Haydock 14:25 RESULTED
Class 1 8 Aug 2026

Saturday 8 August Betway Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3)

Betway Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) · 1m2f42y

Official Result

Betway Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sallaal (IRE) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
    1/2F
  2. 11/1
  3. Third Nahraan (GB)
    5/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Danger Bay silks
Danger Bay Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-7
119-14
104
104OR
4
9-7
SP FCST 5/1
1
Convergent silks
Convergent
Age 4 · 9-10
17-154
117
119
120
4
9-10
7/2 4/1 7/2
Convergent won three starts back and arrives fit on 30 days' rest, bringing distance-and-going experience and a solid rating of 120 to support his claims; the worry is that he has been fourth last time out, so his very best form needs to resurface here.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Nahraan silks
Nahraan
Age 4 · 9-7
1113-9
110
122
110
4
9-7
7/2 11/4 7/2
Nahraan won three of his last five starts and was third two runs back, bringing solid recent form to this assignment; he has experience of today's trip and going, and his ranking here underlines his claims — though that ninth last time out is the one blemish to watch.
AI verdict

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sallaal silks
Sallaal
Age 4 · 9-7
35-211
119
135
121
4
9-7
8/11 5/6 8/11
Sallaal arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's distance and going before. Carrying 133 lb is the one weight to respect, but on his recent record he looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Sea Scout silks
Sea Scout
Age 4 · 9-7
06433-
107
95
106
4
9-7
20/1 25/1 18/1
Consistent in his last two outings with back-to-back thirds, Sea Scout has run over today's trip and going and shaped with promise; the main concern is a lengthy 287-day absence, and he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Danger Bay 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 5/1 11/2 William Hill
1 Convergent 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Nahraan 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
4 Sallaal 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 Bet365
5 Sea Scout 20/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sallaal

Live signal

Sallaal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nahraan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Sea Scout

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Sallaal
66.0 8/11
2 3. Nahraan
64.6 7/2
3 1. Convergent
62.1 7/2
4 5. Sea Scout
47.7 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sallaal
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-7
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 135 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 4 · 9-10
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 119 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sallaal
Confidence: High

Sallaal (SR 135, 8/11) is the clear standout in this small Group 3 field. The SR of 135 is materially superior to every rival — Nahraan sits at SR 122 and Convergent at SR 119, with Sea Scout a distant SR 95. The form line 35-211 shows back-to-back wins most recently, and crucially both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's trip and going bucket — a double confirmation no other runner matches. The 10% market move inward on top of already-short 8/11 pricing signals stable confidence, and Roger Varian's 19% strike rate over 642 runners is a serious operation. Running off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that winning sequence. Each-way alternative: Convergent. Main danger: Convergent — The 42% market inward move on Convergent (SR 119, 7/2) is the sharpest steam in the race and suggests informed support that could reflect a significant step forward in form not yet reflected in the SR.

Shortlist Sallaal, Nahraan, Convergent
Each-way: Convergent Danger: Convergent

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m2f42y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade