Connellan & Noone Solicitors LLP Longford Flat Race · 2m0f0y
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Confidence Within | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Srah | 50/1 open 26.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Hot Rock Harry | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Inishtearaght | 4/1 open 3.25 | — | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mr Enigma | 3/1 open 3.50 | — | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Appy Ways | 6/4 open 4.50 | — | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Appy Ways owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Appy Ways carries the top SR in the field at 155, has the lightest weight at 11-4 (a 7lb advantage over the 12-0 horses and a meaningful edge over the 11-11 trio), and is the only runner showing genuine market confidence — a 21% inward move is a strong steaming signal in a small six-runner field. Jockey Mr J L Gleeson boasts a 17% career strike rate from 141 rides, comfortably the best booking in the race. The form string of dashes suggests this is a first-time runner in bumper/flat conditions, but the combination of highest SR, lightest weight, strong market support, and best jockey engagement makes this an unusually aligned case. All runners show DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, so no horse has a proven distance or going edge, levelling that playing field entirely. Each-way alternative: Mr Enigma. Main danger: Mr Enigma — Mr Enigma holds the second-highest SR at 151, carries the same 11-11 as the other 4-year-olds, is trained by a yard with runners under similar conditions, and has drifted only a modest 6% — far less than every other runner — suggesting the market is not abandoning it the way it is the rest of the field.