Brodie Handicap Stakes · 1m5f0y
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Roc De Fer | 5/6 open 1.50 | — | 10/11 open 1.57 | 10/11 open 1.57 | 10/11 open 1.57 | 4/5 open 1.53 | 10/11 Coral |
| 2 Simple Star | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Sure And Stedfast | 6/1 open 10.00 | — | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tommy's Promise | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Alnayef | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Willow Wood | 15/2 open 11.00 | — | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Much | 3/1 open 6.00 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Roc De Fer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Much (SR:76, 10/3) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-4, giving it a significant lbs advantage over top-weight Roc De Fer (SR:80, 10-1) — a 11lb swing that more than offsets the SR gap. Its form of 8742 shows a clear progressive trajectory, finishing 2nd last time out, and trainer James Fanshawe operates at 18% career strike rate, the highest in this field. At 10/3 the market is confident, and the weight-for-ability combination is the most attractive profile in the race. The tongue-tie addition (HG:t) suggests connections are targeting a step forward, and Musselburgh's galloping 1m5f suits progressive types. Each-way alternative: Sure And Stedfast. Main danger: Roc De Fer — Roc De Fer (SR:80, top-rated) showed a 1-1-3 sequence on good going and carries only 3 year old form, but its 17% market drift and top-weight of 10-1 in soft conditions are serious negatives that could be overcome if the drift is simply crowd behaviour rather than stable concern.