Ayr 19:30 RESULTED
Class 6 8 Aug 2026

Saturday 8 August Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thunderstorm Katie (GB) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie
    8/1
  2. 28/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mr Cool silks
Mr Cool
Age 4 · 10-3
735231
68
70
74
4
10-3
7/2 5/2 10/3
Mr Cool shaped well when winning last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions; drawn in stall eight carrying 143 lb, he arrives fresh on a 12-day turnaround and his profile makes him our pick, despite sitting below the top-rated on official figures.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Annie Edson Taylor silks
Annie Edson Taylor
Age 5 · 9-13
0-4616
64
44
70
5
9-13
11/1 9/1 11/1
Won two starts back but has been below-par either side of that success, and 52 days off the track adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 139 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Impressor silks
Impressor
Age 9 · 9-12
400636
63
43
78
9
9-12
14/1 7/1 14/1
Impressor showed up well with a third two starts back and our rating of 78 — highest among the 13 runners — marks him as a genuine threat; yet to win in recent starts, and the 59-day absence is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Kelpie Grey silks
Kelpie Grey
Age 6 · 9-11
658606
62
63
73
6
9-11
10/3 4/1 3/1
Kelpie Grey has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 73 — eleven pounds clear of his official mark — suggests he's well treated on his best form; fresh off a 12-day break and drawn in stall six, the main concern is a trainer firing at just 5% in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Thunderstorm Katie silks
Thunderstorm Katie
Age 5 · 9-10
222629
61
52
64
5
9-10
10/1 8/1 10/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Thunderstorm Katie faces a stiff task, her trainer striking at just 5% over the past fortnight; she has run over today's distance and going before, and that recent second two starts back offers a crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Taaklam silks
Taaklam
Age 3 · 9-8
3-3257
63
52
71
3
9-8
14/1 13/2 12/1
Taaklam caught the eye with a second three starts back and shaped with promise when fifth two starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must bounce back from a seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Masai Angel silks
Masai Angel
Age 3 · 9-7
5-430
62
34
66
3
9-7
28/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last four starts and with a trainer in dire form at 1/42 over the past fortnight, Masai Angel faces a stiff ask here; third two starts back offers some encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going, drawing from stall two on a rating of 62.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Whiskey Kisses silks
Whiskey Kisses
Age 3 · 9-7
460933
62
56
68
3
9-7
10/1 7/1 15/2
Whiskey Kisses has been placed third in each of her last two starts, showing consistent mid-division form, though she remains winless in recent starts; she has run over today's trip and going before, and her rating of 68 offers a touch of encouragement from stall 11 carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Elemma silks
Elemma
Age 3 · 9-6
4570
61
32
47
3
9-6
50/1 28/1 40/1
Winless in her last four starts, with a string of unplaced efforts and a trainer firing at just 2% over the past fortnight, Elemma is hard to fancy; she has run over today's trip and going before, but that's about the extent of the encouragement here.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

10
Highfield Sunshine silks
Highfield Sunshine
Age 4 · 9-6
57-005
57
37
66
4
9-6
22/1 FCST 20/1
Winless in her last five starts, Highfield Sunshine at least has experience over today's trip and going, and a 17-day turnaround leaves her fresh enough — though a fifth and two unplaced efforts in recent starts suggest she'll need to find improvement from stall one off 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

11
Ukiyo silks
Ukiyo
Age 5 · 9-2
202038
53
54
66
5
9-2
6/1 7/1 6/1
Winless in her last six starts, Ukiyo does show some encouragement — a third two starts back and a second four starts back — though the eighth last time out after 50 days off is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 suggests she retains ability.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Doon The Glen silks
Doon The Glen
Age 6 · 9-0
834718
51
30
54
6
9-0
28/1 20/1 28/1
Beaten well last time out after winning two starts back, Doon The Glen faces a stiff ask ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, and a trainer firing at just 5% in the past fortnight does little to inspire confidence — experience over today's trip and going is the main positive.
AI verdict

SR 30 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Lanarra silks
Lanarra
Age 3 · 8-8
1-2343
49
62
54
3
8-8
6/1 8/1 11/2
Ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Lanarra faces a stiff ask at a rating of 54, and her recent record of just one win in her last five starts offers limited encouragement — though she has run over today's trip and going, and returns fit on a 12-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mr Cool 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Annie Edson Taylor 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Ladbrokes
3 Impressor 14/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 Coral
4 Kelpie Grey 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 Bet365
5 Thunderstorm Katie 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Coral
6 Taaklam 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 9.00 16/1 Coral
7 Masai Angel 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Whiskey Kisses 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 15/2 10/1 Bet365
9 Elemma 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Highfield Sunshine 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 22/1 Bet365
11 Ukiyo 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 7/1 Coral
12 Doon The Glen 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Lanarra 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.00 13/2 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mr Cool

Speculative

Mr Cool owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Charlie Johnston Oliver Stammers
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kelpie Grey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jim Goldie
✓ Value Signal

Elemma

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Mr Cool
52.3 7/2
2 4. Kelpie Grey
50.3 10/3
3 13. Lanarra
45.3 6/1
4 8. Whiskey Kisses
45.0 10/1
5 5. Thunderstorm Katie
43.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lanarra
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 9-11
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-3
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-13
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Age 9 · 9-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lanarra
Confidence: Medium

Lanarra (SR:62, 11/2) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-8, a crucial advantage in a 13-runner Class 6 sprint on good ground, and has steamed in 36% in the market — the second-largest move in the field. The DistFit:+ tag confirms she is proven at 6f (win/place rate threshold met), and her 1-2343 form shows consistent competitiveness at this level. R Mike Smith's yard has Andrew Mullen in the saddle, a more experienced booking than Greg Fairley on stablemate Whiskey Kisses, identifying Lanarra as the yard's number one. The 8-8 vs Kelpie Grey's 9-11 represents a 17lb swing on the scales, which more than compensates for the 1-point SR deficit between them. Each-way alternative: Kelpie Grey. Main danger: Kelpie Grey — Kelpie Grey (SR:63, 5/2) is the field's second-highest SR, has steamed in 38% — the largest market move of any runner — and carries a workable 9-11, with Course:W0P4 showing consistent Ayr placed form that cannot be dismissed on a track where familiarity matters.

Shortlist Lanarra, Kelpie Grey, Mr Cool, Ukiyo
Each-way: Kelpie Grey Danger: Kelpie Grey

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade