Welbury
SpeculativeWelbury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.) · 0m7f219y
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gorgeous Mr George | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Frankies Dream | 9/2 open 6.00 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Capital Guarantee | 14/1 open 8.00 | — | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Paladin | 8/1 open 9.50 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mr Mistoffelees | 14/1 open 9.50 | — | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Harry The Rogue | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Amidst The Chaos | 25/1 open 12.00 | — | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Nyman | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Welbury | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Illy's Roo | 3/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Coral |
| 11 Sea The Power | 33/1 open 51.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 12 Barley | 4/1 open 11.00 | — | 4/1 open 9.50 | 4/1 open 9.50 | 4/1 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 13 Chesneys Charm | 50/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Vince Le Prince | 33/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Welbury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Illy's Roo (SR 85, 3/1) shares the highest SR in the field with Welbury but enjoys a significant weight advantage — 9-7 versus Welbury's 9-8, a marginal difference, but crucially the market has shortened 6% since opening while Welbury has drifted 19%, a clear divergence of opinion in Illy's Roo's favour. The form string 877715 shows a progressive 3-year-old who has just recorded a win (rightmost digit 5 is a place, reading left — the '1' is the latest win visible in the sequence), and GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles today's Good to Firm conditions. Trainer Gemma Tutty (9%, 160 runners) and jockey Joanna Mason (11%, 617 runners) represent a consistent combination, and the ClassMv:= signals no step up in class to navigate. The 3/1 market price implies roughly 25% probability, but with the SR lead shared and the steaming market indicator, I assess closer to 32%. Each-way alternative: Welbury. Main danger: Welbury — Welbury shares SR 85 with Illy's Roo, has a strong recent form line of -12241 showing consistent placing and a last-time-out win, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a 15% strike rate from 593 runners — the drift to 11/2 is the only concern, and if that reflects a market-mover elsewhere rather than genuine negative intelligence, Welbury is fully capable of reversing that drift on the day.