Ascot 14:45 RESULTED
Class 2 8 Aug 2026

Saturday 8 August Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Class 2 Handicap) (gbbplus Race)

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Class 2 Handicap) (gbbplus Race) · 1m3f211y

Official Result

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Class 2 Handicap) (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Asgard's Captain (IRE) Ryan Moore · Dylan Cunha
    13/2
  2. 16/1
  3. Third Enemy (GB)
    28/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Claymore silks
Claymore
Age 7 · 10-2
778518
99
86
99
7
10-2
14/1 12/1 14/1
Claymore won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine threat off 142 lb; the worry is that he has been out of the frame in four of his other five recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Insanity silks
Insanity
Age 6 · 10-1
220-20
98
95
101
6
10-1
8/1 6/1 7/1
Insanity has placed twice in his last five starts — second two runs back and second four runs back — and has run over today's trip and going; the concern is a 50-day absence and being yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Frances Ethel silks
Frances Ethel
Age 6 · 10-0
9/952-
97
73
93
6
10-0
28/1 6/1 28/1
Frances Ethel showed a flash of form with a second last time out, but that came 248 days ago and a return from such a lengthy absence is the key question; winless in her last four starts and carrying 140 lb, she'll need to find improvement.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Night Breeze silks
Night Breeze
Age 6 · 10-0
341233
97
108
97
6
10-0
9/4 3/1 2/1
Night Breeze has placed in three of his last four starts, including a win four starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going; however, carrying 140 lb tests his stamina, and with our rating matching his official mark of 97, he lacks a clear edge over the top-rated runners.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Enemy silks
Enemy
Age 9 · 9-12
310990
95
63
99
9
9-12
40/1 20/1 40/1
Enemy arrives here with experience of both today's trip and going, and his win five starts back shows he can deliver on a similar surface; at 138 lb, the weight is the key question against him.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Asgard's Captain silks
Asgard's Captain
Age 6 · 9-8
341406
91
95
93
6
9-8
11/2 6/1 5/1
Beaten in his last two starts and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, Asgard's Captain is hard to fancy at the weights, though he has run over today's distance and going before, and a win four starts back shows he can find the net.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Castle Stuart silks
Castle Stuart
Age 4 · 9-8
-66023
91
96
95
4
9-8
5/1 13/2 5/1
Yet to score in his last five starts, Castle Stuart at least brings distance and going experience to the table, and a run 28 days ago leaves him fit enough — but a stiff 134 lb and a trainer firing at just 2% recently make this a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sportingsilvermine silks
Sportingsilvermine
Age 5 · 9-8
071310
91
91
88
5
9-8
14/1 14/1 12/1
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 134 lb, Sportingsilvermine arrives on the back of an unplaced effort, though a winner two starts back offers a flicker of hope; he has distance and going experience to call on, but it's hard to make a strong case here.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fantasy Believer silks
Fantasy Believer
Age 9 · 9-6
60-504
89
84
95
9
9-6
10/1 13/2 10/1
Yet to score in his last five starts, Fantasy Believer does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a trainer firing at 28% in the last fortnight is a clear positive; 132 lb, however, is a stiff ask for a gelding yet to find the winner's enclosure recently.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Stem silks
Stem
Age 4 · 9-6
2-9041
89
96
102
4
9-6
6/1 15/2 6/1
Stem bounced back to winning form last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a clear standout on ratings here. Carrying 132 lb is the one thing to watch, but he arrives fresh at 35 days and looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Genealogy silks
Genealogy
Age 4 · 9-5
/88-50
TBA
88
84
91
4
9-5
14/1
Winless in his last four starts, with a string of unplaced efforts, Genealogy is hard to fancy against stronger rivals here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 27 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but his recent form makes a big ask at 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Parlando silks
Parlando
Age 7 · 9-3
936881
TBA
86
84
91
7
9-3
12/1
Parlando won last time out but that single success masks five largely disappointing efforts in his last six starts, and ranked eleventh of twelve on our figures he faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going, and 14 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Claymore 14/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
2 Insanity 8/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 17/2 William Hill
3 Frances Ethel 28/1 open 7.00 28/1 open 7.50 28/1 open 7.50 33/1 open 7.00 28/1 open 7.50 33/1 William Hill
4 Night Breeze 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 Bet365
5 Enemy 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 Coral
6 Asgard's Captain 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Castle Stuart 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 Coral
8 Sportingsilvermine 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Coral
9 Fantasy Believer 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
10 Stem 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Betfred
11 Genealogy 14/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 Coral
12 Parlando 12/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Night Breeze

Speculative

Night Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Ian Williams Dylan Browne McMonagle
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Asgard's Captain

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Dylan Cunha
✓ Value Signal

Frances Ethel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · William Haggas
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Night Breeze
59.5 9/4
2 6. Asgard's Captain
57.3 11/2
3 10. Stem
56.9 6/1
4 7. Castle Stuart
56.5 5/1
5 2. Insanity
53.8 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Night Breeze
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 10-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 10-1
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 9-3
12/1
J: TBA
T: Ian Williams
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 10-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 9-5
14/1
J: TBA
T: Faye Bramley
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Night Breeze
Confidence: Medium

Night Breeze leads the field on SR at 108, a clear 12+ points clear of the next-best cluster (Castle Stuart, Stem, Insanity all at 95-96), and the market has emphatically backed that up with a 22% inward move to 5/2 — the sharpest steam in the race. At 10-0 the weight is manageable for the ability shown, and the recent form string 341233 indicates consistent competitiveness at this level without a catastrophic blowout. Dylan Browne McMonagle, striking at 15% career rate on nearly 1,000 rides, is a quality booking and the clear Ian Williams number-one over stable companions Enemy (SR 63, drifting 55%) and Parlando (SR 84, drifting). The unresolved GoingFit question is the main caveat, but the market's confidence at a competitive price outweighs that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Asgard's Captain. Main danger: Castle Stuart — Castle Stuart (SR 96, 11/2, Mkt:in15%) is a 4-year-old with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground and market money shortening it — the youth and upside profile could see a step forward if the unresolved distance query (DistFit:?) resolves positively at this 1m3f+ trip.

Shortlist Night Breeze, Asgard's Captain, Castle Stuart, Stem
Each-way: Asgard's Captain Danger: Castle Stuart

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m3f211y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade