Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 0m7f0y
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ohailbhic | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Alfred Tennyson | 13/2 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Tokyo Treasure | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Send Harry | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Summer Snow | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bundle Of Interest | 18/1 open 23.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Morehampton | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Neo Smart | 7/2 open 8.00 | — | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Bofa Beach | 20/1 open 8.00 | — | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Caitouna | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Ballymagreehan | 15/2 open 9.00 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Fortuity | 8/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Reimagined | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fortuity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (63). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Neo Smart (SR:70, 5/1, Wgt:9-5) is the standout selection on the combination of market movement and mark. The Mkt:in26% steam is the most emphatic market signal in this field by a considerable margin — money is clearly arriving for a reason — and the MarkMv:-3 means connections are catching this horse on a lower mark than his last winning effort, the most favourable scenario in a handicap. At 9-5, he carries 9lb less than top-weight Ohailbhic (SR:74) despite having a competitive SR of 70, giving a meaningful weight advantage relative to ability. Form figures 197745 show he has placed in stronger company and ran a respectable 5th most recently — the Bolger yard at 9% strike rate is workmanlike but the strong market move suggests a confidence confidence signal that overrides that concern. Each-way alternative: Fortuity. Main danger: Caitouna — Caitouna (SR:71, 9/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-1, has the top jockey booking in Colin Keane (16% strike rate), and the three-star AI rating with a last-time-out 6th from a form string showing a recent win (559196 with a 1 two runs back) represents progressive three-year-old profile that could outrun the 9/1.