Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) · 0m7f212y
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 66 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Maeva | 150/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Alobayyah | 9/2 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Aviatrice | 40/1 open 51.00 | — | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Fallen Angel | evn open 1.73 | — | evn open 1.67 | evn open 1.80 | 11/10 open 1.57 | 11/10 open 1.67 | 11/10 William Hill |
| 5 Mostar Dreams | 28/1 open 51.00 | — | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 67.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Noche Clasica | 10/1 open 17.00 | — | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rumba Numba | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 8 Blingy's Sister | 16/1 open 23.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Calendar Girl | 8/1 open 13.00 | — | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 10 Pacific Mission | 11/1 open 9.50 | — | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 Coral |
| 11 Silenciosa | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fallen Angel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fallen Angel (SR 121, 10/11) is the clear class standout in this Listed field, with an SR that dwarfs the next-best Noche Clasica (SR 104) by 17 points. The form string 1110-4 shows three consecutive wins before a fourth-place return — the last run 86 days ago at this same Listed level (ClassMv:=) signals freshness rather than decline, and the yard's 19% strike rate with James Doyle (18%) is a quality booking. The market drift of 16% is the main concern and must be respected, but no rival carries the evidence base to topple her on ability: Alobayyah (SR 101) steps up a tier off a mark 6lb higher than her last win and has drifted 6%; Calendar Girl (SR 113) has 302 days off the track and a mark 12lb above her last win. Fallen Angel's raw SR advantage is simply too large to dismiss, and first-time cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are priming her to fire. Each-way alternative: Noche Clasica. Main danger: Noche Clasica — Noche Clasica (SR 104, 17/2) has steamed in 43% in the market, GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ on today's conditions, and stays at the same class — the money is clearly on her being sharper and more race-ready than a 86-day-absent Fallen Angel.