Musselburgh 15:20 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Aug 2026

Friday 7 August Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap Stakes

Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y

Official Result

Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jonny Concrete (IRE) Jack Nicholls · Iain Jardine
    100/30
  2. Second Ashen (IRE)
    8/1
  3. Third Vixey (GB)
    16/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jonny Concrete silks
Jonny Concrete
Age 5 · 9-12
-32441
81
84
81OR
5
9-12
9/2 4/1 9/2
Jonny Concrete arrives on the back of a win last time out, is fit on a 14-day turnaround, and has experience over today's trip and conditions — our rating of 90 marks him as a strong threat. The main risk is whether he can defy a testing burden of 138 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Gweedore silks
Gweedore
Age 9 · 9-11
-70400
80
74
80OR
9
9-11
15/2 6/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Gweedore nonetheless rates 96 on our figures — top of these eleven — and returns after 32 days having run over today's distance and going before; stall three and 137 lb to carry are the questions here.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Misunderstood silks
Misunderstood
Age 4 · 9-11
-57677
80
70
80OR
4
9-11
8/1 10/1 8/1
Misunderstood has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround in good order, with our rating of 90 marking him out as a live threat in this field — the risk is that he's winless in his last five starts, suggesting the breakthrough remains elusive.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Eagle Bay silks
Eagle Bay
Age 3 · 9-10
3-11
85
93
85OR
3
9-10
10/3 3/2 10/3
Eagle Bay arrives on the back of two wins in his last three starts, with experience of today's distance and going in his favour, but carrying 136 lb from stall 11, our rating puts him well below the field's leading lights, making him hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Passing Thought silks
Passing Thought
Age 3 · 9-10
217-10
85
89
85OR
3
9-10
6/1 11/2 6/1
Passing Thought has won twice in her last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and has run over today's distance and going — a trainer firing at 26% over the past fortnight adds strong confidence; the concern is whether 49 days off has left her short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Vixey silks
Vixey
Age 6 · 9-10
35-820
79
68
79OR
6
9-10
16/1 10/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, though a second two runs back shows she retains ability; Vixey has run over today's trip and going, and 10 days since her latest outing leaves her fresh, but her most recent run was unplaced and she ranks eighth of eleven on our ratings.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Augustus Gloop silks
Augustus Gloop
Age 3 · 9-7
1-2674
82
66
82OR
3
9-7
16/1 8/1 12/1
Augustus Gloop showed a win and a second in recent starts but has since dropped to finishes of sixth and seventh, and was only fourth last time out; he has run over today's trip and steps back in from stall five carrying 133 lb, though that dip in form gives pause.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
One Night Thunder silks
One Night Thunder
Age 6 · 9-6
9-0387
75
67
75OR
6
9-6
12/1 17/2 11/1
Winless in his last five starts, One Night Thunder does at least bring distance-and-going experience to the table and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround; however, a third three starts back is his only bright note in a largely moderate recent sequence, and 132 lb from stall 10 adds little comfort.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Native Honey silks
Native Honey
Age 4 · 9-3
710015
72
50
72OR
4
9-3
18/1 12/1 16/1
Native Honey has won twice in his last six starts, but only a fifth last time out makes him hard to fancy, and a trainer firing at just 5% recently compounds the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, which counts for something.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Zarvali silks
Zarvali
Age 3 · 9-3
2-1637
78
75
78OR
3
9-3
10/1 20/1 10/1
Zarvali showed useful form when third two starts back and a winner four starts back, but a seventh last time out is harder to ignore; he has distance and going experience to call upon, though 129 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ashen silks
Ashen
Age 4 · 8-12
313420
67
71
67OR
4
8-12
15/2 14/1 15/2
Unplaced last time out and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Ashen is hard to fancy for all that he has experience of today's trip and going, draws stall one, and returns on a quick turnaround with a win in his last six starts to his name.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jonny Concrete 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Coral
2 Gweedore 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 Coral
3 Misunderstood 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Coral
4 Eagle Bay 10/3 open 2.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 Coral
5 Passing Thought 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
6 Vixey 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
7 Augustus Gloop 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 16/1 Bet365
8 One Night Thunder 12/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
9 Native Honey 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Zarvali 10/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 Coral
11 Ashen 15/2 open 26.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Eagle Bay

Speculative

Eagle Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Harriet Bethell Sean D Bowen
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Passing Thought

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Ed Walker
✓ Value Signal

Vixey

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Simon West
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Eagle Bay
57.2 10/3
2 5. Passing Thought
55.8 6/1
3 2. Gweedore
52.3 15/2
4 1. Jonny Concrete
52.2 9/2
5 11. Ashen
50.9 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jonny Concrete
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 9-11
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-10
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jonny Concrete
Confidence: Medium

Jonny Concrete (SR 84, 9/2) is the standout on ability in this modest Class 4 field, carrying 9-12 but with a clear SR edge over most rivals. The decisive factors are: proven course form (W1P1 at Musselburgh), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), and a consistent recent form line of -32441 showing he is in the mix every time out. Iain Jardine's 13% strike rate is respectable and Jack Nicholls has positive course experience. Eagle Bay (SR 93) drifted 25% from opening price — significant market rejection that outweighs the SR advantage — while Passing Thought drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2) but has gone 49 days without a run and faces a going question mark (GoingFit:?). Jonny Concrete's course-and-distance combination in a field where most rivals carry going or distance question marks makes him the logical selection. Each-way alternative: Passing Thought. Main danger: Eagle Bay — Eagle Bay (SR 93, the highest in the field) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) and has a recent 3-11 form line suggesting progressive ability, so despite the 25% market drift, raw talent could still see him home if the layoff (41 days) hasn't blunted his edge.

Shortlist Jonny Concrete, Eagle Bay, Passing Thought, Zarvali
Each-way: Passing Thought Danger: Eagle Bay

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade