Betway Ashton Heath Handicap Stakes · 6f212y
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Wechaad | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Crimson Spirit | 9/4 open 2.63 | — | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 Coral |
| 2 Pellitory | 9/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Yanifer | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 5 Christian David | 11/4 open 6.50 | — | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 Coral |
| 6 New Image | 9/1 open 12.00 | — | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Moonshine | 4/1 open 3.00 | — | 4/1 open 2.88 | 4/1 open 2.88 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 2.88 | 9/2 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Moonshine owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Pellitory (SR:92, 9/2) has steamed in 26% in the market — the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — which is a powerful signal in a small six-runner handicap where money is concentrated and informed. Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate, 819 career rides) is a sharp booking for O'Meara's yard, and with Oisin Murphy taken for stablemate New Image, Tudhope's presence here identifies Pellitory as the yard's #1 from the Stable:1 pair. At 10-1 weight against Crimson Spirit's 10-2, Pellitory carries only 1lb less but has a 10-point SR deficit — however, the 26% market steam suggests an angle not fully visible in the form string, and the ClassMv:= means no class rise to navigate. The GoingFit:- is a concern on Good ground but the market is clearly overriding that worry. Each-way alternative: Christian David. Main danger: Crimson Spirit — Crimson Spirit (SR:102, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field with proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's conditions, and despite a 6% drift and a 4lb higher mark than its last win, it remains shortest-priced and has the clearest class profile for this race.