Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Proper Naughty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Richard HannonOisin Murphy
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Decem Carolinae
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
17/2 · Jack Jones✓ Value Signal
Polly The Sniper
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Tom Dascombe◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lovely Dark Angel (SR 130, evens) is a well-bred debutante from George Boughey's yard (17% strike rate, solid juveniles handler) ridden by Billy Loughnane (18%), and has steamed in 10% from the opening show — money flowing to a well-prepared newcomer is a meaningful signal in a novice context. Her SR of 130 is mid-field but the market's confidence here clearly outweighs the rating differential with Proper Naughty (SR 145) who has drifted a catastrophic 54% from opening, which in a novice race almost always signals a workout-sharpener or an unfancied yard run — Richard Hannon's 13% strike rate does not redeem that drift. Lovely Dark Angel carries 9-2, a 6lb weight advantage over Rocsane and Star Bayside Boy, and while GoingFit is unknown for a debutante, the firmish surface suits Boughey's quick, sharp juveniles. With the field largely made up of debutantes or horses that have shown nothing, the combination of market confidence, top connections, and weight in hand makes her the standout.
Each-way alternative: Rocsane.
Main danger: Rocsane — Rocsane (SR 82, 5/2) has shown consistent form with a 5-3-2 sequence, is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), and has steamed in 21% in the market — if course-and-distance experience counts for more than raw ability among these debutantes, she is the chief threat.
ShortlistLovely Dark Angel, Rocsane, Decem Carolinae