Happy Birthday Tyne Patterson Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 0m6f12y
SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Independent Expert | 5/1 open 15.00 | — | 6/1 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 6/1 Coral |
| 2 Saucy Jane | 9/4 open 2.25 | — | 5/2 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 Coral |
| 3 Q T Pie | 9/2 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Havana Halo | 9/2 open 4.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Lahina Bay | 11/4 open 5.50 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 9/4 | 11/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Saucy Jane owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lahina Bay (SR 69, 11/4) carries a handy 8-10 — the lightest weight in the field — and has shortened 26% in the market, suggesting stable confidence despite a 4% trainer strike rate. The recent form string 365327 shows consistent placing without a big gap, and she was last out just 9 days ago in good order. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirm she handles today's conditions and trip adequately, and the course place (W0P1) adds a small but genuine Windsor tick. The market move is the key signal here: in a small five-runner fillies' handicap, a 26% inward move on the second-favourite is not noise. Each-way alternative: Q T Pie. Main danger: Saucy Jane — Saucy Jane (SR 76, 9/4) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and carries only 9-7, but the 42% market drift is a serious red flag that cannot be ignored — however, if that drift is misleading and she fires on GoingFit:~ conditions, her class edge on SR alone makes her the likeliest to beat the selection.