Redcar 18:30 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cosmos Raj (GB) Billy Garritty · David O'Meara
    20/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chesneys Charm silks
Chesneys Charm
Age 4 · 9-12
8-7607
66
69
77
4
9-12
13/2 13/2 11/2
Winless in his last five starts, Chesneys Charm nevertheless catches the eye on a our rating of 77 — top of these, if only narrowly — and returns fit on just 14 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour from stall nine carrying 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Yafaarr silks
Yafaarr
Age 4 · 9-11
601324
65
72
70
4
9-11
6/1 FCST 5/1
Yafaarr arrives in good heart after a second two starts back, boasting experience over today's trip and conditions and a rating edge over his official mark; the worry is a fourth last time out leaves something to prove.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Cosmos Raj silks
Cosmos Raj
Age 8 · 9-9
576644
63
45
68
8
9-9
20/1 11/1 20/1
Winless in his last six starts, Cosmos Raj nevertheless shows consistency in mid-division, with back-to-back fourths his most recent efforts; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 17 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 135 lb is a stern enough burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Always Blue silks
Always Blue
Age 3 · 9-9
2543
70
79
75
3
9-9
9/4 5/2 9/4
Consistent and close to her best, Always Blue has been placed twice in her last four starts and, rated 74, shapes as a leading threat from stall six over a trip and going she has experience of; the risk is that she remains winless in her last four outings.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Boubyan silks
Boubyan
Age 4 · 9-9
025433
63
58
71
4
9-9
12/1 13/2 12/1
Boubyan has run over today's trip and going before and arrives fresh on a 16-day break, with consecutive thirds in his last two outings suggesting he is knocking hard on the door; yet to score in recent starts, the concern is whether he can convert that consistency into something more decisive from stall 8 off 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Adiada silks
Adiada
Age 3 · 9-6
524-8
67
40
57
3
9-6
22/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Adiada faces a stiff task here, though she shaped with promise when second three starts back and returns on a quick turnaround of 12 days from stall one carrying 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Sweet Kiss silks
Sweet Kiss
Age 4 · 9-5
945626
59
65
66
4
9-5
9/2 13/2 4/1
Winless in her last six starts, Sweet Kiss does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a return in 12 days suggests she is ready, but a struggling trainer at 5% and a sixth-of-nine ranking make improvement hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Ceinture d'Orion silks
Ceinture d'Orion
Age 3 · 9-3
46343
64
66
62
3
9-3
5/1 7/2 9/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Ceinture d'Orion faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 12-day turnaround showing the yard has her fit.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Whiskey Pete silks
Whiskey Pete
Age 5 · 9-3
000962
57
62
64
5
9-3
10/1 11/2 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, with three unplaced efforts among recent outings, Whiskey Pete is hard to fancy from stall seven carrying 129 lb, though the runner-up finish last time and experience over today's distance and going offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chesneys Charm 13/2 open 26.00 11/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Yafaarr 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 6/1 Bet365
3 Cosmos Raj 20/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power
4 Always Blue 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
5 Boubyan 12/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 Paddy Power
6 Adiada 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 Sweet Kiss 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Ceinture d'Orion 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
9 Whiskey Pete 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Always Blue

Speculative

Always Blue owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Harriet Bethell Sean D Bowen
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yafaarr

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Adiada

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Always Blue
52.0 9/4
2 2. Yafaarr
48.3 6/1
3 7. Sweet Kiss
48.2 9/2
4 8. Ceinture d'Orion
47.8 5/1
5 1. Chesneys Charm
47.4 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Always Blue
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 9-9
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Always Blue
Confidence: Speculative

Always Blue (SR 79, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 7lb clear of the next best Yafaarr (SR 72) and carrying a manageable 9-9. The GoingFit:+ confirms this 3-year-old handles today's good ground well, and a market move of in8% shows quiet but meaningful support — enough to suggest connections are confident without screaming of a gamble. The 2543 form line shows consistent proximity in similar-class races, and trainer Harriet Bethell's 16% strike rate from just 85 runners marks a compact, focused yard that doesn't fire runners without intent. The class is identical (ClassMv:=) so no adjustment penalty applies. The main reservation is DistFit:? — insufficient data at 1m2f — but the 3-year-old profile and progressive form pattern suggest the step up in trip should suit. Each-way alternative: Yafaarr. Main danger: Chesneys Charm — Chesneys Charm has steamed into 6/1 from a morning price implied by a 45% market move — the strongest market support in the field — and the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) gives it the best competitive context it has faced in recent starts, making it a live threat if the support is informed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? is a concrete flag — Always Blue has no recorded form at 1m2f, and stepping up in trip is unproven; the 2543 form line is all at shorter distances.
  • Jockey Sean D Bowen posts only a 7% strike rate from 391 rides — well below the field average and a meaningful negative rider factor at this price.
  • Chesneys Charm (in45%) and Sweet Kiss (in12%) both show stronger or comparable market support relative to their odds, suggesting the market is not fully behind Always Blue despite the 8% move.
  • Yafaarr holds Course:W1P3 — a proven course winner at Redcar — giving a concrete track advantage Always Blue cannot match on debut at this venue.
Shortlist Always Blue, Yafaarr, Chesneys Charm, Sweet Kiss
Each-way: Yafaarr Danger: Chesneys Charm

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade