Gowran Park 20:30 RESULTED
7 Aug 2026

Friday 7 August 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap

1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap · 1m4f100y

Official Result

1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner L'Un Deux Trois (IRE) Jessica O'Gorman · Oliver McKiernan
    20/1
  2. Second Vervain (IRE)
    11/4
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gatsby Grey silks
Gatsby Grey
Age 10 · 11-9
550/
72
32
72OR
10
11-9
33/1 22/1 33/1
Gatsby Grey has been winless in his last three starts but shaped with promise on his two fifth-place efforts, and a 105-day break could have him freshened up nicely; our figures suggest he's better than his official mark of 72 implies.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

2
Forthill silks
Forthill
Age 4 · 11-7
523-03
70
71
70OR
4
11-7
5/2 9/4 5/2
Forthill has shown consistent ability in recent starts, finishing third last time out and placing on two of her last four outings, and she has run over today's trip before — the main concern is whether she can convert her proximity into something more decisive, having yet to win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Pahlavi silks
Pahlavi
Age 9 · 11-7
3250/
70
36
70OR
9
11-7
40/1
Pahlavi arrives with strong claims on our rating, where he heads the field, and has run over today's trip and going — a second three starts back underlines his quality. Yet to win in recent starts and carrying 161 lb for a trainer in lean form are the concerns.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
Liberated Light silks
Liberated Light
Age 7 · 11-4
1264/5
67
66
67OR
7
11-4
7/1 FCST 13/2
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Monntie silks
Monntie
Age 4 · 11-0
483-
63
59
63OR
4
11-0
11/1 11/1 10/1
Monntie showed grit when third last time out, and has run over today's trip, but she's winless in her last three starts and carries a hefty 154 lb — compounded by a trainer operating at just 5% in the past fortnight, she faces stiff challenges here.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Numidia silks
Numidia
Age 8 · 11-0
007811
63
66
63OR
8
11-0
9/2 5/1 9/2
Numidia boasts back-to-back wins and returns fit on 21 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour; however, he carries 154 lb and those two unplaced efforts in recent starts hint at inconsistency that makes him a each-way proposition at best.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
L'Un Deux Trois silks
L'Un Deux Trois
Age 10 · 10-13
3204/0
62
45
62OR
10
10-13
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, though a second four starts back and third five starts back hint at ability; the query is whether 91 days off has left him short of peak fitness, and 153 lb is no help as he returns to familiar distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Ms Messi silks
Ms Messi
Age 5 · 10-8
91980-
57
59
57OR
5
10-8
15/2 8/1 15/2
A winner in her last five starts but that came four runs back, and she arrives 275 days later, carrying a hefty 148 lb with a trainer firing at just 5% recently — she has run over today's trip, though the layoff and weight make confidence hard to find.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Vervain silks
Vervain
Age 4 · 10-4
900-44
53
61
53OR
4
10-4
3/1 9/2 3/1
Winless in her last five starts, with two fourths her best efforts in recent form, Vervain is hard to fancy from a lowly mark of 53 — though she has run over today's trip and returns on a reasonable 23-day break.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Mapa silks
Mapa
Age 5 · 10-2
603000
51
35
51OR
5
10-2
16/1 18/1 16/1
Winless in her last six starts with three unplaced efforts on the bounce, Mapa is hard to fancy despite returning quickly seven days ago and having run over today's trip and going before; ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, she faces a stiff task under 142 lb.
AI verdict

SR 35 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Anightaway silks
Anightaway
Age 5 · 10-6
00-081
48
38
48OR
5
10-6
SP 11/2 5/1
Landed a win last time out but that came just two days ago, leaving recovery time a major concern, and he sits last on our figures in an 11-runner field. Has run over today's trip, though three unplaced efforts in recent starts temper enthusiasm considerably.
AI verdict

SR 38 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gatsby Grey 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Forthill 5/2 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Coral
3 Pahlavi 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
4 Liberated Light 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
5 Monntie 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Numidia 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
7 L'Un Deux Trois 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Ms Messi 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365
9 Vervain 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 Bet365
10 Mapa 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Anightaway 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Numidia

Speculative

Numidia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Peter Lawlor Miss N Fahey(7)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Forthill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · P Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Gatsby Grey

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Oliver McKiernan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Numidia
52.3 9/2
2 2. Forthill
52.0 5/2
3 9. Vervain
50.0 3/1
4 4. Liberated Light
48.3 7/1
5 8. Ms Messi
47.8 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Forthill
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 11-7
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 10-4
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 11-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-4
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 10-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 10 · 10-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Age 5 · 10-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾

SR 35 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Forthill
Confidence: High

Forthill (SR:71, 2/1) is the clear class standout in this field, with an SR 5 points clear of the next best runners (Numidia and Liberated Light at 66) and a full 10 points ahead of Vervain. Trainer P Twomey operates at a 25% career strike rate from 228 runners — by far the strongest training record in the field — and the market has steamed in 8% to 2/1, confirming professional confidence. Despite carrying 11-7, the SR gap over all rivals is wide enough that the weight burden does not neutralise the ability edge, and at 4 years old there is scope for further progression on a form line of 523-03 showing consistent involvement at the business end. Each-way alternative: Vervain. Main danger: Vervain — Vervain (SR:61, 7/2) has steamed in 18% — the biggest market move in the race — carries a light 10-4, is only 4 years old with room to improve, and jockey Orla Tynan hits 16% from 50 rides, making this the sharpest each-way threat to Forthill.

Shortlist Forthill, Numidia, Vervain, Liberated Light
Each-way: Vervain Danger: Vervain

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f100y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Gowran Park Track and setting