Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 42 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Consultation | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Bymiddaytomorrow | 11/8 open 3.00 | — | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Gerry's Darling | 7/4 | — | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 Coral |
| 3 Love Tanya | 5/1 open 4.33 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Bonjour Belle | 18/1 open 12.00 | — | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 William Hill |
| 6 Priscilla's Hope | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Spirit of Mary | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gerry's Darling owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 suggests ability but 11/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bymiddaytomorrow (SR:71, 11/8) is the clear ability leader in this modest Class 5 nursery, carrying 10-1 but with the highest SR in the field by a meaningful margin over Gerry's Darling (SR:69). The key signal is the 11% market move in — money has come for this horse since the morning — combined with a last-time-out win (form reads 6581, rightmost = 1) and a drop of two class tiers. Ed Walker runs at a solid 15% strike rate and has booked Ashley Lewis who also operates at 17%. The weight burden of 10-1 in a Class 5 nursery is manageable given the SR advantage, and the moderate distance fit flag (DistFit:~) is not a serious concern at 7f for a two-year-old improving through her form figures. Each-way alternative: Gerry's Darling. Main danger: Gerry's Darling — Gerry's Darling (SR:69, 2/1) arrives on a last-time-out win (form 8721), drops a class tier, and carries 9-8 versus the selection's 10-1 — that 7lb weight advantage on good ground is a genuine live threat even if the slight market drift (out 5%) suggests the market fractionally prefers Bymiddaytomorrow.