Newmarket (July) 19:12 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Aug 2026

Friday 7 August Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap Stakes

Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fifty Nifty (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Martin Dunne
    18/1
  2. 11/4F
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Havana Blue silks
Havana Blue
Age 6 · 10-0
-65422
80
83
80OR
6
10-0
10/3 11/4 3/1
Havana Blue has been knocking on the door, finishing second in each of his last two starts, and returning on a quick 14-day turnaround with both distance and going experience in his favour — at 140 lb from stall 10, he looks the value call at a rating of 81.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Lil Brother silks
Lil Brother
Age 3 · 9-12
61495-
82
53
82OR
3
9-12
40/1 20/1 40/1
Lil Brother showed he can win at this level when landing a victory four starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main concern is whether he retains full fitness after a 249-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Aspull silks
Aspull
Age 4 · 9-9
329-06
75
51
75OR
4
9-9
50/1 22/1 50/1
Winless in his last five starts, Aspull nevertheless shows a placing four starts back and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 135 lb from stall one, his recent regression to sixth and an unplaced run are the concern for a gelding rated 75 and ranked seventh of ten here.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Spring Bloom silks
Spring Bloom
Age 9 · 9-9
623211
71
83
71OR
9
9-9
9/2 4/1 9/2
Back-to-back wins give Spring Bloom strong recent momentum, though a short seven-day turnaround and a stiff 135 lb to carry from stall 7 could test his stamina; he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 77 suggests a little more in hand.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Fiscal Policy silks
Fiscal Policy
Age 7 · 9-8
513200
74
81
74OR
7
9-8
5/1 FCST 9/2
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Fenlander silks
Fenlander
Age 5 · 9-8
361113
74
85
74OR
5
9-8
7/2 3/1 7/2
Fenlander arrives on the back of a third last time out, though he has won three of his last six starts and has run over today's trip and going before. Ranked eighth of ten on our figures, he faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Fifty Nifty silks
Fifty Nifty
Age 5 · 9-6
4-7850
72
70
72OR
5
9-6
9/1 7/1 9/1
Fifty Nifty has experience of today's trip and conditions and, winless in his last five starts, must convert that experience into a result — his rating of 77 giving him claims, though a return to form after an unplaced effort 11 days ago is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Royal Accord silks
Royal Accord
Age 4 · 9-6
2172-0
72
52
72OR
4
9-6
40/1 33/1 40/1
Royal Accord has been unplaced last time out and manages only one win in his last five starts, making him hard to fancy ranked bottom on our figures; he does carry experience of today's trip and conditions, and 14 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
The Caltonian silks
The Caltonian
Age 7 · 9-3
100505
69
73
69OR
7
9-3
11/2 9/1 11/2
A winner six starts back and carrying 129 lb from stall 2, The Caltonian's strong speed rating underlines his claims as the top-rated runner in this field; the risk is that his recent starts have yielded only two fifths and three unplaced efforts since that victory.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Akabusi silks
Akabusi
Age 3 · 9-2
814840
72
67
72OR
3
9-2
14/1 9/1 14/1
Ranked ninth of ten on our figures and without a win in his last four starts, Akabusi faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and comes here fresh enough at 21 days since his last start.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Havana Blue 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 7/2 Coral
2 Lil Brother 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Aspull 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Spring Bloom 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Fiscal Policy 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 Bet365
6 Fenlander 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Coral
7 Fifty Nifty 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Coral
8 Royal Accord 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Betfred
9 The Caltonian 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 Bet365
10 Akabusi 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fenlander

Speculative

Fenlander owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Pam Sly Rob Hornby
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Havana Blue

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Julie Camacho
✓ Value Signal

Royal Accord

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Peter Chapple-Hyam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Fenlander
57.4 7/2
2 1. Havana Blue
54.5 10/3
3 4. Spring Bloom
52.1 9/2
4 5. Fiscal Policy
52.0 5/1
5 7. Fifty Nifty
51.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
The Caltonian
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 10-0
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-8
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
The Caltonian
Confidence: Medium

The Caltonian (SR:73, 11/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 and arrives dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark 19lb lower than last win — the biggest downward mark movement in the field by a wide margin. The 35% market steam (Mkt:in35%) is the strongest positive market signal across all 10 runners and Oisin Murphy booking at 22% strike rate from 1,274 career rides is a significant stable confidence signal. The blinkers (HG:b) suggest connections are sharpening the horse for today. GoingFit:? is a question mark but good-to-firm at Newmarket July is a typical fast-ground venue and a 7yo with 100505 form over varied conditions is not obviously ground-dependent. Each-way alternative: Fenlander. Main danger: Spring Bloom — Spring Bloom (SR:83, 4/1) has the strongest recent form in the field with a 623211 sequence including a last-time-out win, proven course form (W2P3 at Newmarket July), confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's conditions, and has won at this exact mark (MarkMv:=) — the step up one class is the only genuine concern.

Shortlist The Caltonian, Fenlander, Spring Bloom, Fiscal Policy
Each-way: Fenlander Danger: Spring Bloom

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade