Kilbeggan 17:48 RESULTED
8 Aug 2026

Saturday 8 August Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m0f0y

Official Result

Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Convincing (IRE) Eoghan Finegan · Ciaran Murphy
    8/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 7/4F
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Liceo silks
Liceo
Age 6 · 12-0
0-9353
100
82
98
6
12-0
12/1 10/1 11/1
Liceo has placed third twice in his last four starts and returns after 25 days in good heart, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the chief concern is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Blue Reed silks
Blue Reed
Age 7 · 11-6
45-127
92
88
89
7
11-6
13/2 5/1 13/2
Blue Reed showed a second two starts back before winning three starts back, so ability is there, but a seventh last time out is a concern; he has distance and going experience to call on, though carrying 160 lb against a field of 14 looks a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Syosset silks
Syosset
Age 5 · 11-6
00-322
92
92
87
5
11-6
2/1 2/1 7/4
Placed second two of his last three starts, Syosset clearly finds a way into contention, yet he remains winless in recent starts and a trainer currently without a return from 25 runners gives little confidence; 160 lb is another ask.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Valsorpresa silks
Valsorpresa
Age 8 · 11-5
095-66
91
58
96
8
11-5
25/1 22/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, Valsorpresa nevertheless shapes as a genuine threat — he has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 96 puts him among the sharpest in here after 18 days off. The risk is that recent finishes suggest he has yet to fully convert that ability.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

5
Walk Win silks
Walk Win
Age 4 · 11-5
9-9204
94
85
90
4
11-5
7/1 13/2 6/1
Winless in his last five starts, Walk Win at least shaped with promise when second three starts back, though unplaced efforts either side temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going, returns after 33 days, but 159 lb is a stern ask off a mark of 94.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Folk Warrior silks
Folk Warrior
Age 4 · 11-4
077-
93
77
72
4
11-4
14/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in his last three starts, with a pair of sevenths his best recent offerings, Folk Warrior faces a stiff ask carrying 158 lb and our rating of 72 leaves him well held on figures against this field.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Convincing silks
Convincing
Age 5 · 11-1
007-
87
78
87OR
5
11-1
17/2 13/2 8/1
Yet to score in his last three starts, Convincing returns after 17 days carrying 155 lb, and with connections in a cold spell of 0 from 23, this unexposed gelding needs more to suggest a turnaround is imminent.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Zaryagle silks
Zaryagle
Age 5 · 11-0
596P-0
86
51
97
5
11-0
SP 28/1 40/1
Rated 97 and ranked third of 14, Zaryagle has run over today's trip and going and is better than his recent finishes suggest, enough to make him a live threat at the weights carrying 154 lb — though winless in his last five and back out just one day ago, fitness and consistency are the main concerns.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Corkbeg silks
Corkbeg
Age 9 · 10-12
3209-7
84
76
80
9
10-12
8/1 9/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Corkbeg does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 23 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; yet his two most recent efforts — ninth and seventh — make a big ask of him carrying 152 lb from eighth in the ratings.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Ferdia silks
Ferdia
Age 10 · 10-12
P9-687
84
55
110
10
10-12
22/1 25/1 22/1
Ferdia has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating puts him clear of this field, but his recent sequence of a seventh, eighth, sixth, ninth and a pull-up leaves him winless in his last five starts — hard to trust despite the rating edge.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Bravemans Bounce silks
Bravemans Bounce
Age 4 · 10-11
8-09
86
61
65
4
10-11
28/1 20/1 28/1
Winless in his last three starts — including an eighth and ninth — and returning after 85 days off, Bravemans Bounce faces a stiff ask carrying 151 lb; experience over today's trip and going is the one genuine plus, but our rating of 65 flags him as well held on current form.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

12
Kinski silks
Kinski
Age 7 · 10-11
709/R-
83
52
83OR
7
10-11
33/1 25/1 33/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, Kinski is yet to win in recent starts and brings a concerning refusal last time out, returning after 118 days off carrying 151 lb — connections will need significant improvement on a patchy profile.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Ardgillan silks
Ardgillan
Age 6 · 10-8
/7900-
80
53
80OR
6
10-8
25/1 28/1 22/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Ardgillan returns from a 245-day absence carrying 148 lb, yet to win in his last four starts but open to significant improvement as connections freshen him up for this test.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

14
Surviving Murmansk silks
Surviving Murmansk
Age 8 · 10-1
76-602
73
77
72
8
10-1
11/2 9/2 11/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of 14 on our figures, Surviving Murmansk is hard to fancy at the weights carrying 141 lb; a runner-up last time out is the one genuine plus, though frequent unplaced efforts before that temper enthusiasm considerably.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Liceo 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Blue Reed 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 Coral
3 Syosset 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.00 2/1 Bet365
4 Valsorpresa 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Coral
5 Walk Win 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
6 Folk Warrior 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 Coral
7 Convincing 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
8 Zaryagle 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Coral
9 Corkbeg 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
10 Ferdia 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Bravemans Bounce 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
12 Kinski 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Ardgillan 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
14 Surviving Murmansk 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Syosset

Speculative

Syosset owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 John C McConnell Michael Kenneally(5)
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Corkbeg

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · David Harry Kelly
✓ Value Signal

Ardgillan

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · M M Lynch
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Syosset
56.8 2/1
2 9. Corkbeg
50.8 8/1
3 7. Convincing
50.8 17/2
4 2. Blue Reed
50.0 13/2
5 5. Walk Win
49.7 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Syosset
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 11-6
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 8 · 10-1
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 11-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 9 · 10-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 11-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 11-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Syosset
Confidence: Medium

Syosset (SR 92, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this modest €6,000 handicap hurdle, carrying 11-6 which is a manageable weight compared to top-weight Liceo at 12-0. The recent form of 00-322 shows a consistent upward trajectory — two placed efforts on the bounce — and crucially GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles today's good ground, a signal that eliminates several rivals. Michael Kenneally (11% strike rate) provides capable jockeyship and the 5-day turnaround from a recent run suggests connections believe the horse is in the groove right now. The SR 92 is the highest in the field by 4 points and on a track with modest prize money, that class edge is meaningful. Each-way alternative: Surviving Murmansk. Main danger: Surviving Murmansk — Surviving Murmansk (SR 77, 5/1) carries a featherweight 10-1 — a full 19lb less than top-weight Liceo — and while GoingFit:- is a concern, that massive weight advantage over a 2-mile trip can compensate for moderate going preference, and the MarkMv:= means connections are not trying to win off a career-high mark.

Shortlist Syosset, Surviving Murmansk, Blue Reed
Each-way: Surviving Murmansk Danger: Surviving Murmansk

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Kilbeggan Track and setting