola Soul silks
Nola Soul
Age 2 · 9-5
11
103
91
2
9-5
10/3 11/4 3/1
Back-to-back wins make Nola Soul the one to beat here, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions to call upon; the 65-day absence is the only query, though he tops our ratings on the form provided.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 City of Dubai 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 Paddy Power
2 Florida Bay 4/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Giant Sequoia 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.38 6/5 open 2.38 6/5 open 2.38 6/5 open 2.38 11/8 Bet365
4 Green Dreamer 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
5 Nail House 12/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 Paddy Power
6 Nola Soul 10/3 3/1 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nola Soul

Live signal

Nola Soul owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 J A Stack Seamie Heffernan
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Florida Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · A P O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Green Dreamer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Nola Soul
61.3 10/3
2 2. Florida Bay
59.8 4/1
3 3. Giant Sequoia
56.3 11/8
4 1. City of Dubai
51.6 7/1
5 5. Nail House
41.1 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nola Soul
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-5
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 94 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 103 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nola Soul
Confidence: Speculative

Nola Soul (SR 103, 10/3) brings the only unbeaten form line in the field with a 1-1 record and steps up to Group 2 off the back of back-to-back wins. At 10/3 she is the second-shortest price in the market, reflecting genuine confidence from punters, and the Stack yard — though a modest 10% strike rate overall — has Seamie Heffernan, one of Ireland's shrewdest big-race jockeys, in the saddle. Florida Bay (SR 111) holds the highest SR in the field but is running off a mark 11lb higher than at last win and just won a maiden-level heat, while Nola Soul's unbeaten sequence and joint-favourite market positioning make her the most credible proposition at a price that still offers value over the Aidan O'Brien joint-favourite. Each-way alternative: Florida Bay. Main danger: Florida Bay — Florida Bay holds the field's highest SR at 111, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) — the only runner with both confirmed — and the 8% market move in signals yard confidence despite the +11lb mark rise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Seamie Heffernan's personal strike rate is just 5% across 640 rides — strikingly low for a 'shrewd big-race jockey' and a material negative when rivals have Lordan and McDonogle aboard.
  • Nola Soul has had 65 days off since her last run, the longest layoff in the field; stepping into Group 2 company fresh off a 9-week break is a significant ask for a lightly raced 2yo.
  • Both wins came at a level below this Group 2 contest; with an SR of 103 she faces Giant Sequoia (SR 94 but 13/8 favourite with Ballydoyle confidence) and Florida Bay (SR 111), who hold superior form…
  • Stack's yard runs at only 10% strike rate overall and shows no Group 2 winner signals in the data, while both O'Brien stables dominate the market and have multiple runners to set pace and tactics aga…
Shortlist Nola Soul, Florida Bay, Giant Sequoia, City of Dubai
Each-way: Florida Bay Danger: Florida Bay

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade