Gowran Park 19:20 RESULTED
Class 1 7 Aug 2026

Friday 7 August Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed)

Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sergei Diaghilev (IRE) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien
    5/2
  2. 9/4F
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
City of Dubai silks
City of Dubai
Age 2 · 9-5
1
W J Lee 14%
P Twomey 22%
156
2
9-5
7/2 32/17 7/2
City of Dubai won last time out and has run over today's trip, but ranked last on our figures with a speed rating of 61, he has plenty to find; the 25-day turnaround at least suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Full Volume silks
Full Volume
Age 2 · 9-5
612
98
96
98OR
2
9-5
11/1
Full Volume shaped well last time out with a runner-up finish, and a win two starts back underlines his recent consistency over today's trip — the main concern is whether he can overcome that modest speed rating.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sergei Diaghilev silks
Sergei Diaghilev
Age 2 · 9-5
19
156
2
9-5
15/8 5/2 32/17
Landed a win two starts back and has going experience to call on; the 51-day absence is the one query, but at the top of the ratings and carrying 131 lb from stall six, Sergei Diaghilev looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Venetian Power silks
Venetian Power
Age 2 · 9-5
41
153
2
9-5
11/2 5/1 11/2
Venetian Power won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a clear threat from stall one; the main risk is whether he can back that up off just 23 days' rest carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 153 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Bellesque silks
Bellesque
Age 2 · 9-0
21
159
2
9-0
7/2 5/2 7/2
Bellesque arrives in decent nick after a win and a runner-up in her last two starts, and she has run over today's trip before, but a speed rating of 55 leaves her well below the principals on these figures, making her hard to fancy at second bottom of the rankings.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Sea Of Rain silks
Sea Of Rain
Age 2 · 9-0
42231
86
95
86OR
2
9-0
17/2 14/1 17/2
Sea Of Rain comes here on the back of a win last time out and has solid placed efforts two and three starts back, with experience over today's trip and a fit 15-day turnaround working in her favour; the main query is whether our rating of 77 leaves her vulnerable to the top-rated runner.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 City of Dubai 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 2.88 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Full Volume 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 Bet365
3 Sergei Diaghilev 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Coral
4 Venetian Power 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Bellesque 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Bet365
6 Sea Of Rain 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

City of Dubai

High conviction

City of Dubai owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 P Twomey W J Lee
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bellesque

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Sea Of Rain

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

17/2 · J S Bolger
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. City of Dubai
73.2 7/2
2 5. Bellesque
72.3 7/2
3 4. Venetian Power
70.6 11/2
4 3. Sergei Diaghilev
70.3 15/8
5 6. Sea Of Rain
55.4 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bellesque
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-5
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-5
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-0
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 159 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 153 🐾

SR 153 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-0
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bellesque
Confidence: Medium

Bellesque (SR 159, 7/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and, crucially, carries 9-0 — 5lb less than the 9-5 rivals, a meaningful advantage in a juvenile Listed contest where marginal class differences are often settled by the scale. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard's #1 is clearly Bellesque: Dylan Browne McMonagle (15%, 983 rides) is the stronger jockey booking over J M Sheridan on Venetian Power, and the 2-1 form (last two runs: second then winner) shows a progressive profile. The market drift of 8% is a mild concern but in a race where several rivals have drifted more sharply (City of Dubai out 16%, Venetian Power out 7%), it does not suggest money is actively going against her. Each-way alternative: Sergei Diaghilev. Main danger: City of Dubai — City of Dubai (SR 156) is trained by the high-strike-rate Pat Twomey (25%) and was a winner on debut — if the 16% drift reflects nothing more than positional betting adjustment rather than stable concern, its raw ability could see it confirm form at this level.

Shortlist Bellesque, Sergei Diaghilev, City of Dubai, Venetian Power
Each-way: Sergei Diaghilev Danger: City of Dubai

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Gowran Park Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade