Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Steeplechase · 2m3f20y
SR 79 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Begger | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Jackson Lamb | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nadia's Boy | 8/11 | — | 8/11 open 1.62 | 8/11 open 1.62 | 8/11 open 1.67 | 8/11 open 1.67 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 4 Scalpnagoon | 7/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 West Away | 7/1 open 8.50 | — | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 6 William Tell | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Kelya | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nadia's Boy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nadia's Boy (SR 164, 8/11) is in a different class to every rival in this field — a 16-point SR gap over second-rated Kelya (SR 148) is substantial at any level, and 55 points clear of the third-rated Scalpnagoon (SR 109). Trained by W P Mullins (21% career strike rate from 1,262 runners) and ridden by Paul Townend (30% career strike rate from 358 rides), the connections alone represent the gold standard of Irish jumping. The form line of /110-3 shows two recent wins before a seasonal return third, entirely consistent with a horse being brought to peak for this beginners' chase; a GoingFit:? simply means no confirmed chase data on good yet, not a negative. At 8/11 the market has correctly identified the standout, and there is no credible rival with the SR or connections to threaten. Each-way alternative: Kelya. Main danger: Kelya — Kelya (SR 148, 12/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-5 (7lb less than the 11-12 cluster), has a form line showing a recent win (1 in 52137/) and is trained by Emmet Mullins (11% strike rate) — if Nadia's Boy has any jumping mishap, Kelya is the only horse with the SR and physical advantage to capitalise.