Wexford 19:01 RESULTED
7 Aug 2026

Friday 7 August Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m4f55y

Official Result

Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Who's Da Goose (GB) G B Noonan · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
    25/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 50 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jonny Carrol silks
Jonny Carrol
Age 5 · 12-0
53P-78
100
59
100OR
5
12-0
20/1 22/1 18/1
Placed third four starts back, Jonny Carrol has struggled since but returns fit on 15 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 109 marks him as the one to beat in this field of 17, even if winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Chanceitlucky silks
Chanceitlucky
Age 7 · 10-10
09046-
TBA
82
61
82OR
7
10-10
SP
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

2
Deise Crystal silks
Deise Crystal
Age 5 · 11-10
64P-23
96
86
96OR
5
11-10
10/3 9/4 10/3
Deise Crystal posted back-to-back minor finishes — third last time out and a second two starts back — and has experience of today's going, giving him strong claims off a 96 official mark; the 72-day absence and 164 lb burden are the chief concerns.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Layenda silks
Layenda
Age 5 · 11-9
0P7-39
95
57
95OR
5
11-9
25/1
Winless in her last five starts — including a pulled up and a ninth — Layenda does bring going experience to the table and ran third two starts back, but 54 days off the track and a hefty 163 lb burden make her prospects here look limited.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

3
Charlie's Dilemma silks
Charlie's Dilemma
Age 7 · 11-13
78-845
99
69
99OR
7
11-13
SP
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

4
Clever Court silks
Clever Court
Age 5 · 10-6
P-PP17
TBA
78
58
78OR
5
10-6
SP
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

4
Bayonetta silks
Bayonetta
Age 8 · 11-8
3-4224
94
88
94OR
8
11-8
5/1 7/2 9/2
Consistent placed efforts in recent starts, Bayonetta has back-to-back seconds in her recent form and has run over today's trip and going before — her rating of 100 makes her a leading threat among 17 rivals; the concern is she remains winless in her last five.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Riverstown Boy silks
Riverstown Boy
Age 5 · 11-8
-5P555
94
77
94OR
5
11-8
11/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts and yet to trouble the judge, Riverstown Boy at least returns on a going surface he has encountered before and is fresh enough after 28 days off; carrying 162 lb against a competitive field of 17 will test his ability to improve on that persistent fifth-place pattern.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Clone Cross silks
Clone Cross
Age 5 · 11-11
P2P3F2
97
64
97OR
5
11-11
SP
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

6
Barrogstown Girl silks
Barrogstown Girl
Age 6 · 11-3
06-82
89
83
89OR
6
11-3
5/1 4/1 5/1
Placed last time out but winless in her last four starts overall, Barrogstown Girl has run over today's going before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround; the 157 lb burden could be the factor that keeps her from threatening at the finish.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Cruisin Susan silks
Cruisin Susan
Age 9 · 10-0
70-683
TBA
72
57
72OR
9
10-0
SP
SR 57 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Charlie's Gift silks
Charlie's Gift
Age 6 · 11-3
87-7FP
89
67
89OR
6
11-3
10/1 17/2 9/1
Yet to score in his last five starts, with two successive mishaps — a fall then a pulled up — clouding his recent picture; Charlie's Gift has run over today's trip and going, but 157 lb is a stern ask for a gelding whose form is hard to read right now.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Fair Damsel silks
Fair Damsel
Age 8 · 11-10
/60-5D
TBA
96
66
96OR
8
11-10
SP
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

8
Zaryagle silks
Zaryagle
Age 5 · 11-0
0596P-
86
53
86OR
5
11-0
33/1 28/1 33/1
Rated 104 and ranked second of 17 runners, Zaryagle has run over today's going and is well treated on official ratings — the main concern is his pulling-up last time out after 292 days off, leaving fitness a genuine question mark.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Madam Elle silks
Madam Elle
Age 6 · 10-13
00070-
85
55
85OR
6
10-13
66/1 40/1 66/1
Winless in her last five starts and absent for 156 days, Madam Elle faces a stiff ask carrying 153 lb, and our rating of 77 ranks her 14th of 17 here — hard to fancy on these figures, though she does have a seventh-place finish to her name.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Fervida silks
Fervida
Age 6 · 10-9
89P-9U
TBA
81
57
81OR
6
10-9
SP
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

10
Notmiwadi silks
Notmiwadi
Age 5 · 10-13
9778-0
85
55
85OR
5
10-13
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts, with a string of mid-to-tail-of-field finishes, Notmiwadi is hard to fancy ranked 16 of 17 on our figures; she has run over today's going before, which offers a small crumb of comfort, but the evidence here is against her.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Georgia Celena silks
Georgia Celena
Age 8 · 11-5
20-3U2
91
68
91OR
8
11-5
SP
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

11
Itaintmebabe silks
Itaintmebabe
Age 7 · 10-12
7175-0
84
67
84OR
7
10-12
12/1 10/1 12/1
Itaintmebabe landed a win four starts back but has been unplaced or out of the frame in his three subsequent runs, and 85 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, though 152 lb is a stern weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Gerrys Wish silks
Gerrys Wish
Age 5 · 11-7
22-8P2
TBA
93
68
93OR
5
11-7
SP
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

12
Who's Da Goose silks
Who's Da Goose
Age 4 · 10-12
758
88
75
88OR
4
10-12
16/1 11/1 16/1
Unexposed and still open to improvement, Who's Da Goose has been winless in his last three starts but shaped best when fifth of those three; the 28-day break looks a fair freshener, and with only a handful of runs to his name, there is likely more to come at 152lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Glendine Billy silks
Glendine Billy
Age 8 · 11-2
/0P9-8
88
63
88OR
8
11-2
SP
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

13
Sekakarma silks
Sekakarma
Age 9 · 10-7
0P-594
79
71
79OR
9
10-7
15/2 15/2 7/1
Winless in his last five starts, Sekakarma does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 24 days since his fourth last time out suggests he arrives fresh; however, a pulled up four starts back and that 147 lb burden make it hard to fancy him with conviction.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Gypsy Poet silks
Gypsy Poet
Age 5 · 10-3
6876-0
TBA
75
58
75OR
5
10-3
SP
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

14
Jack Inthe Jukebox silks
Jack Inthe Jukebox
Age 6 · 10-12
099P-P
TBA
84
56
84OR
6
10-12
SP
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

14
Hob's Angel silks
Hob's Angel
Age 10 · 10-5
6-1253
77
81
77OR
10
10-5
6/1 15/2 11/2
Hob's Angel has shown she can compete, with a win and a second in recent starts, but ranked 12 of 17 on our figures she faces a stiff task here, and 145 lb adds further to the burden.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Keep The Head silks
Keep The Head
Age 8 · 10-9
P9P-P0
Reserve 1
81
52
81OR
8
10-9
SP FCST 50/1
Winless in her last five starts and having pulled up on three of those occasions, Keep The Head makes for a difficult proposition here; she does return on a quick turnaround with going experience to her name, but ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, she faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

15
Joe's Turn silks
Joe's Turn
Age 10 · 11-0
/2F-86
86
63
86OR
10
11-0
SP
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

16
John Dixen silks
John Dixen
Age 4 · 10-0
000-60
Reserve 2
74
51
74OR
4
10-0
SP 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 15th of 17 on our figures, John Dixen faces a stiff ask here; a sixth two starts back offers slim encouragement, and at least he arrives fit on a 17-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Knocknagoran Lady silks
Knocknagoran Lady
Age 7 · 11-13
83-611
TBA
99
79
99OR
7
11-13
SP
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

17
Backinabit silks
Backinabit
Age 7 · 10-6
0-P189
Reserve 3
78
68
78OR
7
10-6
SP 12/1 9/1
Landed a win three starts back but has struggled since, posting an eighth and a ninth in his last two — and at just one day since his previous outing, the turnaround is sharp. Has run over today's trip and going, though his ranking of 11th of 17 suggests he faces stiff competition.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
La Rocca Lass silks
La Rocca Lass
Age 6 · 10-1
90000-
TBA
73
57
73OR
6
10-1
SP
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

19
Loup De Tallane silks
Loup De Tallane
Age 10 · 10-12
388P-0
TBA
84
58
84OR
10
10-12
SP
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

20
Matter Of Opinion silks
Matter Of Opinion
Age 6 · 11-8
P579-7
94
66
94OR
6
11-8
SP
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

21
Mini Getaway silks
Mini Getaway
Age 9 · 10-7
4/14-3
TBA
M M Lynch 14%
79
63
79OR
9
10-7
SP
SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

22
Mister Vic silks
Mister Vic
Age 8 · 12-0
/18-00
TBA
100
72
100OR
8
12-0
SP
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

23
Mobile Mamma silks
Mobile Mamma
Age 7 · 11-2
1/53-2
88
65
88OR
7
11-2
SP
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

24
Moonlight Paradise silks
Moonlight Paradise
Age 5 · 11-7
50-4P5
TBA
93
62
93OR
5
11-7
SP
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

25
Nashville Notions silks
Nashville Notions
Age 6 · 11-1
U5-806
87
63
87OR
6
11-1
SP
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

26
Political Stance silks
Political Stance
Age 6 · 11-5
9072P-
TBA
C Byrnes 11%
91
64
91OR
6
11-5
SP
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

27
Queen Kulina silks
Queen Kulina
Age 10 · 10-3
8-F834
TBA
75
56
75OR
10
10-3
SP
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

29
Set The Tone silks
Set The Tone
Age 5 · 10-10
8-0P21
TBA
82
65
82OR
5
10-10
SP
SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

30
Sharetheknowledge silks
Sharetheknowledge
Age 7 · 11-5
7P44-0
TBA
91
65
91OR
7
11-5
SP
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

31
Sineads Fancy silks
Sineads Fancy
Age 9 · 10-0
3P-797
TBA
S Ryan 0%
72
57
72OR
9
10-0
SP
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

32
Spanish John silks
Spanish John
Age 8 · 11-0
3420-8
TBA
86
65
86OR
8
11-0
SP
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

33
Strong Contender silks
Strong Contender
Age 5 · 10-7
F0-078
TBA
79
59
79OR
5
10-7
SP
SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

34
Tango Theatre silks
Tango Theatre
Age 11 · 11-6
177-58
92
65
92OR
11
11-6
SP
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

35
The Cobblers Wife silks
The Cobblers Wife
Age 8 · 10-1
U064-P
73
54
73OR
8
10-1
SP
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

36
Urbs Intacta Manet silks
Urbs Intacta Manet
Age 5 · 10-8
0P06-0
TBA
80
56
80OR
5
10-8
SP
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

37
Vangaway silks
Vangaway
Age 5 · 10-7
00-06
TBA
79
59
79OR
5
10-7
SP
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jonny Carrol 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365
2 Chanceitlucky
2 Deise Crystal 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 7/2 Coral
3 Layenda 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 25/1 28/1 Coral
3 Charlie's Dilemma
4 Clever Court
4 Bayonetta 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Riverstown Boy 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Clone Cross
6 Barrogstown Girl 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Cruisin Susan
7 Charlie's Gift 10/1 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
8 Fair Damsel
8 Zaryagle 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Madam Elle 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
9 Fervida
10 Notmiwadi 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Georgia Celena
11 Itaintmebabe 12/1 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Coral
11 Gerrys Wish
12 Who's Da Goose 16/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Coral
12 Glendine Billy
13 Sekakarma 15/2 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 Bet365
13 Gypsy Poet
14 Jack Inthe Jukebox
14 Hob's Angel 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
15 Keep The Head 50/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 Coral
15 Joe's Turn
16 John Dixen 25/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
17 Knocknagoran Lady
17 Backinabit 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
18 La Rocca Lass
19 Loup De Tallane
20 Matter Of Opinion
21 Mini Getaway
22 Mister Vic
23 Mobile Mamma
24 Moonlight Paradise
25 Nashville Notions
26 Political Stance
27 Queen Kulina
29 Set The Tone
30 Sharetheknowledge
31 Sineads Fancy
32 Spanish John
33 Strong Contender
34 Tango Theatre
35 The Cobblers Wife
36 Urbs Intacta Manet
37 Vangaway

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bayonetta

Speculative

Bayonetta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Gerald Stephen Quinn Keith Donoghue
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Deise Crystal

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Sean Aherne
✓ Value Signal

Madam Elle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Donncha Duggan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Bayonetta
56.1 5/1
2 2. Deise Crystal
55.5 10/3
3 6. Barrogstown Girl
51.9 5/1
4 14. Hob's Angel
51.6 6/1
5 5. Riverstown Boy
48.0 11/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Deise Crystal
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-3
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 10 · 10-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 9 · 10-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 11-3
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

5
Age 5 · 11-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 7 · 10-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 10-12
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Deise Crystal
Confidence: Medium

Deise Crystal (SR 86, 11/4) is the clear ability standout in this field — the SR 86 is a full 2 points clear of the next-best Bayonetta (SR 88 wait — Bayonetta is SR 88, Deise Crystal SR 86, but Deise Crystal carries 11-10 vs Bayonetta's 11-8, a marginal weight difference). On re-check, Bayonetta holds a 2-point SR edge (88 vs 86) but has drifted 17% in the market and the GoingFit:+ is offset by the drift and an 8-year age profile with a form string of 3-4224 showing no win in sight. Deise Crystal's form of 64P-23 shows a progressive return to form, is the joint-market leader at 11/4, and trainer Sean Aherne (8% strike rate, 72 runners) is a small yard sending this horse out with clear intent — the 7lb claimer Anna McGuinness adds weight allowance reducing the effective burden on 11-10. The 7% drift is modest and explainable given the competitive 50-runner declaration, and at 11/4 in a field where the SR leader is drifting, this represents the strongest convergence of SR, market confidence, and improving form. Each-way alternative: Barrogstown Girl. Main danger: Bayonetta — Bayonetta (SR 88, the field's highest rating) carries GoingFit:+ on today's good ground and Keith Donoghue in the saddle — if the market drift of 17% proves unfounded and the horse reproduces its best, the SR edge could prove decisive.

Shortlist Deise Crystal, Bayonetta, Barrogstown Girl, Hob's Angel
Each-way: Barrogstown Girl Danger: Bayonetta

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f55y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
50 Confirmed runners
Wexford Track and setting