Happy 80th Birthday John Lane Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase · 3m1f170y
SR 96 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sir Carnegie | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 8.50 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Great d'Ange | 11/2 open 3.75 | 13/2 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Limerick Leader | 6/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 open 2.75 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 My Girl Katie | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Honey I'm Good | 11/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Hardy Buck | 9/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sir Carnegie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
My Girl Katie (SR:99, 2/1) is the class leader in this six-runner Class 5 conditional jockeys' chase and arrives on a red-hot form line of 1213-1 — a last-time-out winner running off the same class mark. Critically, she is proven at today's exact distance (DistFit:+) AND on today's going (GoingFit:+), and her course record of W2P4 at Newton Abbot makes her a genuine specialist here. At 11-4 she enjoys a clear weight advantage over top-weight Sir Carnegie (12-0) and Great d'Ange (11-12), meaning she combines the highest SR with a favourable burden. The Grace Harris yard runs at 10% strike rate across a healthy sample (437 runners), giving confidence this is a genuine, fit raider rather than a speculative entry. Each-way alternative: Limerick Leader. Main danger: Honey I'm Good — Honey I'm Good has steamed in 19% in the market — matching Hardy Buck's move but from a more plausible SR base of 89 — and Rian Corcoran's 19% conditional strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race, giving this drifter a live chance if the money is informed rather than opportunistic.