Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series) · 0m5f205y
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 South Dakota | 7/2 | — | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Star Prospect | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Eighteenth Smiles | 25/1 open 29.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ranting Duke | 22/1 open 34.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Starlit | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Alpe d'Huez | 20/1 open 15.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 7 El Domino | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Anglesea Bridge | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Weekend Roar | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Lily Bear | 100/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Livenka | 10/11 | — | 5/6 open 1.91 | 5/6 open 1.91 | 10/11 | 5/6 open 1.91 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 12 Maeda Matsu | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Livenka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Livenka (SR 163, 10/11) stands in a class of her own — a SR of 163 is top-class on the 0-200 scale and fully 37 points clear of the next-best runner, Lily Bear at 126. She carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-11, a meaningful advantage against the heavier-weighted runners in what is a competitive juvenile conditions sprint. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground, and her form figure of 331 — improving to a win on her most recent start — is exactly the kind of progressive arc you want at this age. Colin Keane, a 16% strike-rate jockey, takes the ride for a yard operating at 15%, and at 10/11 the market is firmly in agreement with the form assessment. Each-way alternative: South Dakota. Main danger: Weekend Roar — Weekend Roar (SR 91, 7/2) showed a sharp improvement to win on his second start (form 31), carries the joint-lightest weight at 9-0 alongside Livenka, and W J Lee's 15% strike rate on a horse co-favoured in the market suggests this yard believes there is more to come from a lightly-raced juvenile.