York 16:45 RESULTED
Class 1 22 Aug 2026

Saturday 22 August Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)

Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race) · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sale Shark (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Hugo Palmer
    17/2
  2. Second Adonius (IRE)
    2/1F
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Adonius silks
Adonius
Age 2 · 9-2
1112
101
106
107
2
9-2
15/8 2/1 32/17
Adonius arrives in career-best form, winning three of his last four starts, and has run over today's trip and going before; the chief concern is whether that second last time out signals the start of a slight dip.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Dance A Jig silks
Dance A Jig
Age 2 · 9-2
2201
96
97
102
2
9-2
11/1 6/1 11/1
Dance A Jig won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, making him a serious threat here off 128 lb; the question is whether that weight from stall 11 blunts his finishing kick.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Dorigo silks
Dorigo
Age 2 · 9-2
272
89
97
98
2
9-2
6/1 15/2 11/2
Dorigo has shown a knack for hitting the frame, second two of his last three starts, but a seventh in between and a trainer firing at just 4% of late are real concerns; he's yet to win in recent starts, and while he has run over today's trip, the stable's cold streak is hard to ignore.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dubai Champion silks
Dubai Champion
Age 2 · 9-2
4312
87
100
93
2
9-2
7/2 11/2 10/3
Won two starts back and ran second last time out, so Dubai Champion arrives in fair heart; he has run over today's trip and going before, though carrying 128 lb from stall five and a speed rating of 81 leave him with something to find against the top-rated runners.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
El Floridita silks
El Floridita
Age 2 · 9-2
5125
98
88
104
2
9-2
22/1 9/1 20/1
El Floridita shaped well when second two starts back and was a winner three starts back, giving him a solid recent profile over today's trip; back after 24 days and carrying 128 lb from stall 9, he appeals as the one to side with here.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Hanney Boy silks
Hanney Boy
Age 2 · 9-2
22331
95
82
94
2
9-2
50/1 12/1 50/1
Hanney Boy won last time out and has run over today's trip, but a rating of 94 and a speed figure of 68 suggest he sits in the middle of this field, and carrying 128 lb from stall ten gives him little obvious edge.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hickory Lad silks
Hickory Lad
Age 2 · 9-2
212138
99
98
103
2
9-2
9/1 FCST 17/2
Hickory Lad shaped with plenty of promise when a winner three starts back and a runner-up four starts back, and he returns here on a going and distance combination he has already encountered, fit enough after 23 days. The risk is that eighth last time out raises a query over current form.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Jaan Ki Tukri silks
Jaan Ki Tukri
Age 2 · 9-2
322910
94
89
93
2
9-2
12/1 10/1 12/1
Unplaced last time out after winning two starts back, Jaan Ki Tukri ranks ninth of twelve on our figures and faces a stiff ask at 128 lb from stall six, though a trainer striking at 26% in recent weeks and experience over today's trip offer slim crumbs of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sale Shark silks
Sale Shark
Age 2 · 9-2
1554
94
97
99
2
9-2
13/2 FCST 6/1
Sale Shark showed he can win at this level, scoring a winner four starts back, but three consecutive finishes of fifth, fifth, and fourth since suggest he's found improvement hard to sustain; he has run over today's trip and the 24-day break leaves fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Undercover Affair silks
Undercover Affair
Age 2 · 9-2
423185
81
63
89
2
9-2
66/1 40/1 66/1
Undercover Affair has finished fifth and eighth in his last two starts, and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures he faces a stiff task here; the one genuine bright spot is a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Roots In Touche silks
Roots In Touche
Age 2 · 8-11
241
77
64
89
2
8-11
80/1 33/1 80/1
Ranked last on our figures and drawn in stall 12, Roots In Touche faces a stiff ask, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Silesia silks
Silesia
Age 2 · 8-11
3232
80
68
92
2
8-11
100/1 33/1 100/1
Silesia has been placed in each of her last four starts but remains winless, and with her trainer in poor form (1/28 over the past fortnight) and our figures ranking her tenth of twelve, it is hard to make a compelling case despite her having experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Adonius 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Coral
2 Dance A Jig 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 Paddy Power
3 Dorigo 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 13/2 Paddy Power
4 Dubai Champion 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 Bet365
5 El Floridita 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Hanney Boy 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 15.00 66/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 17.00 66/1 William Hill
7 Hickory Lad 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Jaan Ki Tukri 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Sale Shark 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 7/1 Paddy Power
10 Undercover Affair 66/1 open 51.00 70/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 70/1 Paddy Power
11 Roots In Touche 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
12 Silesia 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Adonius

Speculative

Adonius owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Rebecca Menzies Kaiya Fraser
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dorigo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Kevin Ryan
✓ Value Signal

Silesia

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Adonius
58.7 15/8
2 3. Dorigo
56.9 6/1
3 9. Sale Shark
56.4 13/2
4 4. Dubai Champion
56.0 7/2
5 7. Hickory Lad
53.1 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Adonius
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-2
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Adonius
Confidence: Medium

Adonius (SR 106, 15/8) is the clear class standout in this field — at SR 106 he sits materially above the next-best cluster of Dubai Champion (SR 100), Hickory Lad (SR 98), and Sale Shark/Dance A Jig/Dorigo (all SR 97). His form string 1-1-1-2 shows consistent near-the-top performances and his most recent run was a defeat rather than a win, which often marks a horse being caught by a sharp improver before bouncing back. Crucially, the market has moved in his favour by 13% — meaningful money at Listed level — and Rebecca Menzies, despite a modest overall strike rate, has clearly targeted this race for a horse rated 6-8 points clear of the field. Equal weights across the board remove any burden advantage for rivals. The ★★★★☆ AI probability star rating further supports him as the most likely winner in this twelve-runner contest. Each-way alternative: Dubai Champion. Main danger: Dubai Champion — Dubai Champion (SR 100, 9/2) carries Ryan Moore — a 27% career strike rate jockey — has shortened 21% in the market, and his 4-3-1-2 form shows progressive improvement stepping up in class, making him the most credible threat to Adonius at a fair price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Rebecca Menzies has a 4% strike rate (169 runners) — extremely low for a Listed-level target, suggesting limited experience placing horses competitively at this grade.
  • Adonius's last run was a defeat (form reads 1-1-1-2), and at 2yo that beaten effort could indicate a levelling off rather than a bounce-back, especially within 24 days.
  • Dubai Champion (SR 100) is ridden by Ryan Moore (27% strike rate, 506 rides) — a significant jockey upgrade advantage over Kaiya Fraser (12%) that partially offsets the SR gap.
  • Dorigo is drifting into 15/2 with a stable flag (1 of 2 Kevin Ryan runners), while Adonius's 13% market move is modest at listed level — rival stables may hold stronger confidence.
Shortlist Adonius, Dubai Champion, Sale Shark, Hickory Lad
Each-way: Dubai Champion Danger: Dubai Champion

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade