Redcar 15:12 RESULTED
Class 4 8 Aug 2026

Saturday 8 August Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.) · 0m7f219y

Official Result

Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Welbury (GB) Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell
    9/1
  2. Second Barley (IRE)
    11/2
  3. Third Nyman (IRE)
    11/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Ascot

13:35–16:30 · 6 races

Haydock

13:50–17:10 · 7 races

Newmarket (July)

13:55–17:23 · 7 races

Redcar

14:02–17:31 · 7 races

Wexford

14:15–17:35 · 7 races

Kilbeggan

17:18–20:18 · 7 races

Ayr

17:27–20:30 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:40–20:10 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gorgeous Mr George silks
Gorgeous Mr George
Age 4 · 10-4
888114
82
78
80
4
10-4
12/1 10/1 11/1
Gorgeous Mr George has winning form in his recent starts — a winner two starts back and a winner three starts back — but dropped to fourth last time out, and his inconsistency is a concern; he has experience of today's trip and going, though his 144 lb burden will test him.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Frankies Dream silks
Frankies Dream
Age 4 · 10-2
332378
80
80
87
4
10-2
9/2 9/2 4/1
Frankies Dream brings strong placed form to this contest — third three starts back and a runner-up four starts back — and his trainer is firing at 33% in the last fortnight, making him a leading threat despite being winless in recent starts. The risk is that his last two runs have seen him slip to seventh and eighth.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Capital Guarantee silks
Capital Guarantee
Age 6 · 10-1
209061
79
69
81
6
10-1
14/1 7/1 12/1
Won last time out to arrive in form, but Capital Guarantee has been inconsistent in recent starts, and carrying 141 lb from stall 10 is no light task; he has run over today's trip and going before, though his record suggests the improvement may need to hold.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Paladin silks
Paladin
Age 5 · 10-1
25-102
79
74
83
5
10-1
8/1 17/2 15/2
Paladin shaped with promise when second last time out and was a winner three starts back, showing he retains the ability to compete at this level; the unplaced effort two starts back is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mr Mistoffelees silks
Mr Mistoffelees
Age 6 · 9-12
-87522
76
71
82
6
9-12
14/1 17/2 14/1
Consistent without landing the prize, Mr Mistoffelees has back-to-back seconds in his most recent starts and has run over today's distance and going before; yet to score in his last five, the 138 lb burden from stall 11 is the chief concern for a horse who remains frustratingly close.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Harry The Rogue silks
Harry The Rogue
Age 5 · 9-12
324900
76
50
77
5
9-12
40/1 FCST 28/1
Winless in his last six starts with back-to-back unplaced efforts, Harry The Rogue ranks 12th of 14 on our figures and makes little appeal at 138 lb from stall 14; experience over today's trip is the one slender hook.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Amidst The Chaos silks
Amidst The Chaos
Age 4 · 9-11
342125
75
66
76
4
9-11
25/1 11/1 20/1
Ranked 13 of 14 on our figures and a well-beaten fifth last time out, Amidst The Chaos is hard to fancy here despite a win three starts back; he has run over today's trip and going, but stall 13 and 137 lb make the task no easier.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Nyman silks
Nyman
Age 4 · 9-9
644064
73
66
83
4
9-9
11/1 8/1 10/1
Winless in his last six, Nyman nevertheless catches the eye rated 83 — ten pounds clear of his official mark — and brings distance and going experience to hand from a sharp 20-day turnaround; the concern is that recent finishes, including three fourths, suggest he finds ways to get beaten.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Welbury silks
Welbury
Age 3 · 9-8
-12241
79
85
81
3
9-8
13/2 4/1 6/1
Welbury won last time out and boasts two wins in his last five starts, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; the 134 lb burden may test his stamina, however, and a mid-table ranking of sixth of 14 suggests he faces stiff competition.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Illy's Roo silks
Illy's Roo
Age 3 · 9-7
877715
78
85
83
3
9-7
3/1 10/3 3/1
Illy's Roo won two starts back and returns in good order just 15 days later, with experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour; drawn three carrying 133 lb, the fifth last time out is the one minor blemish on an otherwise encouraging recent profile.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Sea The Power silks
Sea The Power
Age 3 · 9-6
3716-9
77
58
78
3
9-6
33/1 40/1 33/1
A winner three starts back, but ninth last time out and 91 days off the track make Sea The Power hard to trust; ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, he has at least run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Barley silks
Barley
Age 7 · 9-5
232333
69
75
79
7
9-5
4/1 17/2 4/1
Consistent without being a winner, Barley has finished third four times and second twice in his last six starts, yet to score despite the placed form; drawn four carrying 131 lb, and while he has run over today's trip and going, a trainer strike-rate of just 4% recently is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Chesneys Charm silks
Chesneys Charm
Age 4 · 9-4
48-760
68
46
79
4
9-4
50/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and unplaced last time out, Chesneys Charm faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 78 offers some encouragement; 104 days off the track is the other query.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

14
Vince Le Prince silks
Vince Le Prince
Age 6 · 9-2
275302
66
53
75
6
9-2
33/1 16/1 25/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last of 14 on our figures, Vince Le Prince faces a stiff ask, with his trainer in wretched form (4% strike-rate over 14 days); second last time out and third three starts back offer slim encouragement, and he does have experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gorgeous Mr George 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
2 Frankies Dream 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
3 Capital Guarantee 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 14/1 Bet365
4 Paladin 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 Bet365
5 Mr Mistoffelees 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 Bet365
6 Harry The Rogue 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 40/1 Bet365
7 Amidst The Chaos 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Nyman 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Welbury 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 Bet365
10 Illy's Roo 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Coral
11 Sea The Power 33/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Coral
12 Barley 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 Betfred
13 Chesneys Charm 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
14 Vince Le Prince 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Frankies Dream

Speculative

Frankies Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Jennie Candlish Sean D Bowen
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Illy's Roo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Gemma Tutty
✓ Value Signal

Sea The Power

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Seb Spencer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Frankies Dream
54.7 9/2
2 10. Illy's Roo
54.2 3/1
3 12. Barley
52.0 4/1
4 9. Welbury
51.5 13/2
5 4. Paladin
49.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Illy's Roo
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 3 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 7 · 9-5
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-2
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 10-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 10-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Illy's Roo
Confidence: Medium

Illy's Roo (SR 85, 3/1) shares the highest SR in the field with Welbury but enjoys a significant weight advantage — 9-7 versus Welbury's 9-8, a marginal difference, but crucially the market has shortened 6% since opening while Welbury has drifted 19%, a clear divergence of opinion in Illy's Roo's favour. The form string 877715 shows a progressive 3-year-old who has just recorded a win (rightmost digit 5 is a place, reading left — the '1' is the latest win visible in the sequence), and GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles today's Good to Firm conditions. Trainer Gemma Tutty (9%, 160 runners) and jockey Joanna Mason (11%, 617 runners) represent a consistent combination, and the ClassMv:= signals no step up in class to navigate. The 3/1 market price implies roughly 25% probability, but with the SR lead shared and the steaming market indicator, I assess closer to 32%. Each-way alternative: Welbury. Main danger: Welbury — Welbury shares SR 85 with Illy's Roo, has a strong recent form line of -12241 showing consistent placing and a last-time-out win, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a 15% strike rate from 593 runners — the drift to 11/2 is the only concern, and if that reflects a market-mover elsewhere rather than genuine negative intelligence, Welbury is fully capable of reversing that drift on the day.

Shortlist Illy's Roo, Welbury, Barley, Frankies Dream
Each-way: Welbury Danger: Welbury

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f219y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade